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So many Super Bowl Props...who's got some good info

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Posted: #1
With so many out there, I would think that with some of the non game oreinted ones might have some good insider info, or at least a good lean or reasoning on something...

even the regular game ones...gotta be some holes in some lines...

anyone see anything?
 
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Posted: #2
make a three team parlay. can't lose unless its 2008 and they defer kick off.

coin is heads
team that wins receives kick off
over hines ward

coin is tails
team that wins toss receives kick off
under hines ward
 
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Posted: #3
What if it is heads and under hines ward?
 
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Posted: #4
yea I think you mistyped something there...I remember something sort of like this a couple years ago...

might have been a 2 teamer...

team that wins toss receives kickoff
hines ward under receiving

team that wins toss receives kick off
hines ward over receiving...

no?
 
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Posted: #5

I like Mendenhall +750....

in the last matchup Big Ben (stats from memory) was 6-7 around 140 yards on play-action.....

I saw that scrolling on the bottom of ESPN the other night....

they need a running game to the playaction going and the way he ran against the Jets and Ravens was very impressive....

definitely worth a peek!

good luck!

 
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Posted: #6
+750 in what?
 
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Posted: #7
I love over Heath Miller receptions 3.5.  With GB secondary Ben will look Heath's way a little more than usually & he already gives a lot of looks his way already.  Green Bay has a track record this year giving up some stats to TE's.  I like Heath to have 6 catches!!!


 
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Posted: #8
Don't you think the non-game oriented props are kind of scary?  I originally thought they could be fun to play, but don't you think that these props, among all others, would be the easiest to "fix".  I'm not a conspiracy theorist or anything, but it just seems to sketchy.

I'm talking about the props like, what will Fergie wear at halftime, or how many times Brett Favre will be mentioned during the broadcast?  I would think that it is highly probable that the broadcasters know of these various props making the outcome what ever they want it to be...
 
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Posted: #9

Quote Originally Posted by CrusCrnshw:

+750 in what?

 

sorry.... Mendenhall to win superbowl MVP +750.... I actually just saw it somewhere else at +650.... so I guess that's good news?

 
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Posted: #10

I like the will there be a rush TD in 1st half for both teams

 

both are plus money so as long as there is one rush td, you make money

 

JIMO

 
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Posted: #11
+750 on Mendenhall is pretty solid
 
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Posted: #12

Quote Originally Posted by scsiegel89:

make a three team parlay. can't lose unless its 2008 and they defer kick off.

coin is heads
team that wins receives kick off
over hines ward

coin is tails
team that wins toss receives kick off
under hines ward

 

this guy is right....but he didnt really explain it right.....this hole has been exposed years and years and very few books still allow it....bet365..still MIGHT...not sure....but you do series of 4- 3 team prop parlays....example....

(first parlay)

A.pitts to recieve opening kickoff

B. pitts to win toss

C. any 3rd leg....lets say hines ward OVER 4 completions

(2nd parlay)

A. pitts to recieve opening kickoff

B. pitts to win coin toss

c. hines under 4 completions

(3rd parlay)

A. GB to win toss

B. GB to recieve opening kickoff

C. Hines over 4 completions

(4th parlay)

A GB to win toss

B GB to recieve opening kickoff

C. hines under 4 completions.....

 

using this method.....assuming lets say all of the lines were -110...a 3 teamer would pay 6 to 1.......

so say you dropped 100 on each PL....you would lose 3 and win 1....hence winning 400 for each 100 wagered on each parlay......

like i said many books do not allow this anymore...this hole was exposed years ago.....BEFORE 2008......mind you....2008 was the FIRST TIME IN NFL history...that a team won the coin toss and ELECTED TO DEFER....

 
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Posted: #13

the ONLY WAY possible to lose the above parlay is if the team that wins the coin toss elects to defer....which has happened once in 45 years.

 

gl....searching for more

 
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Posted: #14
Quote Originally Posted by BreakaBookie:

 

sorry.... Mendenhall to win superbowl MVP +750.... I actually just saw it somewhere else at +650.... so I guess that's good news?

+300 in my book

 
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Posted: #15
Quote Originally Posted by djterryt:

 

this guy is right....but he didnt really explain it right.....this hole has been exposed years and years and very few books still allow it....bet365..still MIGHT...not sure....but you do series of 4- 3 team prop parlays....example....

(first parlay)

A.pitts to recieve opening kickoff

B. pitts to win toss

C. any 3rd leg....lets say hines ward OVER 4 completions

(2nd parlay)

A. pitts to recieve opening kickoff

B. pitts to win coin toss

c. hines under 4 completions

(3rd parlay)

A. GB to win toss

B. GB to recieve opening kickoff

C. Hines over 4 completions

(4th parlay)

A GB to win toss

B GB to recieve opening kickoff

C. hines under 4 completions.....

 

using this method.....assuming lets say all of the lines were -110...a 3 teamer would pay 6 to 1.......

so say you dropped 100 on each PL....you would lose 3 and win 1....hence winning 400 for each 100 wagered on each parlay......

like i said many books do not allow this anymore...this hole was exposed years ago.....BEFORE 2008......mind you....2008 was the FIRST TIME IN NFL history...that a team won the coin toss and ELECTED TO DEFER....



thanks for explaining it better, i fucked it up.
 
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Posted: #16
Follow directions carefully:

1) Find out how many rushing yards the Steelers gave up, on average, during the regular season.
2) Look at Green Bay's rushing average for the regular season.
3) Find the prop on Green Bay's rushing total in the Super Bowl.
4) Bet heavily.
5) Hire a security guard when you collect your winnings.

 
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Posted: #17
Follow directions carefully:

1) Find out how many rushing yards the Steelers gave up, on average, during the regular season.
2) Look at Green Bay's rushing average for the regular season.
3) Find the prop on Green Bay's rushing total in the Super Bowl.
4) Bet heavily.
5) Hire a security guard when you collect your winnings.

 
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Posted: #18
How about this one:
Total Points: Pierce, Garnett and Allen against Magic
VS
Total Yards: James Starks

You can get the Celtics trio at +0.5.
On the season they are averaging 51.4 points, and I dont see Starks matching that number of yards?
 
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Posted: #19
Correction that is only rushing yards for Starks, not total yards
 
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Posted: #20
GEE...the problem with those bets are this. #1 these Celtic old men get hurt. I wouldnt put that bet in til I knew they were healthy. Also, if GB falls behind, boom, big trouble. They wont run a ton. I can see Starks sneaking to 50 for sure...
 
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Posted: #21
Quote Originally Posted by CrusCrnshw:

GEE...the problem with those bets are this. #1 these Celtic old men get hurt. I wouldnt put that bet in til I knew they were healthy. Also, if GB falls behind, boom, big trouble. They wont run a ton. I can see Starks sneaking to 50 for sure...


All 3 are healthy right now, and the odds of one of them getting hurt early in the magic game are very slim.  If GB falls behind, they will be THROWING, not running.  Also, even if they have a lead, the packers are a passing team.  Even with 20 carries (Jackson might get at least a few touches), Starks might only have 35 yards rushing.  Starks isnt a lock to get a lot of carries in this game, as it's not like he is in a different class than Jackson.
 
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Posted: #22
lock it up/.............TAILS.
bigFnPOO
 
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Posted: #23
Will either team do the lambeau leap after a score No is -155 The wall behind the endzone is 4 ft tall and surrounded by corporate suits. 
 
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Posted: #24
no is a lock  then, if that be the case imo slapnuttz   ...because the15yds penalty in a superbowl game for a lambeau leap is a smak to the face of a coach.
bigFnPOO
 
 
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Posted: #25
Green Bay isn't going to be able to run the ball for shit. Bet on Rogers Passing Yards Prop, or his Completions.
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