suuma's SB50: There is still the Old Sheriff in town with a defense that wins championships

[Quote: Originally Posted by bigslickk]

Guys like this make me like the Broncos even more

/Quote]  

Hey dimwit spare us the meaningless thoughts

Nice to see you back Suuma buddy.  Nice pick also...obviously, I tend to think we are on the right side but we shall see in 3 days.

Notice how the trolls that hate on picks are guys that don't post records or have their own threads that provide legitimate discussion. A majority of which are clearly betting with their emotions...

Great Thread......

BOL Heff.

Last time I checked Car just beat two pretty good teams and did it far more convincingly then Den did only Den was playing a beat up Pitt team and a completely one dimensional NE team.  Maybe the "edge" rushers will be the difference, but that seems like wishful thinking.  If anything this Car team more closely resembles the healthy Pitt team that destroyed Den's defense.

Excellent work again this season, suuma.  Trust that there are plenty of people on here that appreciate your analysis.  I grabbed 6 with Peyton, too.  Good luck, bro.

Glad to see this.  Thanks for your work this season Suuma..

[Quote: Originally Posted by saintsfan1977] Denver is wearing all white, and everyone knows how hard it is to catch a white Bronco in California. [/Quote

Good stuff Suma, interesting about the 2 tackles.

That's probably another argument for dogs going 8-0 ATS and Giants winning SU as +14 dogs.

1) This completely one-dimensional NE team was 10-0 before getting decimated with injuries, is the current SB winning team and was also one-dimensional in last year's playoffs.

2) Where do I base my analysis solely on one game? It's an example. Cam Newton had a poor passing performance when playing against the Texans at home who came in with a great pass rush. Another example.

3) CAR has shown an effective rushing attack against teams who cannot defend the run. Their interior OL excels in run-blocking but both tackles and Olsen + Dickson struggle to block. If you take a look at teams who give up very few yards per rush attempt: Seattle, Tampa Bay, Tennessee (all top-10). CAR ran for 4.0 YPC vs. TB, in the second game Stewart was injured, they ran for 3.5 YPC. Versus TEN they ran for 3.5 YPC, and Seattle also contained them on the ground. Take away the huge Stewart breakout run and they stay within 3 YPC. In these five games Newton was sacked a combined 15 times for a loss of 115 yards, because he is forced into more long passing downs and has to read a defense. In the playoff game against Seattle, the game was over at half and Newton wasn't forced to pass the ball. So in four games it's 14 sacks for 105 yards. Denver defense is FIRST in yards per carry and obviously has a way better secondary than any of these teams and won't turn the ball over so much like these teams did.

4) Two years ago, Denver had an average defense and were, when I remember right, starting without Talib, Harris, Von Miller, Marshall, Ware, Williams, Wolfe, Ward, Stewart. So that's 9 new defensive starters in contrast to 2013.

Well said. Yeah obviously none of those guys presents a record or informative analysis. Just like the "bunny" guy lol. He opened two threads asking if I am really a German but cannot cap a game by himself. This forum really turned into stupid this season. I mean, on the first page someone said I am the worst capper he has ever seen

A lot of psychological/mental issues here.

Train, what's up?

I respectfully disagree on the Steelers game. The Steelers' vertical passing game is exactly the offense the Broncos D excels against and has been all season long. The only team that really was somehow successful against the Broncos have been the Chiefs with variable short passing schemes. By changing the playbook due to the absence of ABrown, Denver was hardly able to prepare for all the short passes, screens and runs by Bryant. Look at the first game, the Steelers offense was blanked for three quarters and they scored on short fields off turnovers and PI calls.

Manning has been looking good in practice all week long. It's only practice but he showed a good accuracy on deep balls. We will know come Sunday!

BOL to you on the SB!

Don't you think the Denver coaching staff will plan accordingly? Carolina has Jared Allen with a broken foot, Thomas Davis with a broken arm and is playing the 4th and 5th corners. Panthers have two huge DTs in Lotulelei and Short and good inside rush but other than that, they weren't quite successful on the edges. Peyton has two weeks to prepare his OL for the Panthers.

BOL to you

Not saying you are wrong. I can be wrong as well. But I hardly find any matchup analysis by Carolina bettors. I just read "Carolina is a better team". The 2009 Colts were a better team, the 2007 Pats were a better team, the 2012 Niners were a better team, the 2011 Pats were a better team, and so on. Last year the Seahawks barely won against the Packers, 2011 the Giants barely won against SF, 2009 the Saints barely won againt MIN. All teams would have covered 6.

Will re-watch this game in the off-season but you were right about the outcome, no doubt

Maybe you guys are on to something

Good luck buddy!! Haven't been commenting much lately due to the 1min break before I can make another post, so I been reading and just passing by. Like the pick, go off winning the big game bro!! 

I dont know Suuma,I just reread your write up of NE vs DEN you were all about offence now it is defense wins championships???They are going to have to score 14pts themselves for this to happen.I believe they are capable but I cannot put money on them.

Yes, I was wrong. I didn't see this kind of defense coming, to be honest, even though they are the number one. I mean, Sebastian Vollmer is a good tackle in this league, and he got terribly beaten several times. I don't know how Oher and Remmers are going to keep a clean pocket when Jackson and Wolfe are working on the inside.

The 2007 Patriots were seen as unstoppable, but they had one nemesis: a brilliant pass rush led by Justin Tuck. Just an analogy.

No respect for someone who disappears after the patriots loss bro. Sorry. None whatsoever. Talking about you had finals lol.

@Suuma always insightful stuff... if you were the bookmaker what would you have the line at right now? Just curious to see where you think it may be

Suuma, one question. I already said we're on the same side but I might hedge a live bet during game if Broncos take lead. Do you think in any scenario that the we might be eatting too much of Broncos defense based on stats and last two games? While I do think they are the "best team" in the league on defense, it's not entirely out of the realm of possibility that they lay one here against Cam and Co. in the second half if they take the lead. Mentality wise, they've been playing close games all year long. What if that switch is turned off? Can offense keep moving the ball to keep the lead? We saw that the Patriots almost came back because the offense put the defense in a bad spot in the AFC Championship.

Cheers.