Super Bowl 58 Chiefs / Niners

Quote Originally Posted by ChOmP:

The two reasons people are betting KC is #1 because “its Mahomes” even on a down year which no one wants to admit.. I get it.. #2 which is the mostly likely reason of the two is your betting on Spags defense.. if you are looking past all the offensive stats San Francisco has put up this year Brock has put up then you are obviously counting on Brock not being able to succeed against this chiefs defense.. both teams have been flawed if you take a look and have an unbiased opinion.. San Francisco had the 3 game skid which turned people away.. which losses were worse ? San Francisco’s or Kansas City chiefs? Spags will definitely blitz Brock Purdy.. but on plays where Brock Purdy was blitz this season he had a rate of 0.42 expected points added per play.. highest EPA per play against the blitz of any quarterback in the league and also had a higher depth of targets on plays where he was blitz rather then plays where he was not.. which is not normal it’s rare to see this.. so he’s not only making plays he’s making big plays when he’s blitzed.. chiefs are 27th in DVOA against the run.. McCaffrey anyone.. Yes San Francisco gave up a lot of rush yards to Jones, Montgomery and Gibbs.. which Pacheco can definitely have a chance to take advantage of which I doubt considering they have had back to back running backs run on them so it most likely will be a point of emphasis defensively.. but the way Wilks runs his defense I would not be shocked if they give up yards between the 20s and buckle down in the redzone.. KC has redzone issues.. San Francisco 49ers were the better team throughout the season compared to Kansas City Chiefs and that’s not a lie the only reason everyone jumped off the wagon was because of there slow starts in the playoffs but they fought through adversity which they did not do the entire season.. perfect time to do it and that is why they are in the Super Bowl..to me on a neutral field San Francisco should be favored by 4 points Obviously it’s scary betting against Mahomes but this line hasn’t budged and everyone is throwing money on KC.. just seems strange Everyone points out San Francisco 49ers losses but not one person mentions the terrible losses the Kansas City chiefs had during the regular season.. 15 point loss to the broncos in week 8… or the embarrassing home loss to the Las Vegas Raiders on Christmas Day.. they also lost to Greenbay 19-27….  3-5 over 9 week stretch.. Chiefs have looked good coming into the playoffs against Miami literally with zero defense banged up offensively too then versus Buffalo against there banged up defense and Buffalo shooting themselves in the foot.. then the Ravens who played the dumbest game of there lives abandoning the run the entire game even though the chiefs are 27th DVOA against the run.. just dumb.. quality of opponents hasn’t been great going down the stretch for KC.. same goes for San Francisco 49ers in there last two..both teams are flawed One thing that stands out to me is San Francisco played poorly against Greenbay and Detroit defensively but those two offenses are better than the Kansas City chiefs offense in my opinion.. both Love and Goff had really good offensive stats and playmakers.. apologies for the rant last game of the year.. Good Luck Vanzack

Quote Originally Posted by Enfuego9:

Vanzack = overrated

Quote Originally Posted by MudPhud3:

I'll log in, open this thread, and post a worthless insult tomorrow just to prove you wrong.    See, overrated