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Seattle / SF...

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Posts: 77

FadeMeSucka

Prospect

Joined: Jul, 2007

Posts: 142

Posted: Oct. 18, 2012 - 5:13 PM ET #26

Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

Well - now that I can get 8.5 ish, I think I might have to take the points.

That is hard to pass up.

A guy named "CKR" on another board you're familiar with gives a very convincing pro-49ers argument....personally I'm not touching this game, but good luck with whatever you choose to do.

thehuntman

All-Star

Joined: Dec, 2004

Posts: 14226

Posted: Oct. 18, 2012 - 5:54 PM ET #27

+10 -122 is available at Interaction

You learn more from losing than winning. You learn how to keep going.

tinoker55

MVP

Joined: Nov, 2009

Posts: 19105

Posted: Oct. 18, 2012 - 6:08 PM ET #28

Quote Originally Posted by PrimeTimeBoys:

If you wait until game time, you may catch +10................

Are you gonna put 25k on it if it does???

chivashoolio

Rookie

Joined: Jul, 2012

Posts: 931

Posted: Oct. 18, 2012 - 6:12 PM ET #29

im liking seattle but i cant decide on over/under...stats points towards under but i get a feeling it could be a field goal battle

earl1932

Veteran

Joined: Jun, 2008

Posts: 1216

Posted: Oct. 18, 2012 - 6:16 PM ET #30

I am scared of this game tonight...,and I bet everyday on some sporting event... does that make me an addict.....

RJSizzle

Captain

Joined: May, 2010

Posts: 6091

Posted: Oct. 18, 2012 - 6:19 PM ET #31

Quote Originally Posted by bets2win:

I don't see all the SF love that you're claiming... Imagine SF didn't get blown out and Seattle didn't beat NE lastwk, then how big would the line be/where would all the action be??? Joe Public in general are "Prisoners of the Moment" and if there's a time for people to drink the "Seattle can beat SF Kool Aid", this is it! Action is much more even than you think.

These lines are set with power numbers way in advance, Cheese.

They just adjust every now and again, but not by much. Case in point of power numbers? Green Bay and St Louis, you cant have two teams who looked any different last week and they still set the # they offered 3 months ago.

Michfan15

All-Star

Joined: Oct, 2008

Posts: 11316

Posted: Oct. 18, 2012 - 8:16 PM ET #32

sharps and square can make arguments for both sides...SF seems like the square side but squares win too and sharps don't hit 100%. They don't even really hit near 65%...

bets2win

Veteran

Joined: Dec, 2006

Posts: 1706

Posted: Oct. 18, 2012 - 8:21 PM ET #33

Quote Originally Posted by RJSizzle:

These lines are set with power numbers way in advance, Cheese.

With that said, and as I said, imagine SF didn't get blown out at home n Seattle didn't beat NE, this game really would be 90% on SF. But instead it's damn near as even as they could've ever hoped for... Btw, line hitting 9+... I nabbed it at 6.5 (-120) on Tuesday

c_had38

Prospect

Joined: Oct, 2012

Posts: 244

Posted: Oct. 18, 2012 - 8:30 PM ET #34

I grabbed SF -7 on Monday. I respect the 'hawks D too much to lay more than that, but I'm a Pats fan and take Russell Wilson's success w/ a grain of salt as I've seen NE secondary make ALL KINDS of guys look like the 2nd coming of Joe Montana. It'll be interesting to see how he does against a real D that HAS TO BE mad after last week. If he gets it done 2nite I'll be out of excuses & just have to tip my cap to the kid... but I'm not drinkin his KoolAid just yet

vanzack

Legend

Joined: Nov, 2001

Posts: 60107

Posted: Oct. 18, 2012 - 8:49 PM ET #35

Good start for having 8+ points.

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.

gnfr

Hall of Fame

Joined: Oct, 2002

Posts: 21436

Posted: Oct. 18, 2012 - 8:53 PM ET #36

agreed vanzack...

James35

Veteran

Joined: Nov, 2011

Posts: 1627

Posted: Oct. 18, 2012 - 8:54 PM ET #37

Seattle just blew their load. Needed a lot of zebra help to get 3

gnfr

Hall of Fame

Joined: Oct, 2002

Posts: 21436

Posted: Oct. 18, 2012 - 8:55 PM ET #38

Hawks looking good so far...

PapaShango

Hall of Fame

Joined: Dec, 2010

Posts: 29065

Posted: Oct. 18, 2012 - 8:56 PM ET #39

Seattle's D is too good to be getting over a TD to any team, anywhere in the NFL.

NONEED4LUCK

Hall of Fame

Joined: Feb, 2007

Posts: 29214

Posted: Oct. 18, 2012 - 10:01 PM ET #40

I bet Seattle.

vanzack

Legend

Joined: Nov, 2001

Posts: 60107

Posted: Oct. 18, 2012 - 11:25 PM ET #41

That might be the funniest ending of all time for gamblers in the NFL.

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.

ClubDirt

Hall of Fame

Joined: May, 2003

Posts: 28196

Posted: Oct. 18, 2012 - 11:29 PM ET #42

statistically, i think it was right. but the odds of losing either way are so small, the difference is so insignficant to be almost zero.

vanzack

Legend

Joined: Nov, 2001

Posts: 60107

Posted: Oct. 18, 2012 - 11:29 PM ET #43

Take away that last play - and this was a great example of how important getting extra points in the spread is for NFL bettors.

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.

vanzack

Legend

Joined: Nov, 2001

Posts: 60107

Posted: Oct. 18, 2012 - 11:30 PM ET #44

Quote Originally Posted by ClubDirt:

statistically, i think it was right. but the odds of losing either way are so small, the difference is so insignficant to be almost zero.

Absolutely right thing to do.

Avoids defending onsides kick / automatic win.

Im surprised he thought of it - I would say most coaches wouldnt have.

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.

MuggsyBogues

Captain

Joined: May, 2009

Posts: 8640

Posted: Oct. 18, 2012 - 11:33 PM ET #45

I just advocated your point of view in another thread
https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=21&sub=101449011&page=2

Were you aware it's actually possible to muff a kneeldown?

ClubDirt

Hall of Fame

Joined: May, 2003

Posts: 28196

Posted: Oct. 18, 2012 - 11:36 PM ET #46

harbaugh is a very sharp coach.

the bottom line is, declining the penalty is the quickest way to end the game.

ClubDirt

Hall of Fame

Joined: May, 2003

Posts: 28196

Posted: Oct. 18, 2012 - 11:38 PM ET #47

but speaking of statistics, we're probably now looking at a 75% increase in fixed game threads on this forum.

llyod23

Veteran

Joined: Nov, 2002

Posts: 1527

Posted: Oct. 18, 2012 - 11:39 PM ET #48

Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

Absolutely right thing to do.

Avoids defending onsides kick / automatic win.

Im surprised he thought of it - I would say most coaches wouldnt have.

van i'm surprised you think this was the right thing to do. you're an odds guy. what is the more likely scenario. alex smith fumbling a snap and seattle getting the ball back, at which point they're only down 7 for a chance to win or seattle recovering an onsides kick, having to score, and then recovering a 2nd onsides kick for a chance to win. i know nothing about coaching, but methinks one of the first rules is never take points off the board.

vanzack

Legend

Joined: Nov, 2001

Posts: 60107

Posted: Oct. 18, 2012 - 11:42 PM ET #49

Quote Originally Posted by llyod23:

Sir -

Since NOBODY has fumbled a kneel down in NFL history, the current odds of that happening are ZERO.

If he fumbles the snap - Seattle has the ball on their own 20 yard line needing 80 yards in 40 seconds.

Come on.

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.

vanzack

Legend

Joined: Nov, 2001

Posts: 60107

Posted: Oct. 18, 2012 - 11:43 PM ET #50

Quote Originally Posted by Flutiemaniac341:

Agreed vanzack

No way Leslie Fraser thinks of that!

He rather have a 1st and 5 at the 25 of other team than 2nd and 1 at the 21 of opposition!

I still can't get over the fact that he took a penalty that robbed them of 4 yards in the middle of the game two weeks ago.

Not sure if u remember the game?

He didn't want 5 yards and took a penalty because 1st down looked better..haha

I saw it.

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.

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