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snf houston @ chicago

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Captain
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Posted: #1
OVER 38.5 -110
 
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Posted: #2
yessir.
 
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Posted: #3
anthony, have you checked the game time weather in chicago? 20 MPH wind gusting higher and rain through out the game....not saying that makes it stay under, but it would play into my thinking before taking the over.
 
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im utterly confused by this one now.

I seen 60% of the bets on the over, but the line drops to 38 from 41?

Is this a case of RLM or is the big sharp money coming in on the under driving the line down?

can anyone share an opinion or thought on this issue?

Im heavily invested in the over, I loved it at 41, and love it even more at 38, but now digging deeper I'm questioning myself.

am I over thinking something? not thinking enough?
both defenses can take the ball away.
I see plenty of points off of turnovers, even if they are fg's.

Is either defense going to stop Andre Johnson or Brandon Marshall?
Is Forte and Foster going to not find the end zone? (Id bet they both hit paydirt at least once each) and can Schuab and Cutler both have off games that lead to drives being stalled over and over again?

Im of the mind that these 2 teams are going to trade blows, drive after drive, and that this game sails WAY over the total.  But with late info, I'm scared.

thoughts? anyone? please?
 
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Posted: #5
Quote Originally Posted by Scarbrojoe:

im utterly confused by this one now.

I seen 60% of the bets on the over, but the line drops to 38 from 41?

Is this a case of RLM or is the big sharp money coming in on the under driving the line down?

can anyone share an opinion or thought on this issue?

Im heavily invested in the over, I loved it at 41, and love it even more at 38, but now digging deeper I'm questioning myself.

am I over thinking something? not thinking enough?
both defenses can take the ball away.
I see plenty of points off of turnovers, even if they are fg's.

Is either defense going to stop Andre Johnson or Brandon Marshall?
Is Forte and Foster going to not find the end zone? (Id bet they both hit paydirt at least once each) and can Schuab and Cutler both have off games that lead to drives being stalled over and over again?

Im of the mind that these 2 teams are going to trade blows, drive after drive, and that this game sails WAY over the total.  But with late info, I'm scared.

thoughts? anyone? please?


Wind and rain.  Of course that can cut both ways, but generally when the weather calls for strong wind and heavy rain, the under gets bet.
 
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Posted: #6

The weather is terrible dropping the line  just made another huge play

Houston@Chicago OVER 38 -110 5dimes

 
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Posted: #7

weather will not stop this game from landing in the mid 40's

 
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Posted: #8
true enough,  Many people on the under too.  Lots of capper's I respect and take advice from are on the under as well.  This is what is worrying me about my plays on the over.  I guess I'll have to in game live bet this one, and pray for the best.

Good luck to all.

Scar


 
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Posted: #9
Good luck. I thought over too, but now not so sure. 
 
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Posted: #10
i got under 39 1/2 earlier today and if it comes down some more by KO i might  take the over and try to middle it.
 
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Posted: #11
Quote Originally Posted by Scarbrojoe:

im utterly confused by this one now.

I seen 60% of the bets on the over, but the line drops to 38 from 41?

Is this a case of RLM or is the big sharp money coming in on the under driving the line down?

can anyone share an opinion or thought on this issue?

Im heavily invested in the over, I loved it at 41, and love it even more at 38, but now digging deeper I'm questioning myself.

am I over thinking something? not thinking enough?
both defenses can take the ball away.
I see plenty of points off of turnovers, even if they are fg's.

Is either defense going to stop Andre Johnson or Brandon Marshall?
Is Forte and Foster going to not find the end zone? (Id bet they both hit paydirt at least once each) and can Schuab and Cutler both have off games that lead to drives being stalled over and over again?

Im of the mind that these 2 teams are going to trade blows, drive after drive, and that this game sails WAY over the total.  But with late info, I'm scared.

thoughts? anyone? please?


Just watch the game and enjoy it haha!
 
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Posted: #12
I live right next to Soldier Field. It is VERY windy and was raining decently hard up until about 30 minutes ago. There is a 30% chance of rain at gametime stays that way until 10PM where its 80% chance of rain. May make some sense to bet this by the half.
 
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Posted: #13

Can't see this one going over the total here,too many factors in play;

Chicago - #1 in takeaways in the League with 24

Texans #1 in least giveaways in the league with 6

Wind 20-35 mph with gusts to 50 and heavy rain forecast by gametime

Owen Daniels very questionable for Houston.

Both teams rely heavily on the run to set up play action, unfortuately this kind of wind and rain conditions sets up short passes and checkdowns. I would not be surprised to see the backs collect most of the YFS.

Prediction: Chicago 13-10 over Houston

GL anyway Bro

 
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Posted: #14
Chicago Defense takeaways score points. Im not sold on either side but something to think about.
 
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Posted: #15
mulholla
 
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Posted: #16

Thought all day Under. Now w/weather, for sure Under! Both teams best Units are their defense...Best offensive players on each team/RB's....

Might not reach 30 points.UNDER 37.5

 
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Posted: #17
Hester + primetime game = td return.
When we see top rated teams going head to head, they usually put on a show. While the run game will surely eat up some clock, play action will yeild results, results end up in points.

Bears 24
Texans 23

Thats my final look.

Good luck covers.


 
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Posted: #18
wind & rain can mean sloppy play & TO's.
 
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Posted: #19
Mr Starks is Pitt a lock tonight? I know its going to be raining, I need bail out pick!!!
 I like them, Im just wondering if you see anything you dont like?
KC is a garbage ass team, I think pitt will blow them out and im thinking of FIRING on them.....I know Flat betting is the way to go but sometimes I REALLY LIKE TO LIVE ON THE EDGE haha...Thanks for any info
 
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Posted: #20
If you see anything " I " Don't
 
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Posted: #21
u should be fine nucci but i personally refuse to lay that many points, esp w/ pitt. Im making a small play on the over, weather be dammed again
 
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Posted: #22
Quote Originally Posted by AnthonyStarks:

u should be fine nucci but i personally refuse to lay that many points, esp w/ pitt. Im making a small play on the over, weather be dammed again


You feel confident with the over again? That rain was horrible last night in Chicago.....But those were two top ranked teams....This game only has one top ranked team
 
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Posted: #23
last night cutler getting knocked out and 6 first half turnovers smoked the over, obviously the weather doesn't help but i think this game goes over
 
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Posted: #24
anthony, i will give ya this....you are stubborn if nothing else.  last night there were 2 good defenses both aided by the weather and neutralizing the offenses. tonight it might go over, but pitt will have to score 38..
 
 
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Posted: #25
haha thanks
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