This is more than just Pickett’s fault. But he has not been as good as he was last year and has not been as efficient as he was last year.
Last year it could be argued that Trubisky and Pickett had very similar years. But this year Pickett has had a much worse year than he did last year. So, why not make a change. I would have tried it a few games ago. This is why they went after Trubisky and paid the money for him. The plan was to rebuild the team and maybe use him as a stopgap until you find the next franchise QB. Then they drafted Pickett and teams nowadays will not sit their ‘franchise’ QB to learn for a year or two. Pickett does not seem to be the ‘franchise’ guy at this point, so try the other guy and maybe Pickett can learn a bit more on the sidelines.
I wrote extensively about this last year and it has proven to be the case. They now have become a dysfunctional team and I can draw a direct line to their QB choices.
Compare the two last year and compare Pickett to last year.
Trubisky:
2022 rating 81.1 IQR 80.1 ANY/A 5.4 WAR .6. PAA/Play .014
Pickett:
2022 rating 76.7 IQR 78.4 ANY/A 6.2 WAR .7 PAA/Play -.028
2023 rating 80.6 IQR 73.3 ANY/A 6.7 WAR -.3 PAA/Play -.130
Trubisky:
2022 Int% 2.8 Sack% 5.6 On Target% 73.8%
Pickett:
2022 Int% 2.3 Sack% 6.1 On Target% 77.9%
2023 Int% 2.0 Sack% 7.6 On Target% 72.3%
Pickett has not shown improvement and seems to be getting more easily rattled and making worse reads and is less efficient. I can easily argue that he has gotten worse.
He is one of the very few QBs right now to have a NEGATIVE WAR rating.
Last year they had the 19th best Passing; this year it is 31st
Last year their Run game was 14th; this year it is 22nd
Last year their Receiving was 22nd; this year it is 24th
Last year their pass blown block% was 22nd at 2.621; this year it is 25th at 3.595
Last year their run block blown% was 6th at 1.496%; this year it is 26th at 2.795%
Last year 8th with 13 holds; this year 5th with 5 holds.
Last year Blocking was 8th with WAR 1.2
This year Blocking is 28th with WAR .1
So, the team has more problems on offense than just the QB.
But Pickett actually has a NEGATIVE WAR rating and his PAA/Play is actually NEAGATIVE! That is awfully inefficient.
They need to at least try Trubisky for a few games because he has the experience to navigate their other deficiencies while they attempt to fix them.
Amazingly, as bad as this team is, they still are in contention.
Tomlin never seems to get the credit for what he does with what he has. But they need to get him more to work with.