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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    Serious question for the forum. Is it possible that Dallas could

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    bpickin
    szhcik
    jamesboron
    YouWish
    lordbettington
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    bpickin
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    Posted: Oct. 31, 2016 - 10:46 PM ET #1

    lay an egg WEEK 9 at Cleveland? 

    The line is -8 and they just played a hard fought game to win in OT (which was major bs) and now could get caught sleeping against a crappy browns team thinking it's an easy win?

    Just curious. I am not even sure I could play it given the fact they are killing it ATS, but truth be told teams playing next week after OT don't fair well and on the road to boot.
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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    lay an egg WEEK 9 at Cleveland? 

    The line is -8 and they just played a hard fought game to win in OT (which was major bs) and now could get caught sleeping against a crappy browns team thinking it's an easy win?

    Just curious. I am not even sure I could play it given the fact they are killing it ATS, but truth be told teams playing next week after OT don't fair well and on the road to boot.
     
    szhcik
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    Posted: Oct. 31, 2016 - 10:57 PM ET #2

    its the nfl anything is possible, first glance I would think Dallas hammer them, they are on a roll and could just steamroll the browns rotten defence...but 8 is a lot to give up on the road and in this spot...reckon there are better opportunities than this.

    And you couldn't bet the browns if you had seen them play this year...this could possibly be the worst team they have had in thirty years of bad teams...
    Sweet home ALABAMA
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    its the nfl anything is possible, first glance I would think Dallas hammer them, they are on a roll and could just steamroll the browns rotten defence...but 8 is a lot to give up on the road and in this spot...reckon there are better opportunities than this.

    And you couldn't bet the browns if you had seen them play this year...this could possibly be the worst team they have had in thirty years of bad teams...
     
    jamesboron
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    Posted: Oct. 31, 2016 - 10:58 PM ET #3

    If Kesler plays this Sun , Brown will cover .
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    If Kesler plays this Sun , Brown will cover .
     
    YouWish
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    Posted: Nov. 1, 2016 - 12:42 AM ET #4

    Dallas will DESTROY the Browns!!  Didn't you just watch the Vikings destroy the bears????!!!!!!    Easy $$$!!!!


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    Dallas will DESTROY the Browns!!  Didn't you just watch the Vikings destroy the bears????!!!!!!    Easy $$$!!!!


     
    lordbettington
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    Posted: Nov. 1, 2016 - 1:21 AM ET #5

    I watched dallas win a game on sunday night, that they had no business winning.  Eagles blew it, flat out.  All the media is anointing dallas nfc champs.  Dallas has been good, but they have also been lucky.  I could see them laying an egg in Cleveland.  Eight points is too much, not sure if I will back Cleveland yet.  I'm definitely not backing dallas.
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    I watched dallas win a game on sunday night, that they had no business winning.  Eagles blew it, flat out.  All the media is anointing dallas nfc champs.  Dallas has been good, but they have also been lucky.  I could see them laying an egg in Cleveland.  Eight points is too much, not sure if I will back Cleveland yet.  I'm definitely not backing dallas.
     
    newmarket
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    Posted: Nov. 1, 2016 - 1:32 AM ET #6

    Dallas wins by 7..  +7.5 +8 all day
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    Dallas wins by 7..  +7.5 +8 all day
     
    ChOmP
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    Posted: Nov. 1, 2016 - 1:41 AM ET #7

    McCown can put up points.. he did it in Oakland I actually think the Browns have a better chance of winning games with McCown..
    Noticed the point spreads are higher this week.. Vegas has adjusted big time..possible dog week coming.. 
    Winning isn’t everything.. It’s the Only thing.
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    McCown can put up points.. he did it in Oakland I actually think the Browns have a better chance of winning games with McCown..
    Noticed the point spreads are higher this week.. Vegas has adjusted big time..possible dog week coming.. 
     
    pinoy808
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    Posted: Nov. 1, 2016 - 1:42 AM ET #8

    Browns/cowboys 1h over is the play ;)
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    Browns/cowboys 1h over is the play ;)
     
    porcelainfist
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    Posted: Nov. 1, 2016 - 2:16 AM ET #9

    lordbettington, comeback victories are the sign of a good team who fights to the bitter end. If you want to lay your coin against teams who have that much heart, you may win, but when that team has enough talent to close a two score lead with only 5 minutes left in the game, get key stops, force turnovers, force overtime, have the resiliency to go for it on 4th and inches in OT, you aren't on the right side. 

    I'm sorry you lost, but unless you throw away yesterday's losses, you will carry that cross further down the road. This game for example, the play should be Dallas or pass. 

    Same way that I am on the Eagles against the Giants. No reason to fade a team simply because they got outplayed down the stretch by a really good team. Same reason you shouldn't fade the Cowboys just because they came out of the gate slow against a very good Eagles front Seven. 

    In case we aren't keeping up guys, the Browns are ranked 32nd in YPG Defense. 
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    lordbettington, comeback victories are the sign of a good team who fights to the bitter end. If you want to lay your coin against teams who have that much heart, you may win, but when that team has enough talent to close a two score lead with only 5 minutes left in the game, get key stops, force turnovers, force overtime, have the resiliency to go for it on 4th and inches in OT, you aren't on the right side. 

    I'm sorry you lost, but unless you throw away yesterday's losses, you will carry that cross further down the road. This game for example, the play should be Dallas or pass. 

    Same way that I am on the Eagles against the Giants. No reason to fade a team simply because they got outplayed down the stretch by a really good team. Same reason you shouldn't fade the Cowboys just because they came out of the gate slow against a very good Eagles front Seven. 

    In case we aren't keeping up guys, the Browns are ranked 32nd in YPG Defense. 
     
    SiuLungBao
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    Posted: Nov. 1, 2016 - 2:19 AM ET #10

    overrrr
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    overrrr
     
    theclaw
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    Posted: Nov. 1, 2016 - 6:15 AM ET #11

    Right now Dallas should be very full of themselves and very content with what they done thus far and that is especially true with Romo out,  and they are off a huge emotional game VS a big-time division rival  that of all things went to OT which makes this spot even better.

     Highly likely they come into this game VS a pathetic team very complacent

    They'll likely pull-out a close win but Browns could pull-off the shocker SU win .......IF .....they can catch a couple of lucky breaks down the stretch.


    This is a very typical spot teams have been pulling big upsets over years and years of NFL play, it is not because the league sets the game up, it's been happening in this very same spot for decades.
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    Right now Dallas should be very full of themselves and very content with what they done thus far and that is especially true with Romo out,  and they are off a huge emotional game VS a big-time division rival  that of all things went to OT which makes this spot even better.

     Highly likely they come into this game VS a pathetic team very complacent

    They'll likely pull-out a close win but Browns could pull-off the shocker SU win .......IF .....they can catch a couple of lucky breaks down the stretch.


    This is a very typical spot teams have been pulling big upsets over years and years of NFL play, it is not because the league sets the game up, it's been happening in this very same spot for decades.
     
    suuma
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    Posted: Nov. 1, 2016 - 6:48 AM ET #12

    Dallas could drop 45 on the Browns but this is a letdown spot vs. an interconference team off a divisional overtime win. Personally I can't lay a TD on the road vs. a team that wants to lose every game by 1 point. Backdoor cover is possible.

    I like Boys in teasers and the Over.
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    Dallas could drop 45 on the Browns but this is a letdown spot vs. an interconference team off a divisional overtime win. Personally I can't lay a TD on the road vs. a team that wants to lose every game by 1 point. Backdoor cover is possible.

    I like Boys in teasers and the Over.
     
    suuma
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    Posted: Nov. 1, 2016 - 6:55 AM ET #13

    Favs off an overtime win are 38-58 ATS since 2002. Road favs off an overtime win are on 13-23 ATS. Just to get a feel for the spot.
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    Favs off an overtime win are 38-58 ATS since 2002. Road favs off an overtime win are on 13-23 ATS. Just to get a feel for the spot.
     
    bpickin
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    Posted: Nov. 1, 2016 - 6:56 AM ET #14

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    sports_Network
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    Posted: Nov. 1, 2016 - 8:04 AM ET #15

    Quote Originally Posted by DRIBBLE4LIFE:

    BPICKIN, lemme throw you a bone. Since you feel CLE could beat DAL, here's a great prop bet for you, plus money all around:

    NFL SPECIAL PROPS - NOV 05
    CLEVELAND BROWNS 1ST WIN ON 2016/17 RS WILL BE AT?
    Week 9 (vs. DAL)  +330
    Week 10 (at BAL)  +407
    Week 11 (vs. PIT)  +665
    Week 12 (vs. NYG)  +583
    Week 14 (vs. CIN)  +875
    Week 15 (at BUF)  +980
    Week 16 (vs. SD)  +928
    Week 17 ( PIT)  +1681
    No win (0-16 season)  +202
    Looks like 0-16 @ +202
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    Quote Originally Posted by DRIBBLE4LIFE:

    BPICKIN, lemme throw you a bone. Since you feel CLE could beat DAL, here's a great prop bet for you, plus money all around:

    NFL SPECIAL PROPS - NOV 05
    CLEVELAND BROWNS 1ST WIN ON 2016/17 RS WILL BE AT?
    Week 9 (vs. DAL)  +330
    Week 10 (at BAL)  +407
    Week 11 (vs. PIT)  +665
    Week 12 (vs. NYG)  +583
    Week 14 (vs. CIN)  +875
    Week 15 (at BUF)  +980
    Week 16 (vs. SD)  +928
    Week 17 ( PIT)  +1681
    No win (0-16 season)  +202
    Looks like 0-16 @ +202
     
    SwishSwish1234
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    Posted: Nov. 1, 2016 - 9:38 AM ET #16

    Quote Originally Posted by suuma:

    Favs off an overtime win are 38-58 ATS since 2002. Road favs off an overtime win are on 13-23 ATS. Just to get a feel for the spot.

    That's a brilliant stat but i see your stat and raise you another stat, Teams who have a Thursday night game on deck are 3-10-1 ATS for the year. 
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    Quote Originally Posted by suuma:

    Favs off an overtime win are 38-58 ATS since 2002. Road favs off an overtime win are on 13-23 ATS. Just to get a feel for the spot.

    That's a brilliant stat but i see your stat and raise you another stat, Teams who have a Thursday night game on deck are 3-10-1 ATS for the year. 
     
    bpickin
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    Posted: Nov. 1, 2016 - 11:09 AM ET #17

    Cleveland playing Thursday thanks for the info. I never even checked that yet. 
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    Cleveland playing Thursday thanks for the info. I never even checked that yet. 
     
    ChOmP
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    Posted: Nov. 1, 2016 - 1:28 PM ET #18

    A Divisional game SU win is always a possibility, if I had to wager on this prop (Cleveland Browns 1st win)it would be a divisional game..
    If they do win 1.. it would happen if the Ravens mediocre offense and there defense played bad.. or when the Bengals visit Cleveland with a revenge game and possible bad weather.. I can't see them beating Pit but there's always a possibility..weather is a factor late in the year..if I had to pick it would be a divisional game for sure... 
    if your really want to play Browns I suggest you tease them..honestly I believe Dallas will smash them..Ravens game on PrimeTime seems like a good spot to throw some pocket change..
     But 8 point favs on the road seems like a lot of points for a backdoor who knows Jamie Collins might make a difference
    Winning isn’t everything.. It’s the Only thing.
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    A Divisional game SU win is always a possibility, if I had to wager on this prop (Cleveland Browns 1st win)it would be a divisional game..
    If they do win 1.. it would happen if the Ravens mediocre offense and there defense played bad.. or when the Bengals visit Cleveland with a revenge game and possible bad weather.. I can't see them beating Pit but there's always a possibility..weather is a factor late in the year..if I had to pick it would be a divisional game for sure... 
    if your really want to play Browns I suggest you tease them..honestly I believe Dallas will smash them..Ravens game on PrimeTime seems like a good spot to throw some pocket change..
     But 8 point favs on the road seems like a lot of points for a backdoor who knows Jamie Collins might make a difference
     
    PaulieChicago
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    Posted: Nov. 2, 2016 - 1:39 AM ET #19

    Anything is possible. Cleveland has been outscored by teams with winning records 93 - 43 this year in 3 games. Approximately 31 - 14 per game. They have been over double digit losses in all those games.
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    Anything is possible. Cleveland has been outscored by teams with winning records 93 - 43 this year in 3 games. Approximately 31 - 14 per game. They have been over double digit losses in all those games.
     
    DogbiteWilliams
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    Posted: Nov. 2, 2016 - 2:03 AM ET #20

    I ran two SDQL queries that make the game look like a coin flip.  I have two $5 bets with co-workers that are DAL fans.

    That is all the action I can handle on this game.
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    I ran two SDQL queries that make the game look like a coin flip.  I have two $5 bets with co-workers that are DAL fans.

    That is all the action I can handle on this game.
     
    dethwish
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    Posted: Nov. 2, 2016 - 2:15 AM ET #21

    If you have to ask yourself "there probably gonna win, but by how much" it's a standard no play. Don't bet on bad teams that you know are gonna lose but might cover. You're trying to thread a needle.
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    If you have to ask yourself "there probably gonna win, but by how much" it's a standard no play. Don't bet on bad teams that you know are gonna lose but might cover. You're trying to thread a needle.
     
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    Posted: Nov. 2, 2016 - 8:52 AM ET #22

    The best running team in years against the worst running defense. The Cowboys should run away with this game solely for the fact that they should dominate the T.O.P. the defense is due for a let down and is gonna be missing two key players in the secondary, so it's not a slam dunk. I'd feel confident about betting 6. Honestly though find a game to tease this with and call it a day. The Cowboys will not lose.
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    The best running team in years against the worst running defense. The Cowboys should run away with this game solely for the fact that they should dominate the T.O.P. the defense is due for a let down and is gonna be missing two key players in the secondary, so it's not a slam dunk. I'd feel confident about betting 6. Honestly though find a game to tease this with and call it a day. The Cowboys will not lose.
     
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    Posted: Nov. 2, 2016 - 8:55 AM ET #23

    Quote Originally Posted by lordbettington:

    I watched dallas win a game on sunday night, that they had no business winning.  Eagles blew it, flat out.  All the media is anointing dallas nfc champs.  Dallas has been good, but they have also been lucky.  I could see them laying an egg in Cleveland.  Eight points is too much, not sure if I will back Cleveland yet.  I'm definitely not backing dallas.


    How were they lucky? The Eagles would have been off the field when it was 10-3 in the first half if not for that stupid penalty on Dallas that kept the drive alive. Then you have the awful Dak int, which is expected to happen eventually but not on 2nd and goal. That resulted in another possession where the Eagles got out of bounds with 1 second left to get another fg. The better team won. Really Dallas should have won by double digits.
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    Quote Originally Posted by lordbettington:

    I watched dallas win a game on sunday night, that they had no business winning.  Eagles blew it, flat out.  All the media is anointing dallas nfc champs.  Dallas has been good, but they have also been lucky.  I could see them laying an egg in Cleveland.  Eight points is too much, not sure if I will back Cleveland yet.  I'm definitely not backing dallas.


    How were they lucky? The Eagles would have been off the field when it was 10-3 in the first half if not for that stupid penalty on Dallas that kept the drive alive. Then you have the awful Dak int, which is expected to happen eventually but not on 2nd and goal. That resulted in another possession where the Eagles got out of bounds with 1 second left to get another fg. The better team won. Really Dallas should have won by double digits.
     
    arrgy
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    Posted: Nov. 2, 2016 - 10:46 AM ET #24

    Dallas is 7-1 ATS this year.

    Browns are 2-6 ATS.

    What more do you need to know?
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    Dallas is 7-1 ATS this year.

    Browns are 2-6 ATS.

    What more do you need to know?
     
     
    bpickin
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    Posted: Nov. 2, 2016 - 11:11 AM ET #25

    I'm not playing this game because there is too much going for both sides. I am gonna add Dallas to parlays tho only because Cleveland plays next Thursday.
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    I'm not playing this game because there is too much going for both sides. I am gonna add Dallas to parlays tho only because Cleveland plays next Thursday.
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