Quote Originally Posted by jowchoo: Quote Originally Posted by Indigo999: Quote Originally Posted by jowchoo: Quote Originally Posted by vanzack: @jowchoo Pressure rates and other sack predictors are at the top of what I track. Amazingly, the team that statistically should win the sack and pressure battles are only covering at about 30%! This is what is driving me absolutely bonkers this season. I have always been a line of scrimmage kind of guy. Never see a LOS power rating anywhere,so I continue research this idea. Sacks, qb hits, red zone efficiency and rushing differentials properly combined should put a handicapper in good shape. Win the line of scrimmage and turnover battle and have a competent coaching staff will get you the money.............................gl going forward I don't think it will get you the money....turnovers for example...those with the average turnover advantage over their opponent cover about 47.3% of the time at an average of half a turnover a game.....with an average turnover advantage of over 1 per game it becomes 46.4%,....which means in essence if you take the the much worse team in turnover margin going into the game, you'll cover 53.6% of the time. If you delete from considering playing away dogs from consideration you'll cover 55.5% of the time. Query text.......tA(TOM)-oA(TOM)>1 and week>6 and playoffs=0 and AD, AF, HF, HD This is the query text you're looking for, for totals....p:ou margin<0 and pp:ou margin<0...which denotes a team has gone UNDER their two previous games. Again, so kind to share. You have been very quiet lately, was concerned. Thought you were zeroing in on CFL plays. Good Luck,we are going to need it if the mental midgets steal another US election. Have had the best season ever in the CFL....faded the Lions almost every game the last part of the season and was on Hamilton almost every game last part as well. "I have been seeing the field" as they say in sports "Better to be lucky than good" is never more apropos than when betting the NFL..... Should be a very good week in the NFL this coming week. Moved back to Oz a couple of months ago, and am strongly considering a move to Thailand or PI when the new year eventuates.
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Quote Originally Posted by Indigo999:
Quote Originally Posted by jowchoo: Quote Originally Posted by Indigo999: Quote Originally Posted by jowchoo: Quote Originally Posted by vanzack: @jowchoo Pressure rates and other sack predictors are at the top of what I track. Amazingly, the team that statistically should win the sack and pressure battles are only covering at about 30%! This is what is driving me absolutely bonkers this season. I have always been a line of scrimmage kind of guy. Never see a LOS power rating anywhere,so I continue research this idea. Sacks, qb hits, red zone efficiency and rushing differentials properly combined should put a handicapper in good shape. Win the line of scrimmage and turnover battle and have a competent coaching staff will get you the money.............................gl going forward I don't think it will get you the money....turnovers for example...those with the average turnover advantage over their opponent cover about 47.3% of the time at an average of half a turnover a game.....with an average turnover advantage of over 1 per game it becomes 46.4%,....which means in essence if you take the the much worse team in turnover margin going into the game, you'll cover 53.6% of the time. If you delete from considering playing away dogs from consideration you'll cover 55.5% of the time. Query text.......tA(TOM)-oA(TOM)>1 and week>6 and playoffs=0 and AD, AF, HF, HD This is the query text you're looking for, for totals....p:ou margin<0 and pp:ou margin<0...which denotes a team has gone UNDER their two previous games. Again, so kind to share. You have been very quiet lately, was concerned. Thought you were zeroing in on CFL plays. Good Luck,we are going to need it if the mental midgets steal another US election. Have had the best season ever in the CFL....faded the Lions almost every game the last part of the season and was on Hamilton almost every game last part as well. "I have been seeing the field" as they say in sports "Better to be lucky than good" is never more apropos than when betting the NFL..... Should be a very good week in the NFL this coming week. Moved back to Oz a couple of months ago, and am strongly considering a move to Thailand or PI when the new year eventuates.
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