Leaning Green Bay heavily but shields getting downgraded to doubtful was a huge disappointment for me earlier today. He is an extremely underrated peice of their defense due to lack of depth at the position. They will be playing a rookie on Desean Jackson now. Still lean gb but won't be playing for them as big, if at all. Will know more tomorrow
As for this game, all my thoughts are in original post. The first matchup was 21-0 at halftime and the game was over. As people have mentioned, Vikings isn't a team that can come back from huge deficits.
So what happens if the Seahawks don't jump out to a strong lead and Minnesota can play their normal offense ?
Vikings +6 is my top play, tail at your own risk.
Now though you have a solid write up, but you said what if Vikings get to run their normal offense. If they're smart they would hand the rock to AllDay and let him do work. But they won't and Seattle will roll 28-0
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Quote Originally Posted by LeagueCapper:
Leaning Green Bay heavily but shields getting downgraded to doubtful was a huge disappointment for me earlier today. He is an extremely underrated peice of their defense due to lack of depth at the position. They will be playing a rookie on Desean Jackson now. Still lean gb but won't be playing for them as big, if at all. Will know more tomorrow
As for this game, all my thoughts are in original post. The first matchup was 21-0 at halftime and the game was over. As people have mentioned, Vikings isn't a team that can come back from huge deficits.
So what happens if the Seahawks don't jump out to a strong lead and Minnesota can play their normal offense ?
Vikings +6 is my top play, tail at your own risk.
Now though you have a solid write up, but you said what if Vikings get to run their normal offense. If they're smart they would hand the rock to AllDay and let him do work. But they won't and Seattle will roll 28-0
Great points with revenge mindset and all. But you may have forgotten or did not watch that game last month. Yes, Minn was without a couple their top defensive guys. But Seattle got a huge lead at halftime was due to their defense interceptions and kept AP in check. Nothing will change this time. Minn is still a one dimensional team. When you play a great defensive team like Seattle, you must have more weapons than just AP. I don't expect 20+ win for SEA but more like 7-13 points win. Minn will stay close in the 1st half due to weather. But Seattle will pull away in 3rd quarter and Minn players will just pack it in. They rather sit on warm benches in 4th quarter and dreaming of off season activities instead of risking injuries. If it is a close score 1st half, bet large on Sea in the 2nd half.....that's my 2 cents.
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Great points with revenge mindset and all. But you may have forgotten or did not watch that game last month. Yes, Minn was without a couple their top defensive guys. But Seattle got a huge lead at halftime was due to their defense interceptions and kept AP in check. Nothing will change this time. Minn is still a one dimensional team. When you play a great defensive team like Seattle, you must have more weapons than just AP. I don't expect 20+ win for SEA but more like 7-13 points win. Minn will stay close in the 1st half due to weather. But Seattle will pull away in 3rd quarter and Minn players will just pack it in. They rather sit on warm benches in 4th quarter and dreaming of off season activities instead of risking injuries. If it is a close score 1st half, bet large on Sea in the 2nd half.....that's my 2 cents.
Line Value - Seattle has a top 3 homefield advantage in the NFL giving them a 4 point HFA value. A -6 line on the road is equivalent to Seattle being -13 at home.
Looking at the spread by switching the line from road to home is a great way to evaluate value. And Seattle -13 just wouldn't exist, hence this line is clearly inflated.
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Line Value - Seattle has a top 3 homefield advantage in the NFL giving them a 4 point HFA value. A -6 line on the road is equivalent to Seattle being -13 at home.
Looking at the spread by switching the line from road to home is a great way to evaluate value. And Seattle -13 just wouldn't exist, hence this line is clearly inflated.
Bridgewater plays like a little girl once he gets hit, never saw a football player reach this level and play so timid . this guy even misses the easy throws to wide open receivers
Bridgewater only 14 TD on the year with that put in 9 INTS
This stiff alone makes putting any money on Minnesota a certain regrettable experience
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Bridgewater plays like a little girl once he gets hit, never saw a football player reach this level and play so timid . this guy even misses the easy throws to wide open receivers
Bridgewater only 14 TD on the year with that put in 9 INTS
This stiff alone makes putting any money on Minnesota a certain regrettable experience
Bridgewater plays like a little girl once he gets hit, never saw a football player reach this level and play so timid . this guy even misses the easy throws to wide open receivers
Bridgewater only 14 TD on the year with that put in 9 INTS
This stiff alone makes putting any money on Minnesota a certain regrettable experience
The more you post, the more you expose yourself as the biggest jackass in Covers.
CONGRATS!
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Quote Originally Posted by MYSTICRICH:
Bridgewater plays like a little girl once he gets hit, never saw a football player reach this level and play so timid . this guy even misses the easy throws to wide open receivers
Bridgewater only 14 TD on the year with that put in 9 INTS
This stiff alone makes putting any money on Minnesota a certain regrettable experience
The more you post, the more you expose yourself as the biggest jackass in Covers.
Bridgewater gets smoked all the time bcuz his line sucks you moron. And led a garbage team to the division title within 2 years with a HORRENDOUS o-line. You're an idiot
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Bridgewater gets smoked all the time bcuz his line sucks you moron. And led a garbage team to the division title within 2 years with a HORRENDOUS o-line. You're an idiot
Cincy loss is more on the coach than burfict what a moron, how hard is it to take the player out of the game? Anyone could have seen that coming he was out of control all 4th quarter. Unfortunate that Antonio Brown had to take that hit due to Marvin Lewis stupidity.
Lewis get fired after this meltdown? Wouldn't mind seeing it
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Cincy loss is more on the coach than burfict what a moron, how hard is it to take the player out of the game? Anyone could have seen that coming he was out of control all 4th quarter. Unfortunate that Antonio Brown had to take that hit due to Marvin Lewis stupidity.
Lewis get fired after this meltdown? Wouldn't mind seeing it
LeagueCapper, good stuff and nice write up as always. However, i'm going opposite side. I think one of the bigger points was not touched on and i'd like to point that out as I think it's the biggest and most crucial mismatch in the game:
Vikings Offense vs. Seahawks defense. Last game the Seahawks posted a shutout against the Vikes. With the lone touchdown being from special teams. I just don't see what would change that this time around. Sure, they can gameplan differently but where exactly are they going to exploit them. Seahawks have arguably the best secondary in the league coupled with a defense that ranked #4 against the run in yards per attempt. Furthermore, I think they bring a safety in the box to shut down Adrian Peterson since Bridgewater does not pose a real threat at the WR/TE position to throw too in the passing game.
At the end of the day we have to look at which offense will be more productive and i'd have to say Seahawks by a wide margin. Wilson is a better QB who's gone to two straight superbowls and in the latter half of this year was arguably one of the best in the league. Additionally Vikings rank #21 in yards per attempt against the run. Wilson will get some support in the runnning game even without Lynch. Seahawks offensive line was the reason they struggled in the early part of the year but in the latter half they got the issue fixed up and look like an entirely different unit and I can expect they will open some holes.
Seahawks 20 Vikings 6
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LeagueCapper, good stuff and nice write up as always. However, i'm going opposite side. I think one of the bigger points was not touched on and i'd like to point that out as I think it's the biggest and most crucial mismatch in the game:
Vikings Offense vs. Seahawks defense. Last game the Seahawks posted a shutout against the Vikes. With the lone touchdown being from special teams. I just don't see what would change that this time around. Sure, they can gameplan differently but where exactly are they going to exploit them. Seahawks have arguably the best secondary in the league coupled with a defense that ranked #4 against the run in yards per attempt. Furthermore, I think they bring a safety in the box to shut down Adrian Peterson since Bridgewater does not pose a real threat at the WR/TE position to throw too in the passing game.
At the end of the day we have to look at which offense will be more productive and i'd have to say Seahawks by a wide margin. Wilson is a better QB who's gone to two straight superbowls and in the latter half of this year was arguably one of the best in the league. Additionally Vikings rank #21 in yards per attempt against the run. Wilson will get some support in the runnning game even without Lynch. Seahawks offensive line was the reason they struggled in the early part of the year but in the latter half they got the issue fixed up and look like an entirely different unit and I can expect they will open some holes.
Line Value - Seattle has a top 3 homefield advantage in the NFL giving them a 4 point HFA value. A -6 line on the road is equivalent to Seattle being -13 at home.
Looking at the spread by switching the line from road to home is a great way to evaluate value. And Seattle -13 just wouldn't exist, hence this line is clearly inflated.
I made the line -9 on a neutral field just based on numbers. So I would have made it -13 at home but yeah it would have been closer to 10!
@LC: Other side, but thanks for your work. BOL this playoffs!
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Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:
Line Value - Seattle has a top 3 homefield advantage in the NFL giving them a 4 point HFA value. A -6 line on the road is equivalent to Seattle being -13 at home.
Looking at the spread by switching the line from road to home is a great way to evaluate value. And Seattle -13 just wouldn't exist, hence this line is clearly inflated.
I made the line -9 on a neutral field just based on numbers. So I would have made it -13 at home but yeah it would have been closer to 10!
@LC: Other side, but thanks for your work. BOL this playoffs!
Great points with revenge mindset and all. But you may have forgotten or did not watch that game last month. Yes, Minn was without a couple their top defensive guys. But Seattle got a huge lead at halftime was due to their defense interceptions and kept AP in check. Nothing will change this time. Minn is still a one dimensional team. When you play a great defensive team like Seattle, you must have more weapons than just AP. I don't expect 20+ win for SEA but more like 7-13 points win. Minn will stay close in the 1st half due to weather. But Seattle will pull away in 3rd quarter and Minn players will just pack it in. They rather sit on warm benches in 4th quarter and dreaming of off season activities instead of risking injuries. If it is a close score 1st half, bet large on Sea in the 2nd half.....that's my 2 cents.
I honestly could not agree more with your first points you brought up. I do think the Vikings will fight hard in all 4 quarters but offensively will get worn down by this Seahawks defense.
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Quote Originally Posted by seattleseahawks:
Great points with revenge mindset and all. But you may have forgotten or did not watch that game last month. Yes, Minn was without a couple their top defensive guys. But Seattle got a huge lead at halftime was due to their defense interceptions and kept AP in check. Nothing will change this time. Minn is still a one dimensional team. When you play a great defensive team like Seattle, you must have more weapons than just AP. I don't expect 20+ win for SEA but more like 7-13 points win. Minn will stay close in the 1st half due to weather. But Seattle will pull away in 3rd quarter and Minn players will just pack it in. They rather sit on warm benches in 4th quarter and dreaming of off season activities instead of risking injuries. If it is a close score 1st half, bet large on Sea in the 2nd half.....that's my 2 cents.
I honestly could not agree more with your first points you brought up. I do think the Vikings will fight hard in all 4 quarters but offensively will get worn down by this Seahawks defense.
Minnesota only won 2 games this year against teams with above .500%
*Last week against the struggling Packers 20-13
*Week 5 against the Chiefs 16-10, while the Chiefs were in the midst of their 5 game losing streak
Otherwise, the Vikings have beat a bunch of underachievers
I'm on the other side.
Bol
you spew this stat but forget to mention seahawks beat two winning teams vikings and steelers. week 17 does not count because cards new it meant nothing.
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Quote Originally Posted by EastsideBangers:
Minnesota only won 2 games this year against teams with above .500%
*Last week against the struggling Packers 20-13
*Week 5 against the Chiefs 16-10, while the Chiefs were in the midst of their 5 game losing streak
Otherwise, the Vikings have beat a bunch of underachievers
I'm on the other side.
Bol
you spew this stat but forget to mention seahawks beat two winning teams vikings and steelers. week 17 does not count because cards new it meant nothing.
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