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SB 54 $$ MADDEN SIMULATIONS (8-3/47-29) are Better than 95% of US here

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Prospect
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Posted: #26
Awesome that you do this!  Keep up the great work 
 
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Posted: #27
"Each Simulation last[s] around 47-63 minutes."

Thank you very much for all of your time and effort.  I appreciate it even if I don't tail.
 
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Posted: #28
Quote Originally Posted by DoubleUp4Life:

ENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUE Wednesday action 



Mega Chalk Parlay 
$132/$150.53 
LEICESTER -205
TOTTENHAM  -228 
The SIMULATIONS have both squads winning all 6 Sims ...
Be careful Leicester has burned bankrolls over the last month ....

Leicester 2-1/3-0/2-0
TOTTENHAM 2-0/3-1/2-0



Long shot payoff ???

BURNLEY PK +600 
$30/180 
Just for action , Not like Manchester United is playing great Futbol ...Burnley is fresh off beating Leicester....
Simulations 
Manchester United. 2-1/1-2/2-2




Wow Burnley pulls off the 2-0 Upset +$180 

Leicester wins 4-1 , Tottenham 2-1 parlay pays $150.53 


Lost $50 on Arsenal 



1-0. +$280.53 so Far for Matchday 24 
 ( only $100+ wagers count towards overall record )
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #29

DubUp...thanks for the simulations...I enjoy reading them and there are a couple on youtube I glance at also. Your record is amazing using them...all the best in 2020! thumbs_up

 
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Posted: #30
ENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUE 

33-29-20 +$1078.86


MD 24*.     1-0.       +$280.53 

MD 23.       2-1-3.    +$139.50

MD. 22.      1-3.        -$581.50

MD.  21.     0-0.        +$175

MD.  20.    3-0.        +$439.23

Md 19.      1-1.       -$82 

MD 18.      0-1.      -$320

MD 17.     1-2-1.    -$160

MD. 16.    0-0-3.   +$57

MD 15.     3-0.     +$789.33

MD 14.     1-0-1.  +$168.80

Md.  13.   1-2-2.   -198

MD. 12.   1-1.  -26.50

MD 11.  1-2.   -$354.84

MD. 10.  2-0-1 +447.50 

MD 9.   1-4.      -661

MD 8   3-1-1.  +$252 

MD 7.  2-1-2    +$284

MD  6.  2-3-1.   -96.50 

MD 5.   2-1-1. +419

MD 4.  2-1-2.    +$48

MD 3.     2-1.    +$200 

MD 2.    1-1-2.  +$240.50

MD 1.     0-3.   -$391 
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #31
Western Fair 


DEGENERATE action at it's it's from London Ontario 



60 cent pick 4 
Race 3.    3,4,6,7
Race 4.    1 
Race 5.    2,4,6
Race 6.    2,3,4,8,9
Cost $36 



20 cent pick 4 
Race 3.    3,4,6,7
Race 4.    3
Race 5.    2,4,6
Race 6.    2,3,4,8,9
Cost $12

BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #32
Quote Originally Posted by kcblitzkrieg:

I've understood your reasoning on past comments regarding ref help but please help me understand this one??  KC was one of the top 3 preseason favorites for AFC and SB futures.  SB were anywhere from +400 to +800 depending on if it was before or during the season.  The Niners are gonna pay out the most on return for their SB future investors but how much of a handle do the books have from these?  SF was +3500 if you bet them back in the spring, along with KC at +650/700.  Like I said, no idea the handle the books have on these two but what else would make you think the NFL would rather see KC win?  



I've watched a good amount of KC games on the all 22 ...Seems like there are often drives where they get away with a slew of holding and pick plays ( Much like the Patriots used ).   
I didn't see them catching many breaks on defense  , but when In a close game in the 2nd half the flags are put away when points are needed ..  
I'll have to check my notes , but according to my WWE BS list they rank as the 3rd most assisted team in the league .....

Of course I could be way off , but that All 22 makes it really difficult for the NFL to hide their " shadiness "


MAHOMES winning a ring would be huge for the NFL ...  No one on San Fran is half as marketable as Showtime !!!!


Best of luck Brother 
Sweep your board




BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #33
Western Fair 

20 cent pick 4 
Race 7.   1,2,3
Rsce 8.    3,6,7,8
Race 9.    2,3,4,8
Race 10.   1,4,6,9
Cost 38.40 


This is a tough one , keeping it light 
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #34

Quote Originally Posted by DoubleUp4Life:

Quote Originally Posted by kcblitzkrieg:

I've understood your reasoning on past comments regarding ref help but please help me understand this one??  KC was one of the top 3 preseason favorites for AFC and SB futures.  SB were anywhere from +400 to +800 depending on if it was before or during the season.  The Niners are gonna pay out the most on return for their SB future investors but how much of a handle do the books have from these?  SF was +3500 if you bet them back in the spring, along with KC at +650/700.  Like I said, no idea the handle the books have on these two but what else would make you think the NFL would rather see KC win?  
I've watched a good amount of KC games on the all 22 ...Seems like there are often drives where they get away with a slew of holding and pick plays ( Much like the Patriots used ).   I didn't see them catching many breaks on defense  , but when In a close game in the 2nd half the flags are put away when points are needed ..  I'll have to check my notes , but according to my WWE BS list they rank as the 3rd most assisted team in the league .....Of course I could be way off , but that All 22 makes it really difficult for the NFL to hide their " shadiness "MAHOMES winning a ring would be huge for the NFL ...  No one on San Fran is half as marketable as Showtime !!!!Best of luck Brother Sweep your board

Appreciate it peace_5 and I hope you prove yourself right 

 
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Posted: #35
Quote Originally Posted by DoubleUp4Life:

Western Fair 


DEGENERATE action at it's it's from London Ontario 



60 cent pick 4 
Race 3.    3,4,6,7
Race 4.    1 
Race 5.    2,4,6
Race 6.    2,3,4,8,9
Cost $36 



20 cent pick 4 
Race 3.    3,4,6,7
Race 4.    3
Race 5.    2,4,6
Race 6.    2,3,4,8,9
Cost $12




Winner on the 60 cent pick 4    4/1/6/3 Paid $82.59.  
Spent $48.  
Profit 34.59 

Lost the late pick 4  -$38.40 

Down $3.81 on the night 
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #36
Quote Originally Posted by angle2win:

500.00 on Heads !!!an_cheers.  its 50/50   hahahaha


Tails Never Fails

Jk 
Go get em .....
Best of Luck Brother


a
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #37
Quote Originally Posted by gambleholic63:

Where can I parlay the next 7 Madden simulations all to the over?

I never play parlays, but I would bet that one. 

Double....I have said this before.....you are betting on a meaningless computer game...….you are better than this. 



Wish that was the case Brother ....
But the proof is in the pudding , and the FIFA Simulations have won me over $17k , and the Madden Simulations have done very well this season  ( better than my score Chart or point spread ratings ) 

The SIMULATIONS have been very good with the Chiefs this season  ( 4-1 on suggested plays )  for a total of 9-3 on all simulated leans ...


I personally don't bet many unders , the Simulations were spot on the Steelers andd Bills under the total ...The teams combined to go under 24 of 32 games ...Again I was too dumb to tail as the Simulated leans went 6-2( not suggested ) 

The Sims sucked on Cowboys and Broncos games !!! 


Anyways 
Best of luck Brother
Much Respect
Sweep your board 


BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #38

This is awesome! I feel like i just came across a gold mine!

Now the reaaal money maker

who do you think wins the MVP? I was thinking maybe going with Mostert... idkkk

do the simulations give you that ?

 
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Posted: #39

Ive been on such a bad tare as of late. Im willing to follow a damn simulation bc i got nothin but red lol i jus havent seen any of your posts all year. Im jealous of your findings. Keep it up Coverbrudda

 
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Posted: #40
Quote Originally Posted by Mksniper:

Nice plays today brother!!!!!!

I played your parlay and cashed it but I am such a donkey and parlayed Burnley with Rangers -1.5. They were supposed to be the mega chalk.

Crazy to watch them leaving the stadium with time on the clock. They are getting fed up.

I wouldn't even bother arguing with the haters about the simulations. Why change something that is working even if it is just luck? Ride the wave man.

 

Good look bro


I probably would have passed on Burnley or just played Rangers FC at -1.5 ...

Was worried about Tottenham , thank God Son scored ...Can't believe this squad is still alive in the champions league .....I'm hoping the Sims like Leipzig ...

I can't argue with anyone , would have agreed with them a few years ago ....

APPRECIATE the kindness , it's rare on the interweb ...

Sweep your board BROTHER
Best of Blessings and Luck 



BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #41
Simulation #4 

San Fran goes down the field in 8 plays amd then is forced to kick a FG 3-0
KC Watkins catches 3 balls on the opening drive including a 22 yd TD 3-7 ....
SF gets to mid field and punts ...
KC has the ball at the end of the first Into rhe 2nd 

KC drives down the field and scores on a McCoy Td ..3-14 
SF draws 2 penalties that lead to a 40 YD FG 6-14
KC drives to mid field before punting ...
SF has a long drive that leads to a FG 9-14 at Half. ..


KC goes 3 and out ..
SF gets to mid field and Jimmy G is picked off ...
KC drives and kicks a FG 9-17..
SF has a drive that stalls at KC 35 ...
KC scores in 4 plays on a HILL TD 9-24 ...

San Fran scores on a 41 Yard  Sanders TD 16-24 
Kc goes 8 plays and punts ...
SF drives to mid field before punting ..
KC scores on a 62 yard Hardman TD 16-31
SF drives and scores with 220 left 24-31....
KC runs out the clock ....


Final score KC 31-24 ...

BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #42
Quote Originally Posted by LoafOfBread:

This is awesome! I feel like i just came across a gold mine!

Now the reaaal money maker

who do you think wins the MVP? I was thinking maybe going with Mostert... idkkk

do the simulations give you that ?


Thanks Brother for the kindness .   
I usually only post all my picks in  the College Football forum , this season I've been venturing over here to the NFL Forum..


Gold ??
Be careful ,  I can be King Midas in reverse

The Sims don't give me an mvp., But here are my current leans ...
If KC wins it's going to be almost impossible to beat Mahomes (+115), unless a defensive player makes a game saving / winning play late or an offensive player goes bananas .....
I like Mostert but not sure if there is any value there at the current +600 after his huge game last week ....

Right now I'd don't think betting any option large ia a good idea , but here are my current leans with possible bet amounts 

Bosa +2200.   $26
 Could get a few sacks , including a game clinching one ..

Frank Clark +6600.  $8.50
What if he lives on the backfield ???

Hardman +7500. $9.25 
  The forgotten man I'm all the headlines ...Ultra fast and could be wide open at times ...


Bourne +12500. $4
   What if he catches the game winning TD , or scores twice ?

Gould +12500.  $4
 Might need to kick 5+ field goals including the game winner 

Kwon Alexander  $4
+15000. 
Would need to make many huge plays 

Sorensen +20000. $3
 Played like rhe MVP in the 2nd half vs Titans ...

Butker +32500.  $1.75 
Might need to kick 7+ field goals including game winner 




Best of luck Brother 
Sweep your board




BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #43
KC won 3 of 4 sims. 
 
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Posted: #44
Quote Originally Posted by RIZIN_MMA:

KC won 3 of 4 sims. 

Too small of a sample size ....
The game sure does love Mahomes though ( heck he's on the cover ,LOL) 

I'll wait until all 10 are completed ....

My score chart and gut twisted my arm to insta bet the over ....

Madden Simulations only suggest 
Standard wager 7 of 10 ( 1-2 units ) 
Large wager 8 of 10 ( 3-4 units ) 
Mortgage wager. 9+ Sims ( 4.5+ units ) ..
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #45

Quote Originally Posted by lordzud:

No disrespect Double Up but there is a wise saying in criticism of computer simulations. GIGO, meaning Garbage I- Garbage Out. Computer models have to be insanely complicated to be predictive and the world they predict has to conform to mathematical formulas or as they always say now algorithms. In baseball they can do that, football not so much.    You are playing checkers against chess players when you match your Madden Simulations against the Vegas oddsmakers. But let's keep gambling anyway....it's fun.

I think the folks who sell you (and every one else) insurance policies would beg to differ.  They make billions of dollars every year simply from taking past performance (e.g. accidents or in this case tackles for loss or interceptions, etc.) to predict future occurrences.  Not complicated at all.  Just simple statistics.  These Sims are probably just some monte carlo type assessments that choose the most likely result on each play.

It is not a sure thing by any means, but gambling is not either.  You play the side that has the higher probability of covering based on your capping.  How you determine that side is based largely on data from past performances.  Trends and Angles for example are based  largely on what teams did in the past in similar situation.  Power Ratings as well are completely based on teams statistics.

I am quite sure that the oddsmakers have their own predictive models and simulations.  Too much money at stake for them to not to.

That being said, I already bet the over even before reading this thread.  Mahommes is too mobile for SF D Line to contain in pocket, and SF D-Baacks are average at best, so I think KC puts up low 30's.  KC just gave up 24 to Tenn Offense, and 24 to Houston.  I rate SF O even better overall than both those teams, and see them scoring in the high 20's.

BOL to all. peace_5

 

 

 
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Posted: #46

What are the simulations saying for today's EPL. That -150 Liverpool line looks fishy to me.

 
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Posted: #47
All Rise for some Monday Night Football 
Ok well 3pm est ...


Wolverhampton vs Liverpool 

2 of my favorite squads to bet on in the premier league ..

If the Reds win the Premier League I'll cash a $4,038 futures wager ...



Match facts 

Wolves have lost each of their last six Premier League meetings with Liverpool, scoring just one goal in that run, since a 1-0 win at Anfield in December 2010.

Liverpool haven’t lost away against Wolves in league competition since August 1981. They’ve won three and drawn three of their six visits to Molineux since, keeping a clean sheet in each of the last four.

Liverpool have won each of their last eight evening kick-offs in the Premier League (7pm or later), scoring 31 goals in these games and conceding just six in return.

Liverpool have won their last seven Premier League games without conceding a goal – the last time a team won eight in a row without conceding was in February 2009, when Manchester United won nine consecutively.

Over 10.5 Corners has caught my eye as both of these squads average over 6 per game ...I'll definitely track them in the Simulations .....



On to the Simulations 
I'll defer , and allow them to dictate my action ...

BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #48
Wolverhampton vs Liverpool 

Simulation # 1 
Both teams get plenty of chances in the first half and blow them !!!0-0 

Liverpool scores in the 52nd  ( Virgil on a corner ) 
Mane scores in the 65th ... 
Traore scores for Wolves in the 77th but VAR disallows it ( VAR loves rhe Reds this season ) ...
Traore scores in the  85th minute ...
14 total corners !!!!
Reds win 2-1 ....





Simulation #2 

Tons of chances in the first half ....
8 corners , including one stretch with 4 in 3 minutes .. 
Salah scores in the 29th minute ...
Firmino scores in the 42nd ....

2nd half 
Wolves keep missing the target ...
Already at 11 corners in the 65th minute ...
Jimenez scores for Wolves in the 81st ...
Wolves take a red card in the 85th.    

Reds win 2-1 with 15 corners ... 




Simulation #3 
Jimenez scores for Wolves in the 11th minute ...
Wolves MISS a PK in the 23rd ...
Reds can't get a real shot on a goal until the 30th minute ...
Wolverhampton scores again in the 43rd on an own goal ....only 4 corners in the first half ...

2nd half 
Liverpool dominate the ball but can't score until the 66th minute ( Mane ).  
Wolves try to play keep away but get sloppy and Salah scores to tie it up in rhe 91st minute.     

Game ends in a 2-2 draw ...
Only 10 corners.    




Simulation #4 
Both squads squander their chances ...
Henderson scores in the 39th ...
5 corners ....

2nd half 
Liverpool get their chances and rack up the games 11 corner before the 69th minute. 
Wolves take a red card and concede a penalty to ( Salah ) 71st 
Reds play keep away , but the Wolves miss 2 golden chances ...

Reds win 2-0 ...12 corners ...




Simulation #5 
This game looks completely different than the other 4 ....
No real chances until the 35th ...
No goals ...Only 3 corners ..  

2nd half 
Much of the same before WOLVES score on a own goal in the 67rh ...
Reds get their chances and choke until sub Origi scores in the 88th.    

Game ends in a 1-1 draw .....9 corners 




Bets to follow 


BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
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Posted: #49
Looking to get a ton of action with much risk ....

The SIMULATIONS can't recommend Liverpool -141 or PK --350 since 2 of 5 end in a draw , and the Wolves had their chances .

CORNERS OVER 
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE 
EXACT SCORE APPEAR THE WAY TO GO.  .




Standard Wagers 

CORNERS OVER 10 +100 
$150/150

Both Teams to score -110 
$110/100 



Smaller wagers 
Exact score Prop 
Wolverhampton vs Liverpool
1-2.  +800.    $37.50/300
1-3    +1400.    14.50/203
2-2      +1800.    11.50/207



BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
 
 
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Posted: #50
Quote Originally Posted by Mksniper:

What are the simulations saying for today's EPL. That -150 Liverpool line looks fishy to me.



Yeah I'm not a fan of that line ...On my gut I think it should be around -120 .....

That being said the World wide spotlight of  a primetime Thursday match might be too great for Wolverhampton.....



What do you lean on or bet ???

BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
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