80 % of money is on KC
And 2 to 1 on SF as far as money bet. Who cares about the percentage of tickets on each side?
And 2 to 1 on SF as far as money bet. Who cares about the percentage of tickets on each side?
SBR is 53/47 Chiefs
SBR is 53/47 Chiefs
This is what I was saying.
If you think the public is wrong because they are dumb, to me, that makes no sense, public has been right a number of times.
If you think the public is wrong because there is too much money at stake and Vegas controls the outcome of the game before it is played, explain how the fix is in. IMHO the easiest way to have a shot at fixing these games is to have a secret directive handed down to the field officials from the NFL stating how the game should be called which favors a specific outcome (i.e. call more holding penalties, keeps the game lower scoring by rewinding long plays/scoring plays). Lastly, "just let them play" favors a higher scoring game.
Higher scoring game favors KC (fewer overall penalties called)
Lower scoring game favors SF (anything resembling a penalty is called)
That's why nearly all the KC backers are saying the over is a (lock) and all the SF backers are preaching about the under.
This is what I was saying.
If you think the public is wrong because they are dumb, to me, that makes no sense, public has been right a number of times.
If you think the public is wrong because there is too much money at stake and Vegas controls the outcome of the game before it is played, explain how the fix is in. IMHO the easiest way to have a shot at fixing these games is to have a secret directive handed down to the field officials from the NFL stating how the game should be called which favors a specific outcome (i.e. call more holding penalties, keeps the game lower scoring by rewinding long plays/scoring plays). Lastly, "just let them play" favors a higher scoring game.
Higher scoring game favors KC (fewer overall penalties called)
Lower scoring game favors SF (anything resembling a penalty is called)
That's why nearly all the KC backers are saying the over is a (lock) and all the SF backers are preaching about the under.
chasing MLB World Series losses?
chasing MLB World Series losses?
Guys guys guys...hold on here.... Your current covers % is correct. VI % is not representative of multiple books, only one I believe and that is William Hill (although a monster book that is), but yes VI has KC at 67%. This is probably the highest out there but the site that lists ALL of the offshore books has KC at 53% / SF 47% BUT....you must also take into account the ML %, especially on such a short line. When you compare the ML vs. the spread it is a whole different story. The Niners are now 58% vs. KC 42% ML. VI shows 53% SF vs. 47% KC.
Claw, if you are saying the squares you know as "the public" went 2-0 that is one thing, can't argue. If you are referring to "the public" as representing those % on Covers / VI / SBR I can tell you that is not the correct info on the public being 2-0 in conference finals.
Our very own covers had Green Bay at 58% and Tennesse at 56% 0-2 for covers public
SBR had KC slightly ahead at 53% but Tennessee was 66% on the money line. The Packers were 53% point spread and 66% money line. Now when the lines first opened up yes heavy action was on the favorites but by game day this was how the money looked. 0-2 public big time.
Just want to make sure the correct narrative is out there on these numbers as I follow them extremely close and have so for a decade plus. There are definitely correlations to make based on the book's winning vs. losing weekends / games. GL on Sunday
Guys guys guys...hold on here.... Your current covers % is correct. VI % is not representative of multiple books, only one I believe and that is William Hill (although a monster book that is), but yes VI has KC at 67%. This is probably the highest out there but the site that lists ALL of the offshore books has KC at 53% / SF 47% BUT....you must also take into account the ML %, especially on such a short line. When you compare the ML vs. the spread it is a whole different story. The Niners are now 58% vs. KC 42% ML. VI shows 53% SF vs. 47% KC.
Claw, if you are saying the squares you know as "the public" went 2-0 that is one thing, can't argue. If you are referring to "the public" as representing those % on Covers / VI / SBR I can tell you that is not the correct info on the public being 2-0 in conference finals.
Our very own covers had Green Bay at 58% and Tennesse at 56% 0-2 for covers public
SBR had KC slightly ahead at 53% but Tennessee was 66% on the money line. The Packers were 53% point spread and 66% money line. Now when the lines first opened up yes heavy action was on the favorites but by game day this was how the money looked. 0-2 public big time.
Just want to make sure the correct narrative is out there on these numbers as I follow them extremely close and have so for a decade plus. There are definitely correlations to make based on the book's winning vs. losing weekends / games. GL on Sunday
sounds like good fade material!
Poor guy, although I am sure he is plenty rich from his mattress biz and this is chump change to him.
sounds like good fade material!
Poor guy, although I am sure he is plenty rich from his mattress biz and this is chump change to him.
sources my friends who write in vegas
sources my friends who write in vegas
Boys. Boys. Boys.
All I see is Money on the Chiefs! Money on the 49'ers!
Sounds like the Super Bowl.... lmao
Its the two best American Football teams. Period. It's High Power O vs. High Power D
There's a reason this is historically the most bet game in all of sports.
With all this being said. might sound cliche... but Defense ALWAYS wins Championships.
The Slogan Didn't Come From Nowhere...
Theres only one side to bet in this game... WIN or LOSE.
SWIGZ
Boys. Boys. Boys.
All I see is Money on the Chiefs! Money on the 49'ers!
Sounds like the Super Bowl.... lmao
Its the two best American Football teams. Period. It's High Power O vs. High Power D
There's a reason this is historically the most bet game in all of sports.
With all this being said. might sound cliche... but Defense ALWAYS wins Championships.
The Slogan Didn't Come From Nowhere...
Theres only one side to bet in this game... WIN or LOSE.
SWIGZ
SF bettors are obviously betting ML and KC bettor are obviously betting spread. Aside from anyone listing %, I'd be interested to see something concrete about "where the money is going" - $ figures
SF bettors are obviously betting ML and KC bettor are obviously betting spread. Aside from anyone listing %, I'd be interested to see something concrete about "where the money is going" - $ figures
unless you're talking directly to people who write bets you should throw out all the sbr and others shit like insights. the overall money is 65 kc 6 figure bets and more sf and 80% overall money over
unless you're talking directly to people who write bets you should throw out all the sbr and others shit like insights. the overall money is 65 kc 6 figure bets and more sf and 80% overall money over
let's not forget all the best fades will not post until right before game. fades like xeno aka BEEFREE. one of the internet's all time fades. hes like the mushberger of 70 yr old government cheese eaters lol.
let's not forget all the best fades will not post until right before game. fades like xeno aka BEEFREE. one of the internet's all time fades. hes like the mushberger of 70 yr old government cheese eaters lol.
I think he made a ton of money on that. He had like a 15 million dollar liability on his "Houston wins the Series and your mattress is free" promo. He saved a ton of money on that bet.
I think he made a ton of money on that. He had like a 15 million dollar liability on his "Houston wins the Series and your mattress is free" promo. He saved a ton of money on that bet.
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