Saints (Square) @ 49ers (Sharp) .... Which R U? Explain.....

while i agee that the DET/NO Over was a Square play, by no means was NO -10.5 a blatant square play (im not suggesting there wasnt more money on NO, it just wasnt a 70%+ Public Play).... Detroit has proven to be a public favorite n they just scored a shitload of points the week before against GB, i do not think NO was as Public a Play as they will be thiswk... SF was already a team that a lot of the Public Faded Heavily bc of them sucking lastyr and their 1970s style of run the ball and play ferocious defense and NO is a HUGE Public Play.... id imagine 75% of the public is ALL OVER N'awlens thiswk.... my play is still undecided and im genuinely TORN.... as of right now, im leaning Saints.... but not by much

Playing all the dogs this week Bets and can't pass up this home pup on a field surface  that favors defense. I for one do not see Saints putting up 30+ here mainly because SanFrans front 7 is as good as it gets and will limit both Graham and Sproles.  Just look at Brees on the road this year and it's obvious they are a completely different team away...now they take to the road and face a very well coached and rested 9ers team w/ one of the best D's in NFL on a slow track outdoors  that can slow the game down and  limit Saints possessions forcing them to navigate  long fields simply because they are the best kicking team in the league and play great defense.  Brees is a very good QB that is going to look average and have most scratching their heads Saturday,  Alex Smith is a very average QB at best that they ask not to manage the game making few mistakes and just allow their  D and specials to win games for them.  Field position dominated by 9ers is the difference  where they can win this scoring less than 30. GL!

49ers Defense have picked off 17 INT and oppoents QB rating of under 59 rating,,!

Homedogs is the play here..!

Then again, I took LSU..!

You can start by realizing the Saints don't run a spread offense.  They may come out in 4 or 5 wide every now and then, but they mostly make good use of their tight ends and RBs.  This is why their running game is ranked 6th with 160+ yards in 4 straight games.  They use just as many power (FB/2TE) sets as they use 4/5 wides.  That offense is physical and can match the size and speed of the SF defense easily.  Start with that.

For me, it comes down to SF only having a chance if they force 2+ turnovers and the Saints add on about 5+ penalties to their own drives or aid SF drives.  History says yes, SF will because the Saints have been prone to these things on the road.

However, I say no.  I see a focused team that's been there, done that.  I see SF as the one with the penalties and TOs.

Wrong.  Scored 34 @Green Bay and knocking on the door as time expired.  Also had 503 yards of offense @Jacksonville (6th ranked defense, 49ers ranked 4th).