Posted:
#1
5-7 ATS(-3.63)
1-6 ML's(-5.00)
0-1 Totals(-2.00)
OVERALL-10.63 UNITS
Week 1 -11.66 Week 2 +1.03
Love week 3, time to dig myself out from my week 1 funeral.
1. Titans-1(-115) *2.5/2.17 units
Crazy how good the Raiders are on offense, and how horrible they are on D. Maybe facing the Saints and Falcons B2B will do that with just 2 weeks worth of data. I think they run into a buzz saw in Tennessee. The Titans aren't a top D, but I think they are highly under rated. They held the Vikings to zero offensive TD's week 1(yes I know w/ Hill at QB) And held the Lions to 13 offensive points: 1 TD, 2 FG's on the road. Don't underestimate D*ck Lebeau. It's his 58th year in the NFL as either a player or a coach.
On offense, this ground and pound is for real. It's not sexy, but it wears down the opponent. Look for Derrick Henry's touches to increase as the season moves along to keep Demarco Murray fresh. Love this duo. The raiders haven't faced much of a ground game yet this year, and in their division(last year) they faced a fairly week running attack Den, SD, KC(post Jamal injury) This year so far in a sample size their D line ranks poorly vs Run Blocking, 4.59 adj line yards. That's 30th in the league. They are 27th in stuffed rank, stopping the RB at the line of scrimmage only 15% of the time. On short downs, expect the Titans to move the chains.
The raiders secondary is beatable. Quietly, Andre Johnson has been making clutch plays. He no doubt has brought some experience to this club and a good mentor for the young wideouts.
The Titans came back late to beat the Lions on the road last week. You could say that they could have a let down, or you can say that they roll over the good mojo and bring it back home. This is a young team with a lot to prove.
The Raiders travel cross country to play a noon game, body clock angle is in play.
Got 5 more plays locked in, will write em up small soon. GL to all
0
Sac Man
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