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the official who cares, let's talk about cincy-miami thread

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Posted: #1
hard for me to pick this one-maybe the under?

don't have much of a feel for this one, i'm not one to watch miami and cincy football all that much.  who is.
 
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Posted: #2
I'm leaning under... As for the side I hate to bet against home teams getting 3 or less points. Every team this year getting 3 or less at home have won outright or covered. BUT, there has not been a FAV/Under on Thursday night yet and Cincy/Under sounds good to me. Still a tough call.
 
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Posted: #3
Bengals are playing well right now but Miami has been tough on them 
 
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Posted: #4
If you haven't been watching the Bengals play better pay attention
 
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Posted: #5
yeah...Thursday night games generally go under for lack of preparation time.  but that simple fact isn't enough to go on

will look at line movement, put change on the first half, make a bigger play for the 2nd half (if it's there) is the current plan for me
 
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Posted: #6
I watch them play on highlights and NFL Red Zone.  Not enough to go by, for sure.

Miami I watch even less.
 
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Posted: #7
The last 5 Thursday's Night game been over.
 
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Posted: #8
Been 2 games under and 6 games over.....so Thursday's Night game usually don't go over.
 
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Posted: #9
mean under*
 
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Posted: #10
Cincy for real this year. I think they keep rolling
 
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Posted: #11
MIA WINS ST8 UP!!!...
 
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Posted: #12
Why? Just don't see it! Look at past performances against the same opponents! Bengals are just now hitting their stride. What are you thinking other than the Thursday night phenomenon. Tannehill lacks the confidence to finish games where Dalton is stepping up big time. I see tow teams moving in two different directions and I believe your str8 up Miami win is a shot in the dark with no empirical evidence to back it up.

 
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Posted: #13
over 42.5
 
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Posted: #14
Miami or no bet
 
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Posted: #15
MIA ML
 
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Posted: #16
Miami. I would love for this line to get bet up to 3-3.5. Regardless I like Miami to win the game.
 
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Posted: #17
Quote Originally Posted by Luca_Brasi:

The last 5 Thursday's Night game been over.


My bad....good catch, thanks.  I know before this year there was a huge string of unders on Thursdays, looks like it turned the other way this year.
 
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Posted: #18

Bengals playing on a unsustainable level, and you don't want to back teams coming-off big blowout wins, in the long run it's a losing bet.

Teams that win by 20+ post small losing ATS records the next week and teams losing by 20+ post small winning records ATS the next week, there's site that posted this.

And that's why youi can't just watch games on TV and pick teams next week that did well last week.

I'll be on the Dolphins, especially if it hits +3.

 
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Posted: #19
Quote Originally Posted by theclaw:

Bengals playing on a unsustainable level, and you don't want to back teams coming-off big blowout wins, in the long run it's a losing bet.

Teams that win by 20+ post small losing ATS records the next week and teams losing by 20+ post small winning records ATS the next week, there's site that posted this.

And that's why youi can't just watch games on TV and pick teams next week that did well last week.

I'll be on the Dolphins, especially if it hits +3.


Very true. But cincy is an exception among 3 others. 
 
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Posted: #20
On Thursdays I'm going with Mia 
 
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Posted: #21

The question is do I want to take a 6-2 Bengals team giving up a field goal with a QB that has thrown for over 1000 yards and 11 TD's in the last 3 games, against a Dolphins team that has gone 0-4 in the last month.

I'll have to think about this one for a bit........

 
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Posted: #22
Quote Originally Posted by budwiser:

yeah...Thursday night games generally go under for lack of preparation time.  but that simple fact isn't enough to go on

will look at line movement, put change on the first half, make a bigger play for the 2nd half (if it's there) is the current plan for me



Not true, they've usually gone over.
 
 
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Posted: #23
I'm going with a 10 pt teaser with a spot open for Sunday.

Cin +7.5
over 33
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