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TeaserSystem week 13- YTD posted 42-20 (68%)

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Prospect
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Posted: #1
Had my heart ripped out last week losing two teams with Seattle unable to score the 8 points in the game needed to cover and watching GB get all the help from the refs needed to kill that one. 

Both of last weeks losses came from teams ranked outside my top 8 so I'm being much more stringent in leaving teams out with any flaws in their numbers. That means fewer teams and some bigger bets on the top teams. I will not finalize the majority of my bets until Sunday morning as I wait on some lines and injury news. 

Here's what i have so far for rankings and the plan for bets (1 bet is $130 to win $100)

Baltimore- 15 bets
Indianapolis- 15 bets
Dallas- 15 bets
Atlanta- 15 bets
Seattle- 14 bets
New Orleans- 14 bets
Green Bay- 12 bets
Washington- 11 bets
New England- 7 bets
Buffalo- might remove altogether pending injuries- 8 bets

I've locked in these listed with spread and others are my plan to add. 

1. Baltimore 10/ Dallas 10/ will add Atl/Indy 650-500
2. Dallas 10/ Atlanta 10/ will add Baltimore/Seattle 650-500
3. Dallas 10/ New Orleans 7/ will add Indy/ Seattle 390-300
4. Dallas 10/ Green Bay 6.5/  will add Washington and NE 260-200
5. Indianapolis 11/ Washington 15.5/Atlanta 8.5/ will add GB 390-300
6. Atlanta 8.5/ New Orleans 7/ GB 6.5/ New England pick 260-200

None of the rest are in yet on any level. 

7. Baltimore, Washington, New Orleans , Seattle 390-300
8. Baltimore, buffalo, Indy, Green Bay 260-200
9. New Orleans, Washington, buffalo, Green Bay 390-300
10. Seattle, New Orleans, New England, buffalo 390-300

Feel free to share your thoughts/concerns. 
 
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Posted: #2
Pats
Cowboys
Giants
Broncos
Raiders 
Those were my early top 5 teams. Put my cowboys in 3 teasers


 
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Posted: #3
Quote Originally Posted by Teasersystem:

Had my heart ripped out last week losing two teams with Seattle unable to score the 8 points in the game needed to cover and watching GB get all the help from the refs needed to kill that one. 

Both of last weeks losses came from teams ranked outside my top 8 so I'm being much more stringent in leaving teams out with any flaws in their numbers. That means fewer teams and some bigger bets on the top teams. I will not finalize the majority of my bets until Sunday morning as I wait on some lines and injury news. 

Here's what i have so far for rankings and the plan for bets (1 bet is $130 to win $100)

Baltimore- 15 bets
Indianapolis- 15 bets
Dallas- 15 bets
Atlanta- 15 bets
Seattle- 14 bets
New Orleans- 14 bets
Green Bay- 12 bets
Washington- 11 bets
New England- 7 bets
Buffalo- might remove altogether pending injuries- 8 bets

I've locked in these listed with spread and others are my plan to add. 

1. Baltimore 10/ Dallas 10/ will add Atl/Indy 650-500
2. Dallas 10/ Atlanta 10/ will add Baltimore/Seattle 650-500
3. Dallas 10/ New Orleans 7/ will add Indy/ Seattle 390-300
4. Dallas 10/ Green Bay 6.5/  will add Washington and NE 260-200
5. Indianapolis 11/ Washington 15.5/Atlanta 8.5/ will add GB 390-300
6. Atlanta 8.5/ New Orleans 7/ GB 6.5/ New England pick 260-200

None of the rest are in yet on any level. 

7. Baltimore, Washington, New Orleans , Seattle 390-300
8. Baltimore, buffalo, Indy, Green Bay 260-200
9. New Orleans, Washington, buffalo, Green Bay 390-300
10. Seattle, New Orleans, New England, buffalo 390-300

Feel free to share your thoughts/concerns. 

Hey teaser,I;d like to see how good you are picking a few 6 point teasers in College & NFL,I could use your help to stick it to my man,LoL.90 % of what I play are two team 6 pt teamers & two team parlays.Thanks brother and Good Luck with your plays!
 
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Posted: #4
Hey Buddy I was just wondering cause I love playing teasers myself. In fact it's really all I play. Anyway I see you have the Saint plus 7 in a couple of your teasers but I was thinking the Lions plus 19 had more value. What are your thoughts?
 
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Posted: #5
Gotta love the Raiders +10
Pats Pk and Ravens +9.5
My favorite total has to be Saints-Lions Over 40.
 
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Posted: #6
Quote Originally Posted by robcee21:

Hey Buddy I was just wondering cause I love playing teasers myself. In fact it's really all I play. Anyway I see you have the Saint plus 7 in a couple of your teasers but I was thinking the Lions plus 19 had more value. What are your thoughts?

The Lions gave me pause because New Orleans beats the road dog teaser 26% of time and road dogs at +6 are only teaser winners 82% of the time. On the other side, Detroit only beats a home fav teaser 5% (1-20) and hasn't beaten any teaser on this year. Also, look at Detroits schedule and it's a complete joke. I don't think they've played anyone and saints is a tough place. 

With that said, I personally really like Detroit to cover teaser too but just trying to be a little more picky with my teams. 
 
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Posted: #7
FYI, I'm still looking into the Indy game a bit more and might drop that back or out completely. Want to see TY Hilton and Mathis suit up for it to stay where it's at. 
 
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Posted: #8
Quote Originally Posted by Spreadbusters:


Hey teaser,I'd like to see how good you are picking a few 6 point teasers in College & NFL,I could use your help to stick it to my man,LoL.90 % of what I play are two team 6 pt teasers & two team parlays.Thanks brother and Good Luck with your plays!
 
Prospect
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Posted: #9
Quote Originally Posted by Spreadbusters:


I'm not big on 6 pointers and I'd stay away from any college games for sure. In NFL I'd play Seattle, Baltimore, Washington and Atlanta. Other ones I'd consider are Green Bay and New Orleans. 
 
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Posted: #10
Final card is done and just wanted to let you all know that Buffalo has been removed and GB should be tread lightly. I already locked out them in for 9 bets but would suggest no plays. 

Not sure if I'll be able to post it he specific combos but I can rattle off the rankings and bets quickly. 

Baltimore 15 bets at 9.5
Dallas- 15 bets
Atlanta 15 bets at 8
Seattle 15 bets at 5.5
Washington 15 bets at 15.5
New England 15 bets at -.5
New Orleans 14 bets at 7
Indianapolis 13 bets at 11 and 11.5
Green Bay 9 bets (I'd recommend no plays though) at 6.5
Detroit 5 bets at 19.5
Giants 4 bets at 19.5

 
Prospect
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Posted: #11
Not posting final picks? And question about the Cowboys 15 bets... Wouldn't u have had to place the bets before Thursday's game started? So u had 15 finalized cards before cowboys game? Sorry, I'm confused. 
Anyways, GL, and I hope you post your final picks before kickoff. 

 
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Posted: #12
I'm with you on your stronger picks, (I currently have Dal,NE,Ind, Nyg on my ticket) Liked nyg at +19.5 a lot and noticed you weren't as strong on that one, reasons for that?
 
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Posted: #13
Quote Originally Posted by csuslog:

Not posting final picks? And question about the Cowboys 15 bets... Wouldn't u have had to place the bets before Thursday's game started? So u had 15 finalized cards before cowboys game? Sorry, I'm confused. 
Anyways, GL, and I hope you post your final picks before kickoff. 


I had placed Dallas in all those bets with some leaving 1-2 spots open to be filled later on. See my original post. 

My combos aren't as important for anyone to follow as much as just knowing who the best teams are so you can put them in some teasers. I don't have any specific method to match them up on her than trying to limit having two teams together for all of them. 
 
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Posted: #14
Quote Originally Posted by Eprince:

I'm with you on your stronger picks, (I currently have Dal,NE,Ind, Nyg on my ticket) Liked nyg at +19.5 a lot and noticed you weren't as strong on that one, reasons for that?

I personally like the giants a lot too but the numbers weren't as strong so I only sprinkled them in a few. 
 
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Posted: #15

Instead of making 30 different bets, why not pick you 9 favorite teams and place 3 LARGE Teaser bets.

Outcome is the same.  If one team craps their pants, you lose one bet and win 2.

Also, you don't have to worry about the AZ Cardinals finally waking up and getting a 17 point win and losing 15 bets.

I also bet 2 to 3 teasers in NFL a week and have made a nice profit.  The 10 point teasers (ties lose), so that can hurt.  I look for strong home teams laying 6 to 8.5 points and tease them 6 points down below a FG.

Today I really like Green Bay (in the snow) -.5 point with Seattle -1 looking for revenge for getting knocked out of the playoffs last year.

BOL!

 
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Posted: #16
Here's actual plays before games kick so record is valid. 

1. Dallas 10/ Baltimore 10/ Atlanta 7.5/ New England pick 650-500
2. Dallas 10/ Baltimore 10/ Atlanta 9/ Washington 15.5 650-500
3. Dallas 10/ GB 6.5/ Seattle 5.5/ NE -.5 260-200
4. Dallas 10/ New Orleans 7/ Washington 16.5/ Seattle 5.5 390-300
5. Atlanta 8.5/ Washington 15.5/ Indianapolis 11/ Seattle 5.5 390-300
5. Atlanta 8.5/ GB 6.5/ New Or 7/ New Eng pick 260-200
6. New Eng -.5/ Baltimore 9.5/ Seattle 5.5/ Indy 11.5390-300
7. Baltimore 9.5/ Washington 15.5/ new Or 7/ Indy 11.5 260-200
8. GB 7/ Detroit 19/ New Eng -.5/ Indy 11.5 390-300
9. Washington 15.5/ giants 19.5/ Indy 11.5/ Jacksonville 16.5 260-200
10. Detroit 19.5/ new or 6.5/ giants 19.5/ Seattle 5.5 260-200


 
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Posted: #17
Quote Originally Posted by betallwinners:

Instead of making 30 different bets, why not pick you 9 favorite teams and place 3 LARGE Teaser bets.

Outcome is the same.  If one team craps their pants, you lose one bet and win 2.

Also, you don't have to worry about the AZ Cardinals finally waking up and getting a 17 point win and losing 15 bets.

I also bet 2 to 3 teasers in NFL a week and have made a nice profit.  The 10 point teasers (ties lose), so that can hurt.  I look for strong home teams laying 6 to 8.5 points and tease them 6 points down below a FG.

Today I really like Green Bay (in the snow) -.5 point with Seattle -1 looking for revenge for getting knocked out of the playoffs last year.

BOL!


When I say 15 bets it means to win a total of $1500 as each of my units are $100. So if a team is in 15 bets they're only in 4-5 teasers at most. 
 
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Posted: #18
Got it.....good luck!
 
Prospect
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Posted: #19
Then why in your 1st post, it says 15 bets? Or 14 bets?
You would've lost 14 bets on Saints today. Something just isn't adding up this week man. 
What about Cowboys on Thursday? How do you have them in some of your bets, but none of your teaser cards were confirmed until this morning? Maybe in wrong?
Either way, I love the system. I got lazy this week and added N.O. to a couple cards because they were so high on your list. I knew Brees was in for a clunker soon lol. 
Until next week...
 
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Posted: #20
Quote Originally Posted by csuslog:

Then why in your 1st post, it says 15 bets? Or 14 bets?
You would've lost 14 bets on Saints today. Something just isn't adding up this week man. 
What about Cowboys on Thursday? How do you have them in some of your bets, but none of your teaser cards were confirmed until this morning? Maybe in wrong?
Either way, I love the system. I got lazy this week and added N.O. to a couple cards because they were so high on your list. I knew Brees was in for a clunker soon lol. 
Until next week...

I said pretty clearly in my first post that the majority of my plays were yet to be made but some were in with up to two open plays out of the four so I could play Dallas. The number of bets listed were my anticipated number but again, I clearly said I wasn't locking them in until Sunday. 

Sorry if there was some confusion.  

Looks like if Indy covers teaser they'll go 6-4 this week with both of my big bets hitting. Let's hope Indy comes through. 
 
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Posted: #21
Again, how do you have cowboys on a card, with open plays that you decided on Sunday? Makes zero sense. If they play Thursday, u have to have 4 teams and make a bet. Right? 
Idk a book that lets you pick 1 game, and if it wins then u get to choose the other 3? I'm calling BS. 
Anyways, best of luck this week. 
 
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Posted: #22
Quote Originally Posted by csuslog:

Again, how do you have cowboys on a card, with open plays that you decided on Sunday? Makes zero sense. If they play Thursday, u have to have 4 teams and make a bet. Right? 
Idk a book that lets you pick 1 game, and if it wins then u get to choose the other 3? I'm calling BS. 
Anyways, best of luck this week. 

Can someone else back me up on this or explain it better than I have?  
Cusa - you can absolutely lock in a teaser with 2 teams (requires minimum of 2 of the 4) and leave it open to fill in the last two teams at any future date. I have two different guys/sites and they both do it. I'm pretty sure this is common practice. 

Take a look at my original post and you'll see that all the teasers with Dallas have at least two lines posted next to them and those didn't change from the final card. I'm not sure what else to tell but I'm definitely not being dishonest. 
 
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Posted: #23
You can make teasers with open plays. 5dimes does it.  

For example, you can take a 15 gamer and only put 1 game today, 2 games tomorrow, 5 the next, or keep it open for a year later... 
 
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Posted: #24
Quote Originally Posted by Teasersystem:


I'm not big on 6 pointers and I'd stay away from any college games for sure. In NFL I'd play Seattle, Baltimore, Washington and Atlanta. Other ones I'd consider are Green Bay and New Orleans. 

Thanks for your reply,I wish I had checked back in time to see these suggestions because you only missed one team,that being the Saints and wouldn't ya know that's the one I chose, lol,along with Green Bay on a 2 team teaser.You are right College football is just to unpredictable for teasers,and little more predictable using them in the NFL.That don't seem to stop me though as I'm a sucker for them and Parlay's. I've been gambling for 35 years and you would think by now I'd flip the script and start betting 90% of straight plays but since my bank roll to gamble with is so small I guess I feel like I need all the value in getting as many points as I can, failing to see the whole time that I'm reducing my odds to winning to like 25%, of winning instead of 50 %.I'd welcome any tips that you may have in using teasers in the NFL? tell me if I'm wrong but it seems to me like teasing up most road dogs of 7 points or more are better than teasing down 7point or less home favorites? thanks for your input Teasersystem!
 
 
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Posted: #25
Teams went 10-1 and bets went 6-4 with hitting both big plays for +$1,130 this week.  
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