I’ve had the preseason saints super bowl line 3 years in a row and it’s been heartbreak but this has to be the year. I have their line at +1150, then +1550 during the season and I took it again before Week 17 at +700. Also have them to win the conference at +275. Love the pick, Feels like when Peyton got hurt then won before he retired
@kcblitzkrieg
Who is counting out the Chiefs? All year all I've heard everyone say they is that they are the best team in the AFC. Nobody has said otherwise. They have absolutely BRUTAL ATS the second half of the season. If the chiefs don't have the ball last, the Bills will beat them. That how that game will go. Chiefs cost me a lot of money last year. If they get down early, I am hammering them in games though.
I don't think Saints can win in Green Bay in January, fans or no fans. Aaron Rodgers is going to the Super Bowl.
I just listened to Pat McAfee podcast of "Aaron Rodger's Tuesday". That cat is cooler than the other side of the pillow. Made me think differently of him. He just seems to be enjoying everything this year and having the best time doing it.
Yes, most of all of the regular season that is correct...last few weeks and now going into the playoffs it's another story. Media has bailed, which is a very good thing, lots of Ravens and Bills love all over the board, just feel KC is an afterthought in most minds since no team has gone back to back in 16 years. I'm not faulting any of those people for thinking that, Bills have better chance than the Ravens imho but we'll see. Also agree with you on the likelihood of whoever has the ball last in that Chiefs/Bills matchup would be the winner...Would be awesome to see the Browns beat the Steelers to set up Ravens / Bills for Divisional. We've all seen Ravens / Chiefs before... BoL to you
Few thoughts on this week's games. I played a lot of good lines this week so hard for me to advocate current prices.
IND/BUF - Don't understand the Bills hype at all. Team is coming in off 8 covers and monster wins. They are at the apex of their play and market value. This is the very definition of selling high. Team was the same price range just two weeks ago to Drew Lock and Cam Newton against awful Broncos and Pats teams. Colts are a solid team with a great coach and a vet QB. They have the better and more physical offensive and defensive lines. I think they punch Buffalo square in the mouth and come out with a win. Bills dancing around at practice Friday just looks like a team full of themselves and drinking their own hype.
LAR/SEA - Every talking head has the Rams as the upset pick this weekend. The "I don't care if it's Wolford and actually would welcome him" argument is batsh!t crazy to me. This dude led the offense to 9 points at home last week in a must win vs a Cardinals front that has no one left. He was dogshit for 3 of his 4 years in college. You want him or Jared Goff with a broken thumb in a road playoff game vs Russell Wilson? Go ahead. It's true the Rams were the better team here two weeks ago. They should have won. They blew it. It'll bite them. Game has all the feelings of people looking in the mirror on Saturday night wondering WTF they were doing.
TB/WSH - The Football team has the DL and overall defense to cause Brady problems. They've been very sticky when healthy. They could stick here. But the offense is so bad. Just dreadful. Pretty sure I played on the big home dogs in the NO/SEA and PIT/DEN games of the last 10 years that won outright. Partly because I thought the road teams were frauds. The Bucs aren't and should smother WSH.
BAL/TEN - Double revenge for BAL. Actually think it means something. They were in a bad spot in the earlier meeting without a bunch of players. Campbell and Williams missed the game and are massive additions here vs Henry. People missing too that Henry off 34 carries and a million yards last week. He looked dead after the game. I think he runs into a brick wall here and has a very poor game. That will force Tannehill to pass and limit the play actions. This should open up a TEN OL that is 5th worst in pass blocking. The Titans defense is a joke. I think BAL wins big.
CHI/NO - Can't see CHI competing here. The Bears OL and QB are just awful. Mitch under constant duress is a nightmare waiting to happen. He beat up some horrible defenses down the stretch but we all know who he is. Bears defense has really regressed in the 2H of the year. Losing Roquan would be a major blow against the Saints RBs and TEs. Tell me how the Bears score?
CLE/PIT - I liked PIT before the covid stuff. The Browns defense is awful. The Steelers finally woke up in the Colts game and threw downfield to their weapons. Losing Bitonio is just a heartbreaker in this matchup against Heyward/Tuitt/Alualu on the inside. Steelers should clog up the run and then you've got Baker forced into throws on a good defense without his protector in Stefanski. No thanks.
I got +1100 at the beginning of the year for $200. Those who don’t think they can win on the road should check their road record in the Sean Peyton era. As for winning on the frozen tundra? They have done it before. Three straight years the playoff losses were straight up weird. A few breaks the other way, a few calls and people are talking about Drew Brees the way they talk about Brady..... I know we are all just a bunch a degenerate know it all gamblers on this site ?? but I’m not quite sure most of you understand what Brees and the Saints have meant to the city of New Orleans after Katrina. This is Brees last ride. He’s been every bit the player that Manning, Rogers, or Brady has been. I hope he gets that last ring because next year due to the cap, we won’t have much to cheer about. I’ll end with whatever happens I’d rather lose 30 to 0 than have it come down to a miracle catch, a blown non defensive pass interference call, or a blow non offensive pass interference call. This game looks like an awful lot like last year except this year the Saints won’t be overconfident. I’m laying the 10. After all, it’s the last ride. Good luck this weekend fellas
LAR/SEA - Every talking head has the Rams as the upset pick this weekend. The "I don't care if it's Wolford and actually would welcome him" argument is batsh!t crazy to me. This dude led the offense to 9 points at home last week in a must win vs a Cardinals front that has no one left. He was dogshit for 3 of his 4 years in college. You want him or Jared Goff with a broken thumb in a road playoff game vs Russell Wilson? Go ahead. It's true the Rams were the better team here two weeks ago. They should have won. They blew it. It'll bite them. Game has all the feelings of people looking in the mirror on Saturday night wondering WTF they were doing.
Bite who, Andy?
All indications are that Goff will play. Line is dropping and at 3 right now. I think these teams are evenly matched division rivals, Rams better defense and running attack. Can’t go wrong taking the points.
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