phixer's nfl

This is the first post I have ever posted in here.   I will say this, I have been wagering for three years now and I have noticed some trends myself.  When I tail someone who is hot, it usually reaps benefits. I have been following my friend as of late and he has been making some, what I believe, are crazy bets.  He has his strategy of betting and I followed him on UL- Lafayette and they came through Tuesday night.

One thing I have noticed is that when a bet seems too good to be true or "a steal," it usually goes the other way.  In the most recent case, let's take this past Sunday.  Jets hosting New England.  New England gets Gronkowski back.  You would think the Patriots were already a better team than the turnover-prone Jets and additionally the Pats get Gronk back.  I spoke with many friends and everyone agreed confidently that the Pats would take the game with the 3.5 spread.  What happens, the Jets win.

I recall another instance of the 'too good to be true' bet when the Giants faced the undefeated Pats at the time in the Superbowl.  Pats were 18-0 going into the game and set records for most TD passes and other records.  Pats were heavy, heavy favorites.  My colleagues and friends bet very hard on the Pats only to make bookies very satisfied.

I discovered this thread and I will say I am very impressed by Phix's picks thus far this season.  SportsMavin, I also read a lot of your posts also.  With Phix's and Mavin's posts, it inspired me to join this forum.  It is refreshing to encounter new knowledged cappers. 

Cheers to the upcoming games~

This game was def. not a steal/too good to be true.. i took NYG + and ML...and I believe LV lost a few million on this one also ...NYG played the Pats hard just a few weeks prior in a high scoring game if you look back further.. i do because i was in the hospital and remember all my hospital games...

anyway...i get what you are saying...and agree for the most part.

but... "some time you bite the dog..most times the dog bites you"