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*** Packers/Steelers SUPER BOWL Play + Detailed Analysis ***

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Posted: #151

 

 

great writeup Bodio...on the under as well...lean Steelers...will post a detailed writeup this weekend

 
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Posted: #152

Quote Originally Posted by Pho_Q_Pay_Me:

May I ask where you find the videos to past games such as this? I would like to watch this game.

 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8S0vHa0lfK8

 
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Posted: #153
Quote Originally Posted by Augustus1:

Computer  ran 2501 scenarios and Steelers came out 52.5% winner with avg. score of 21-20

FYI - I like Steelers in first half and will bet the team that is trailing in second half. Second half bets on team to come from behind was 59% this year.

 

 

59%?  wow...where did you find that trend at?

 
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Posted: #154

Quote Originally Posted by ggriffin:

anyone heard what MrBator has to say about the superbowl. He was right on both championship games

Unfortunately no.

 
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Posted: #155

Quote Originally Posted by Crusher13:



I enjoyed this qoute this post but...............................

 What other game do they let you wager on among other things:

              1) How long Christine take to sing National Anthem?
              2) Coin flip outcome
              3) Will Pouncey even play?
              4) That the worst Super Storm ever would disrupt DFW and JJ's fantasy of GREATEST SUPER BOWL  week ever?
              5) That Mendenhall and Jennings wouldn't score TD?
              6) That considering that Rapesberger started season SUSPENDED for raping a DRUNK COED COULD be holding the VINCE LOMBARDI trophy Sun Nite and MVP too???????
              7) Will Fergie have a WARDROBE malfunction?

              and last but. most importantly,

              8) Is there any doubt that OVER 44 points will be scored  in this tight "DEFENSIVE" contest?


 Bod, there are plenty of posts I would love to respond here to but I haven't the time as I'm overworked by our SEVERE weather here in Big D. But when I post tonight, reference to Ore/Aub game is the most significant angle I'm going to elaborate upon. Reversely, though

Fantastic informative thread you created BUT you are on the WRONG SIDE.

Besides it's so fricken cold, snowy, and miserable here, the only thing hot woll be those 2 "offenses" Sunday night
        
 

hehe..I doubt it's as cold and miserable as it is in Chicago.  Damn this cold weather!  :)

Good luck buddy.  GO UNDER!

 
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Posted: #156
Quote Originally Posted by ZonaCats:

Great analysis. But what's is missing is the counter arguments. If the under is so one-sided, then i'd be wary...

When two "great" defenses play each other, I believe overs have occurred more times than not because perception drives the total down...

Yes, but the public perception is on the OVER.  75% of them...So what drove the total down? 

 
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Posted: #157
Quote Originally Posted by FleshGordun:

Packer backers seem to see only one thing: The GB ATL playoff game they choose to ignore CHI PHI. Did they look at GB vs ATL in the season, in the dome against the 16th ranked ATL D Rogers threw for 370 plus yrd.s final ATL 20 GB 17. I see the Packs 28 point 2nd qtr. as an anomaly rather than the norm. I think about PIT D GB D, two O's losing momentum in the 2nd half of there last games,two weeks off, will GB be able to utilize the "spread" against the PIT pass rush, Pits running game (ball control). Both QB's not forcing the ball on there end of the field. Both coach's rely on there D's (Dom Capers Dick Labeu).

So I dunno give me something  other than the turf and the dome

 

Right on brutha!  Right ON! 

Turf and dome, is a popular reason for the OVER.  But the Packers are 2-5 O/U on turn in the last 7 games...hmmmmm

 
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Posted: #158

Quote Originally Posted by Kaufee:

Bodio, that was an absolutely amazing piece of work. You are one of the very best to ever post here on covers. Thank you so much for taking the time to share your analysis. I've been riding your coat tails for several weeks and I see no reason to stop now. I am ALL OVER THIS UNDER (no pun intended).

Thanks again Bodio!! I truly appreciate all the hard work that you share with us.

LET'S GET THIS UNDER!!!!!!



 

No problem buddy.  Enjoy the game on Sunday!

 
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Posted: #159
Quote Originally Posted by tazs_crew:

 

 

great writeup Bodio...on the under as well...lean Steelers...will post a detailed writeup this weekend

Nice.  Once you do, put the link to your thread here so I could read it...(it's nearly impossible for me to search for people's threads.  Everytime I do, the screen looks all 'messed up' and I can't find anything.  Wonder if there is an issue with my browser.  Anyone else is having trouble searching for other peoples' threads?)

 
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Posted: #160
Quote Originally Posted by bodio:

 

Right on brutha!  Right ON! 

Turf and dome, is a popular reason for the OVER.  But the Packers are 2-5 O/U on turn in the last 7 games...hmmmmm

Thanks bud.  But I defer, your the man! Your research and insight is compelling to say the least. I prefer to pick sides, I hope PIT wins, I was confident that PIT was the superior team in there last two SB's but I dont want to play on "HOPE".  Lets beat the book one more time  UNDER baby!!

 
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Posted: #161
Bodio who you take money line on gb? Do you think they will win this outcome??
 
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Posted: #162
 
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Posted: #163

Quote Originally Posted by HungerforMoney:

Bodio who you take money line on gb? Do you think they will win this outcome??

 

too close to call on the side.  I'll probably have an action wager on Steelers ML and Steelers/UNDER teaser...

 
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Posted: #164

Quote Originally Posted by SportsMoneyNow:

 

 
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Posted: #165
3 Props for SuperBowl:

i) NO ST/Def TD in the game (-175)
ii) UNDER 2.5 times that "Brett Favre" will be said during the game (+150)
iii) 1st INT => Rodgers (-105)
 
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Posted: #166

I guess I am one of the people that are fading the Under and going for the Over.

 
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Posted: #167

BOL......

 
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Posted: #168
Bo, 

I haven't made a significant bet on O/U in about 10 years but you made me pull the trigger on this one. 

I feel like I'm a jury member, you're a lawyer, and your defendant is the Under...

Well, after all the thoroughly convincing evidence you presented, I just ruled in favor of the defendant 
 
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Posted: #169

Once again a great write-up, Bodio.  

I'm definitely on the Steelers and was leaning 'over' I can't bring myself to go under despite my great respect for your capping ability. So I'll probably will at least save money by sitting out the o/u

Any game that has the Steelers getting points should be almost automatic. I feel that's the case today. The Steelers win a tight one.

 
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Posted: #170
BOL bud
 
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Posted: #171
Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:

Bo, 

I haven't made a significant bet on O/U in about 10 years but you made me pull the trigger on this one. 

I feel like I'm a jury member, you're a lawyer, and your defendant is the Under...

Well, after all the thoroughly convincing evidence you presented, I just ruled in favor of the defendant 

 

haha...funny stuff.

 

What happened last night against the Warriors?  You guys better take care of business tomorrow! 

 
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Posted: #172
Quote Originally Posted by chasman:

Once again a great write-up, Bodio.  

I'm definitely on the Steelers and was leaning 'over' I can't bring myself to go under despite my great respect for your capping ability. So I'll probably will at least save money by sitting out the o/u

Any game that has the Steelers getting points should be almost automatic. I feel that's the case today. The Steelers win a tight one.

 

good luck buddy.  Got a 'futures' play on Steelers so wil definitely be rooting them on.

 
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Posted: #173

Alright fellas.  I'm on my way to a Super Bowl party.

Want to wish everyone luck and enjoy the game!

Talk to you all later....

 
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Posted: #174
i am dropping few coins on the Under by following a few cappers here. Good luck, Bodio!
 
 
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Posted: #175
bodio- any lean on the side?
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