One contrarian sports betting strategy is to fade the public. The idea is simple, whichever team casual bettors are loading up on, simply bet the other team.
Unfortunately, this tactic is not profitable during the holiday. Favorites tend to receive the majority of spread tickets and the chalk has crushed on Thanksgiving.
Teams getting fewer than 50% of spread bets: 13-24 ATS
- Fewer than 40% of spread bets: 6-16 ATS
- Fewer than 30% of spread bets: 1-9 ATS
Favorites on Thanksgiving are 27-11 (71.1%) against the spread since 2003 per . Teams favored by six or more points have gone 14-3 ATS.
This is a small sample but it follows a larger trend. On a short week, four days between games, favorites are 93-62-4 (60.0%) ATS since 2003.
The Thanksgiving holiday is the shortest week of preparation in the season with teams playing day games. The more talented and better coached teams (usual the favorite) have an advantage in these instances.
Betting the chalk on Thanksgiving not only works for the full game but for first-half and second-half bets, as well. Since 2005, first-half favorites have gone 24-12-2 ATS while second-half favorites are 26-11-1 ATS.
BOL to whic hever side youre on!
...DAMN!!!
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