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*** Philadelphia Eagles vs New England Patriots *** Superbowl Discussion

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Posted: #26
Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:

Locked In:
  • Patriots -4
  • Patriots -190
Won't get better lines so locked in now
No dollars amount for these bets? 
 
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Posted: #27
Passing on the Super Bowl this year and just going to enjoy. Thanks for your help this season LC as you steered me on to some solid pay outs! Hope to see you back in September, All the best brother! 
 
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Posted: #28
Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:

Locked In:
  • Patriots -4
  • Patriots -190
Won't get better lines so locked in now


Just curious, what "size" of wagers are these relative to the rest of the plays you've been posting most of the season/playoffs on your "x" scale? Trying to get a gauge of your confidence on these
 
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Posted: #29
Refrained from posting amounts as I'm going a bit heavier than normal and didn't want to force anyone to bet too much, but only because I'm up a large amount on the year while also confident in the play. If this game was played two weeks ago, Patriots are MINIMUM -7.5; people aren't grasping that factor enough. Superbowl is the one and only game of the year where the public determines the spread but that doesn't make this line justifiable. Books will clean up on all the vig regardless of any outcomes, even props nowadays exceed 30% of the handle with vig all over the place. But again, bet within your means always as nothing is a guarantee in sports.

To a profitable Superbowl 
 
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Posted: #30
The line was Pats -7 before Philly beatdown Minny.  I like Pats as well, but can't get past every SB win for them has been close, so instead of just taking Pats -4 -10, I have taken Pats to win by 1-4 pts and Pats to win by 4-8 pts both at 9/2 giving me +250 effective on Pats winning by 8 or less
 
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Posted: #31
Quote Originally Posted by HarryKnutsak:

The line was Pats -7 before Philly beatdown Minny.  I like Pats as well, but can't get past every SB win for them has been close, so instead of just taking Pats -4 -10, I have taken Pats to win by 1-4 pts and Pats to win by 4-8 pts both at 9/2 giving me +250 effective on Pats winning by 8 or less

Phrased that wrong, meant to say at the start of the playoffs. 

Also, just because previous superbowls have been close, means nothing for this game. Pats at -190 is a much better bet than betting exact outcomes like that. But best of luck regardless 
 
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Posted: #32
Quote Originally Posted by Targa1:

Passing on the Super Bowl this year and just going to enjoy. Thanks for your help this season LC as you steered me on to some solid pay outs! Hope to see you back in September, All the best brother! 

Thanks Targa, you as well 
 
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Posted: #33

League GL partner...much respect

 
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Posted: #34
Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:

Locked In:
  • Patriots -4
  • Patriots -190
Won't get better lines so locked in now

Bang bang, love it LC... I believe you have leveraged Bovada before - my favorite siding with the books, book... Anyways, it's at -175
 
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Posted: #35
Feels good being on the same side as the books... Feels better being on the same side as LC;)



 
 
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Posted: #36
Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:


Phrased that wrong, meant to say at the start of the playoffs. 

Also, just because previous superbowls have been close, means nothing for this game. Pats at -190 is a much better bet than betting exact outcomes like that. But best of luck regardless 
Ok, then look at it like I have the Eagles +8  +250  Do you think Pats win by 2 scores? If so -190 would be a bad bet. To me this game is a duplicate of the Jax game and will end something along those lines, 24-20 type final, Pats by TD at most. GL with your bets
 
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Posted: #37
 
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Posted: #38
Thanks for the write up LC
Thinking about taking pats -4.5
Have a great superbowl weekend
 
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Posted: #39
GL LC!
 
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Posted: #40
Good luck LC....had a bet +5.5 on Eagles early...hoping for a middle on the Pats -4.5........and made a Futures bet on the Pats b4 the season...so hope it goes well....unlike the Jags....BOL...
 
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Posted: #41
GL LC

I have Pats to win it all placed just before the Jags game at +105

so, staying away from any spreads and just hoping for a fun game and a Pats winner.  
 
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Posted: #42
Gl LC - have decided to attack this SB with a straight bet, 2 teasers & a 2tm parlay . Like the Pats to win by 3-10 but won't be shocked if Philly pulls it off by 1-3. Key deals for me are Belli with 2 wks prep & any adjustment advantage and can the Eagles get consistent & extreme pressure on TB up the middle for the entire gm...not just 2/3 qtrs. Don't think so & with his full compliment of receivers on all levels...deep threat with Cooks, mid range crossers with Hogan, Gronk all over the field along with Amendola & his backs for dink/dunks (all run well after the catch), Philly hasn't seen anything like this kind of pass attack all year. Too many options for an accurate machine like TB who has tremendous pocket awareness & gets the ball out quick. Playin Pats ML, 7pt teaser with Pats +2.5/over 41, 3tm 10 pt tease with Pats +5.5/Philly +14.5/over 38 & a 2 tmr with Pats ML/over 48. 

Enjoy the game & let's cash. Have enjoyed & appreciated your writeups/insights over the season though I post very rarely.  
 
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Posted: #43
 
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Posted: #44

Ive been agonizing over this for days. My heart says philly. But when you look at this logically and weigh the pros and cons its easy to see that this super bowl belongs to the patriots. Its thiers to lose. Its highly doubtful Foles can recreate the performance from last week. And not to take anything away put the vikings defense was not at 100 percent. sendajo and rhoades both sat out portions of the game. Bellicheck will be ready for the pass run option. Brady will be prepared for the eagles defense. Philly will play their hearts out but the moment will be just a little to big for this team. My final prediction patriots 24-17

 
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Posted: #45
2014 SB Seatle vs Denver -3.5 . Before that game , did you think Wilson beat Manning ?
 
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Posted: #46
Thanks for great write/up, ..Enjoy the game Everybody..
 
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Posted: #47
Quote Originally Posted by jamesboron:

2014 SB Seatle vs Denver -3.5 . Before that game , did you think Wilson beat Manning ?

Surely you can't seriously be comparing Foles to Wilson lol. 
 
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Posted: #48
good luck today LC and enjoy the game
The first and greatest victory is to conquer self
 
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Posted: #49
Quote Originally Posted by simple3:


Surely you can't seriously be comparing Foles to Wilson lol. 
Wilson famous in 2013 or before?
 
 
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Posted: #50
The day has arrived! GL everybody, let's have a fun and profitable Superbowl 

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