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SB 54 $$ MADDEN SIMULATIONS (8-3/47-29) are Better than 95% of US here

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Posted: #1
INCLUDING MYSELF 


NO DISRESPECT , there are many Fantastic handicappers here on covers ...Betting on this shady league can be tough sledding ,but the Madden Simulations appear to have a good read on outcomes ..


8-3 playoffs 
47-29 To date this season ( corrected record ) 



Madden Simulations Suggested a monster mortgage wager parlay last week ( Over 49.5 -179 KC v Tenn & SAN FRANCISCO ML ) ....EASY $$$ 


I owe the Sims a ton of credit for twisting my arm in week 4 to bet the 49ers as NFC Champions ( they made the NFC Championship In 10 of the 20 full season Sims);..Never would have bet on SF on my own ...Wheeled the 49ers with my top 9 teams from the AFC ( Cashed SF vs K C+3075 for $65)

much props to the great cover Brother who encouraged it ( Where you at ?? I forgot your name !!) ....














ANYWAYS LETS GET TO IT 


BEST OF LUCK TO ALL COVERS BROTHERS


MAY WE ALL LIVE IN FANTASTIC HEALTH



BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Simulation #1 

KC gets the ball and goes the length of the field in 10 plays , Travis Kelce scores a 6 yd TD ...
SF goes on a 18 play drive that wastes much of the first qtr and scores on a Matt Brieda TD ...

KC Goes 3 and out ....
SF eats up clock again on a 15 play drive anf scored on a Debo jet sweep ....
KC gets to the 50 before Hardman fumbles.    
SF kicks a 41 yard field goal and takes a 17-7 lead ....
KC converts a 4th and one at the SF 38 and ggoes on to kick a 33 yard FG 
17-10 
SF gets one first down before punting ...


2nd half 
San Fran rips down the field before Kittle scores on a 16 yd catch .24-10 ...
SF gets a good pass rush with only 4 rushers , Mahomes gets sacked on 3rd and 11 ...
SF drives down the field and kicks a 40 yr FG  27-10 ....
KC has trouble moving the chains before Tyreke Hill draws Pass interference for a 47 yard gain .. Damien Williams scores from the 4 ....27-17 .....

4th qtr 
SF finally has a 3 and out with help from 2 holding calls ...
KC gets to the SF 38 before Mahomes throws an INT ....Sherman returns the pick to the KC 29 , 5 plays later Mostert scores 34-17 ...
KC Mahomes has an excellent drive capped off by a 17 yard TD to Hill ....34-24 ....
49ers waste over 6 minutes before missing a 47 yard FG ....
KC drives , but stalls at the SF 19 ....
SF kneels on the ball 



SF WINS 34-24 
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Simulation #2 

KC scores on the opening drive again ..
SF gets a few first Downs and punts ..
KC drives to the SF 45 , before punting ..
SF drives and kicks a FG ....
MAHOMES is trying to do to much , fumbles at SF 44...SF 3- KC 7 . 

2ND qtr 
SF drives and takes the lead on a JIMMY G Td run ...10-7 
KC gets one first down before punting ..
SF drives and scores on a E Sanders 11 yd TD catch ..17-7 ..
KC drives and kicks a 41 yd FG 17-10..
SF punts after 6 plays ...
KC drives to the SF 31 before missing a FG ...17-10 AT HALF 


SF drives the length of the field before a Bourne TD catch ...24-10
KC gets to the 45 before punting ...
SF gets to their own 40 before punting ...
KC puts together a nice drive aided by 3 defensive penalties that ends with a Kelce 2 yd TD ...24-17 ...

4TH QTR 
SF gets to the KC 47 before punting ..
KC puts together a nice drive that ends with a Mahomes 7 yd boot leg TD ...24-24 ..
SF goes the length of the field in 18 plays and scores on a Mostert TD 31-24.   
MAHOMES has a made for TV drive that ends with a Watkins TD catch ....
SF runs and gets a couple first Downs before the clock runs out ...

31-31 in to OT ....

San Fran goes 3 and out 
KC gets 2 first Downs before punting ...
SF gets to the KC 45 before Brieda fumbles ...KC kicks the game winning 38 yard FG 


KC WINS 34-31 in a made for TV thriller ..


BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #4
2019/ 2020 to date 

REGULAR  SEASON WEEKLY 27-21.   +$1550

PLAYOFFS. 3-8. -$1,025.50

FUTURES + $3,1008.25  

+$3,632.50  WWE SEASON to DATE TOTAL OVERALL
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Simulation #3 

SF gets the ball and drives the field before scoring on a Mostert TD ..7-0
KC drives and kicks a 34 yd FG 7-3.
SF Chews up a ton of clock before kicking a FG 10-3 
KC punts after 7 plays ...
SF punts after 7 plays 
KC goes 3 and out 
SF punts 
KC turns the ball over 
SF drives and scores on a 7 yard pass to Sanders ..17-3 
KC returns to kickoff to the KC 40 and kicks a FG 17-6 ...
SF runs out the first half clock ...

KC scores on a 47 yard T Hill catch 17-13 
SF kicks a FG 20-13 
KC drives and punts 
SF drives and punts 
KC drives and scores on a D Williams TD 20-20 ...
SF DRIVES and scores on a 16 yd Kittle TD 
27-20
KC drives and punts
SF fumbles at the 45 .
KC scores 2 plays later and ties it at 27 ...
SF punts after 7 plays 
KC misses a FG ....
JIMMY G fumbles and T Suggs scores on a 34 yd recovery ..27-34 ...
San Fran gets to the KC 44 before TOD ...


KC WINS 34-27 


BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #6
Point Spread Ratings 

KC 99    Ref Help +2.2 ?
SF.  101.2

Point Spread Ratings do NOT suggest a wager !!!












SCORE CHART 


49ers  34 
Chiefs   33 

Score chart suggest a large play on the OVER 54 $$$
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Not waiting any longer to make a Bet ....


OVER 54 -105 
$1050/1000 
I've seen enough from the 4 ( post 4th one shortly ) Madden Simulations & Score Chart.
...KC Overs are almost an insta Bet when healthy ..Chiefs lack discipline on defense , take too many bonehead encroachment and other penalties...49ers should rack up yards in chunks , and the Shady NFL will probably do anything they can to help KC if needed ....No idea who wins , although I have a small lean on the 49ers , but I'll be shocked if this stays under ...

Looking forward to what the rest of the Simulations forecast...
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #8
Good luck my brother from another mother but same year brother! It’s been fun!! 
 
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ENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUE Wednesday action 



Mega Chalk Parlay 
$132/$150.53 
LEICESTER -205
TOTTENHAM  -228 
The SIMULATIONS have both squads winning all 6 Sims ...
Be careful Leicester has burned bankrolls over the last month ....

Leicester 2-1/3-0/2-0
TOTTENHAM 2-0/3-1/2-0



Long shot payoff ???

BURNLEY PK +600 
$30/180 
Just for action , Not like Manchester United is playing great Futbol ...Burnley is fresh off beating Leicester....
Simulations 
Manchester United. 2-1/1-2/2-2
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #10

I like it DU and followed you but not for as much.  The way too early forecast calls for 68% chance of rain and 11 mph winds.  GL

 
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Posted: #11
Love the simulations!  How was the Halftime show?

2020
 
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Posted: #12
DU , Thanks Bud.

I'm liking my Over 51 1/2  even more . 

Blessings and Good luck , my friend 
Helping Kama'aina to beat their " Local " since 1994.
 
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No disrespect Double Up but there is a wise saying in criticism of computer simulations. GIGO, meaning Garbage I- Garbage Out. Computer models have to be insanely complicated to be predictive and the world they predict has to conform to mathematical formulas or as they always say now algorithms. In baseball they can do that, football not so much. 

 

You are playing checkers against chess players when you match your Madden Simulations against the Vegas oddsmakers. But let's keep gambling anyway....it's fun.

 

 

 
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Posted: #14

Is there a link to Madden that you are referring too

 
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Posted: #15
Quote Originally Posted by lordzud:

No disrespect Double Up but there is a wise saying in criticism of computer simulations. GIGO, meaning Garbage I- Garbage Out. Computer models have to be insanely complicated to be predictive and the world they predict has to conform to mathematical formulas or as they always say now algorithms. In baseball they can do that, football not so much. 

 

You are playing checkers against chess players when you match your Madden Simulations against the Vegas oddsmakers. But let's keep gambling anyway....it's fun.

 

 





LZ , I agree . For me , I trust my $$ in the same info 
I have used , in my 40 years of capping.
Putting my resources at risk based on information
generated by others is too risky for me..

LZ,  
Helping Kama'aina to beat their " Local " since 1994.
 
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Posted: #16

Quote Originally Posted by DoubleUp4Life:

Not waiting any longer to make a Bet ....OVER 54 -105 $1050/1000 I've seen enough from the 4 ( post 4th one shortly ) Madden Simulations & Score Chart....KC Overs are almost an insta Bet when healthy ..Chiefs lack discipline on defense , take too many bonehead encroachment and other penalties...49ers should rack up yards in chunks , and the Shady NFL will probably do anything they can to help KC if needed ....No idea who wins , although I have a small lean on the 49ers , but I'll be shocked if this stays under ...Looking forward to what the rest of the Simulations forecast...

Spot on...peace_5

America First
 
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Posted: #17

Quote Originally Posted by DoubleUp4Life:

Not waiting any longer to make a Bet ....OVER 54 -105 $1050/1000 I've seen enough from the 4 ( post 4th one shortly ) Madden Simulations & Score Chart....KC Overs are almost an insta Bet when healthy ..Chiefs lack discipline on defense , take too many bonehead encroachment and other penalties...49ers should rack up yards in chunks , and the Shady NFL will probably do anything they can to help KC if needed ....No idea who wins , although I have a small lean on the 49ers , but I'll be shocked if this stays under ...Looking forward to what the rest of the Simulations forecast...

I've understood your reasoning on past comments regarding ref help but please help me understand this one??  KC was one of the top 3 preseason favorites for AFC and SB futures.  SB were anywhere from +400 to +800 depending on if it was before or during the season.  The Niners are gonna pay out the most on return for their SB future investors but how much of a handle do the books have from these?  SF was +3500 if you bet them back in the spring, along with KC at +650/700.  Like I said, no idea the handle the books have on these two but what else would make you think the NFL would rather see KC win?  

America First
 
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Posted: #18

500.00 on Heads !!!an_cheers.  its 50/50   hahahaha

 
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Posted: #19

Where can I parlay the next 7 Madden simulations all to the over?

I never play parlays, but I would bet that one. 

Double....I have said this before.....you are betting on a meaningless computer game...….you are better than this. 

Gamble for entertainment, invest for wealth!
 
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Posted: #20
Quote Originally Posted by insatiable:

Good luck my brother from another mother but same year brother! It’s been fun!! 

It's been a blast Brother from another mother but same year ...
Sweep your Super Bowl board 
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #21
Quote Originally Posted by Kdog74:

I like it DU and followed you but not for as much.  The way too early forecast calls for 68% chance of rain and 11 mph winds.  GL



Unless it gets real sloppy this should soar Over ....

Best of luck Brother 
APPRECIATE you reading and posting 
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #22
Quote Originally Posted by WISEGUY36:

DU , Thanks Bud.

I'm liking my Over 51 1/2  even more . 

Blessings and Good luck , my friend 


Looks great .My local slow rolled me on Super Bowl lines + odds ....


Best of Luck Brother
Sweep your board 
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #23
Quote Originally Posted by lordzud:

No disrespect Double Up but there is a wise saying in criticism of computer simulations. GIGO, meaning Garbage I- Garbage Out. Computer models have to be insanely complicated to be predictive and the world they predict has to conform to mathematical formulas or as they always say now algorithms. In baseball they can do that, football not so much. 

 

You are playing checkers against chess players when you match your Madden Simulations against the Vegas oddsmakers. But let's keep gambling anyway....it's fun.

 

 



Brother 3 years ago I would have thought anyone doing video game Simulations to dictate bets was a  ridiculous fool .....

Then I read about some Bettors in the UK using FIFA Simulations to handicap soccer games .....
I quickly bought FIFA , and Began Simulating the world Cup ....Did 16 World cups and France made it to the final 4  a majority of the time, and won 6 times....I blindly tailed and won $5400 ....

Since then I've won another $12,000+ betting soccer ( A sport that I have no business wagering on ) ....

Last NFL season I did Madden Simulations , but didn't use them too often to dictate wagers or influence my handicapping ...Looking at my notes the Simulations went 23-13 in a small sample size ....

This season , I kept track but didn't start using the results for handicapping until week 5 ....It forecasted my Bills season wins over 6.5 as easy money , and my Bears & Chargers  Futures as burnt money ....

Truthfully I think it's just a coincidence that the simulations are winning $$$ , but I can't argue with 8-3 and 47-29 

BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #24
Quote Originally Posted by Snapstick70:

Is there a link to Madden that you are referring too


I simulate the games myself ....
 tweeked the settings last year to be very close to an average snap count of an NFL game ...Each Simulation last around 47-63 minutes.   
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
 
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Posted: #25

Quote Originally Posted by DoubleUp4Life:

ENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUE Wednesday action Mega Chalk Parlay $132/$150.53 LEICESTER -205TOTTENHAM  -228 The SIMULATIONS have both squads winning all 6 Sims ...Be careful Leicester has burned bankrolls over the last month ....Leicester 2-1/3-0/2-0TOTTENHAM 2-0/3-1/2-0Long shot payoff ???BURNLEY PK +600 $30/180 Just for action , Not like Manchester United is playing great Futbol ...Burnley is fresh off beating Leicester....Simulations Manchester United. 2-1/1-2/2-2

Nice plays today brother!!!!!!

I played your parlay and cashed it but I am such a donkey and parlayed Burnley with Rangers -1.5. They were supposed to be the mega chalk.

Crazy to watch them leaving the stadium with time on the clock. They are getting fed up.

I wouldn't even bother arguing with the haters about the simulations. Why change something that is working even if it is just luck? Ride the wave man.

 

Good look bro

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