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#1
One thing I want to point out about last week’s games…
The Packers crushed the Panthers 38-17, while the Colts crushed the Bengals 27-0. Perception is being perceived that the Bengals and Panthers are absolute sh1t due to there embarrassing losses, but one thing to note is that both teams were in absolute terrible spots last week. The Bengals and the Panthers played in a 37-37 tie the week prior, essentially playing 5 quarters. Road teams after a tie game are 0-7 SU and 0-7 ATS all-time, with every team losing by an average of 20 points. With that being said, was the Colts and Packers wins as impressive as people think? In my opinion, no.
The Packers two weeks ago caused 3 turnovers against the Dolphins and still needed a miracle comeback drive to win that game. How many times does a team commit 3 turnovers and still have a chance to win? The Packers are another great offense with a terrible defense. The Saints are being underrated, there a terrible road team that were up 2 touchdowns against the best defense in the league before self-destructing late in the game. Seems they fixed some issues over the bye week. The Packers defense is nowhere close to what the Lions bring to the table and the Saints are playing at home instead of on the road?
It’s easy to see why everyone is in love with the Colts as well this week but it takes a lot of emotion and energy to shut out a team. The Colts dominated the Bengals from start to finish, but what price will it have on them this week? Road favorites after holding an opponent to 3 points or less at home are 1-16 ATS the following week since 2006, if they have another road game on deck. Not only that, but they lose the cover by an average of 9 points. Roethlisberger is 5-1 ATS as a home dog in his career as well.
I’ll be trimming down my plays this week as I lost a fortune this past Sunday (F U Giants), but I will be looking VERY closely at the Steelers + Saints, and possibly the Panthers/Bengals.
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BOL LC stay hungry for wins my friend. DOS EQUIS
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