*** San Francisco 49ers @ Arizona Cardinals ***

Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:

San Francisco 49ers @ Arizona Cardinals

"How are the Cardinals going to score on the 49ers #1 ranked defense?"

That seems to be the question of the day that I keep hearing, especially thanks to how bad ARI's offense is (or isn't?). A lot of people think the offense of ARI is anemic, but it is more of their offensive line that is atrocious. The Cardinals have playmakers on offense and if their line blocks for their QB, they always seem to put up numbers. So the real question comes... will the Cardinals have time to block for Skelton, or not? The answer is yes.

The Cardinals main weakness again is their offensive line. SF, as good of a defense as they have, they are terrible at rushing the passer this year. Don't ask me why, but they only have 11 sacks in the first 8 games. SF won't be able to exploit ARI's biggest weakness therefore Skelton should have enough time in the pocket to find his receivers downfield.

Now for the run game. The 49ers just gave up 100+ yards rushing to Marshawn Lynch on 19 carries (5.0+ YPC) and 150 yards rushing to the Giants on 34 carries (4.4 YPC). If you asked me, it would seem as if this SF defense has regressed a bit.

ARI had little to no run game for the beginning of the season, but just piled up 125 rushing yards against the Vikings top ranked rushing defense so it's safe to say they won't be absolutely terrible in the run game tonight.

Now for the spot. The Cardinals are off 3 SU losses and are now playing a home divisional game on MNF for the first time in 2 years. Think that crowd won't be electric?

ARI last 3 losses:

21-14 loss to the Vikings

Vikings total yards: 209
Cardinals total yards: 356

19-16 loss to the Bills

Bills total yards: 306
Cardinals total yards: 332

17-3 loss to the Rams

Rams total yards: 242
Cardinals total yards: 282

The 49ers are also off an emotional beatdown to the Giants in a revenge game two weeks ago and a physical divisional home game against the Seahawks. Now they have to play another divisional game. Tough to play 3 big games like that in a row.

This would be a 5 unit play for me if the 49ers weren't going into their bye week next week. Road favorites going into their bye have been really good over the past 5 years and that's the only reason i'm keeping this play small.

142984497-1

10/29/12 2:54pm

$220.00

$200.00

Pending

10/29/12 8:40pm  Reduced Football  244 Arizona Cardinals +7 -110* vs San Francisco 49ers

Quote Originally Posted by thuagame:

Hey, LC, I know this is my first post but i just want to thank for your hardwork and always respect your opinions, by the way did u have a chance to look at the system from Igetmoney (saw you send PM and want to check it out ) if you did, then what your opinion about that?

Quote Originally Posted by 2Team_Parlay:

what about the extra days of rest for the niners? dont u think that will factor in? harbaugh having those extra days to prepare for this divisional game... im leaning arizona but having trouble pulling the trigger

Quote Originally Posted by ruderunner:

Thanks for the info

 

I have SF at a pick to close out a teaser with Denver LN.

 

I am going to buy Ariz to 7.5 if I need too for 50% of my bet and hope SF hits the ML and Ariz covers with 7.5. I see a late FG to win this game I just hope it is for SF.

 

DO you have a lean on the total?

Quote Originally Posted by Mr mason:

What about Harbaugh and company having 10 days to prepare a defensive scheme to put pressure and force some sacks on Skelton? Does that weigh much on your decision to take the Cards? Your one of the few on Covers that I value a opinion from. I haven't made a play yet, but on the verge of putting a big one on the Niners before it moves to 7.5 or 8. I think San Fran will be getting short fields too. Tell me what you think.

Quote Originally Posted by jredmond:

  On it as well.  Last time i bet on the 49ers they decided not to take the safety, which would have covered.  Hope they get their butts kicked tonight.