If we figure at least one NFC wildcard wins, then GB gets a WC otherwise the Rams in their first game. Either way that's at least GB -200 or even -300 ML.
If you figure -200, the NFC Championship is pretty much a PK to make GB +165.
-200 and -120 = +175
I watched just a few minutes of the GB Vikings game and all the announcers talked about how cold GB is and all the other teams are "warm weather" teams, blah blah blah. That didn't stop TB from winning in GB last year. Or all the other times they have lost at home in playoffs. During the Farve/Rodgers ERA they are about .500 at home in playoffs. Was it not cold all those days ? Cold doesn't mean shit.
Think about this +165. It doesn't even make since. Not at all. That means the Packers aren't gonna be a very big favorite in either game or it wouldn't be +165 to win 2 home games.
They are begging squares to jump on GB and I have heard the "it's cold" angle so much I'm ready to puke. Think about how the +165 makes no sense or don't. Instead just come in here talking about the fix when GB loses in the NFC playoffs --- AGAIN. Like they do every year.
And I know you say it's not hard to say a team won't get to SB. This isn't true at all. They have to win 2 home games and first likely against a wild card. The Seahawks have never lost in NFC playoffs as #1 seed. Never. Not once. I say its not hard to pick the team with best record.
This team is overrated and they are gonna lose either first game or second and I think the +165 shows it's really likely.
4
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
If we figure at least one NFC wildcard wins, then GB gets a WC otherwise the Rams in their first game. Either way that's at least GB -200 or even -300 ML.
If you figure -200, the NFC Championship is pretty much a PK to make GB +165.
-200 and -120 = +175
I watched just a few minutes of the GB Vikings game and all the announcers talked about how cold GB is and all the other teams are "warm weather" teams, blah blah blah. That didn't stop TB from winning in GB last year. Or all the other times they have lost at home in playoffs. During the Farve/Rodgers ERA they are about .500 at home in playoffs. Was it not cold all those days ? Cold doesn't mean shit.
Think about this +165. It doesn't even make since. Not at all. That means the Packers aren't gonna be a very big favorite in either game or it wouldn't be +165 to win 2 home games.
They are begging squares to jump on GB and I have heard the "it's cold" angle so much I'm ready to puke. Think about how the +165 makes no sense or don't. Instead just come in here talking about the fix when GB loses in the NFC playoffs --- AGAIN. Like they do every year.
And I know you say it's not hard to say a team won't get to SB. This isn't true at all. They have to win 2 home games and first likely against a wild card. The Seahawks have never lost in NFC playoffs as #1 seed. Never. Not once. I say its not hard to pick the team with best record.
This team is overrated and they are gonna lose either first game or second and I think the +165 shows it's really likely.
Quote Originally Posted by Danny9999: Quote Originally Posted by bestfightstory: Could you rephrase that? Yes I can rephrase it. If you bet Packers to win NFC, you are going to lose. To who? Unless it's the Bucs, no one else matters but those 2
Well if that were true, you wouldn't see this
Odds to win NFC
Packers + 165
Buccs +350
Those are not lines you would ever get in a 2 team race.
1
Quote Originally Posted by chic-cardinals:
Quote Originally Posted by Danny9999: Quote Originally Posted by bestfightstory: Could you rephrase that? Yes I can rephrase it. If you bet Packers to win NFC, you are going to lose. To who? Unless it's the Bucs, no one else matters but those 2
Well if that were true, you wouldn't see this
Odds to win NFC
Packers + 165
Buccs +350
Those are not lines you would ever get in a 2 team race.
Quote Originally Posted by chic-cardinals: Quote Originally Posted by Danny9999: Quote Originally Posted by bestfightstory: Could you rephrase that? Yes I can rephrase it. If you bet Packers to win NFC, you are going to lose. To who? Unless it's the Bucs, no one else matters but those 2 Well if that were true, you wouldn't see this Odds to win NFC Packers + 165 Buccs +350 Those are not lines you would ever get in a 2 team race.
All gambling us based on lying for profit. You think they are going to tell you the truth?
Furthermore, what the hell are you talking about?
None if the other teams matter unless maybe Dallas dies something. The conference Championship will be Packers vs somebody.
0
Quote Originally Posted by Danny9999:
Quote Originally Posted by chic-cardinals: Quote Originally Posted by Danny9999: Quote Originally Posted by bestfightstory: Could you rephrase that? Yes I can rephrase it. If you bet Packers to win NFC, you are going to lose. To who? Unless it's the Bucs, no one else matters but those 2 Well if that were true, you wouldn't see this Odds to win NFC Packers + 165 Buccs +350 Those are not lines you would ever get in a 2 team race.
All gambling us based on lying for profit. You think they are going to tell you the truth?
Furthermore, what the hell are you talking about?
None if the other teams matter unless maybe Dallas dies something. The conference Championship will be Packers vs somebody.
Quote Originally Posted by Danny9999: Quote Originally Posted by chic-cardinals: Quote Originally Posted by Danny9999: Quote Originally Posted by bestfightstory: Could you rephrase that? Yes I can rephrase it. If you bet Packers to win NFC, you are going to lose. To who? Unless it's the Bucs, no one else matters but those 2 Well if that were true, you wouldn't see this Odds to win NFC Packers + 165 Buccs +350 Those are not lines you would ever get in a 2 team race. All gambling us based on lying for profit. You think they are going to tell you the truth? Furthermore, what the hell are you talking about? None if the other teams matter unless maybe Dallas dies something. The conference Championship will be Packers vs somebody.
So you think you can just take Packers +165 to win NFC, then wait for NFC championship game and you have the favorite at +165. You think it's that easy ?
No way a top seed is gonna be +165 if they have much of a chance to win. That's the same as what KC is and they have to win 3 games, maybe 1 on the road.
Any time the Seahawks ever got top seed, no way in hell you were getting them at +165.
You automatically rule out Rams, Niners, Arizona, Philly. All these teams have same scoring differential as GB and they all played stronger schedules than GB per NFL SOS Rankings. This Packers team is gonna to lose in the NFC.
There are several teams this weekend with big ML. KC is -700, TB -450, Cin -300.
GB at +165 means they won't be higher than -200 in first game ( likely against WC team )
You think Vegas is just trying to help you out or posting a juicy number on a team they know is madly overrated ?
GB at +165 plays out at like -200 game 1 then -125 game 2
KC is -700 then -350 then -130.
I know a lot of people here bet on emotions, nothing can be done, they will just have to lose. But if some could put emotions aside, it's obvious the GB number is telling something.
1
Quote Originally Posted by chic-cardinals:
Quote Originally Posted by Danny9999: Quote Originally Posted by chic-cardinals: Quote Originally Posted by Danny9999: Quote Originally Posted by bestfightstory: Could you rephrase that? Yes I can rephrase it. If you bet Packers to win NFC, you are going to lose. To who? Unless it's the Bucs, no one else matters but those 2 Well if that were true, you wouldn't see this Odds to win NFC Packers + 165 Buccs +350 Those are not lines you would ever get in a 2 team race. All gambling us based on lying for profit. You think they are going to tell you the truth? Furthermore, what the hell are you talking about? None if the other teams matter unless maybe Dallas dies something. The conference Championship will be Packers vs somebody.
So you think you can just take Packers +165 to win NFC, then wait for NFC championship game and you have the favorite at +165. You think it's that easy ?
No way a top seed is gonna be +165 if they have much of a chance to win. That's the same as what KC is and they have to win 3 games, maybe 1 on the road.
Any time the Seahawks ever got top seed, no way in hell you were getting them at +165.
You automatically rule out Rams, Niners, Arizona, Philly. All these teams have same scoring differential as GB and they all played stronger schedules than GB per NFL SOS Rankings. This Packers team is gonna to lose in the NFC.
There are several teams this weekend with big ML. KC is -700, TB -450, Cin -300.
GB at +165 means they won't be higher than -200 in first game ( likely against WC team )
You think Vegas is just trying to help you out or posting a juicy number on a team they know is madly overrated ?
GB at +165 plays out at like -200 game 1 then -125 game 2
KC is -700 then -350 then -130.
I know a lot of people here bet on emotions, nothing can be done, they will just have to lose. But if some could put emotions aside, it's obvious the GB number is telling something.
Quote Originally Posted by chic-cardinals: Quote Originally Posted by Danny9999: Quote Originally Posted by chic-cardinals: Quote Originally Posted by Danny9999: Quote Originally Posted by bestfightstory: Could you rephrase that? Yes I can rephrase it. If you bet Packers to win NFC, you are going to lose. To who? Unless it's the Bucs, no one else matters but those 2 Well if that were true, you wouldn't see this Odds to win NFC Packers + 165 Buccs +350 Those are not lines you would ever get in a 2 team race. All gambling us based on lying for profit. You think they are going to tell you the truth? Furthermore, what the hell are you talking about? None if the other teams matter unless maybe Dallas dies something. The conference Championship will be Packers vs somebody. So you think you can just take Packers +165 to win NFC, then wait for NFC championship game and you have the favorite at +165. You think it's that easy ? No way a top seed is gonna be +165 if they have much of a chance to win. That's the same as what KC is and they have to win 3 games, maybe 1 on the road. Any time the Seahawks ever got top seed, no way in hell you were getting them at +165. You automatically rule out Rams, Niners, Arizona, Philly. All these teams have same scoring differential as GB and they all played stronger schedules than GB per NFL SOS Rankings. This Packers team is gonna to lose in the NFC. There are several teams this weekend with big ML. KC is -700, TB -450, Cin -300. GB at +165 means they won't be higher than -200 in first game ( likely against WC team ) You think Vegas is just trying to help you out or posting a juicy number on a team they know is madly overrated ? GB at +165 plays out at like -200 game 1 then -125 game 2 KC is -700 then -350 then -130. I know a lot of people here bet on emotions, nothing can be done, they will just have to lose. But if some could put emotions aside, it's obvious the GB number is telling something.
It would appear you're letting the numbers sway your" emotions.
Point differential? That's meaningless now, with every game coming down to the last minute even if one team is far superior to the other
All your number crunching is meaningless.
Vegas help you out? I just told you it's all a lie.
Who gets all the press and commercials? Packers.
Mcarthy sucks as a coach. The Rams have no clue what they are doing. The cards qb throws the ball all over the place. The eagles.....just suck.
0
Quote Originally Posted by Danny9999:
Quote Originally Posted by chic-cardinals: Quote Originally Posted by Danny9999: Quote Originally Posted by chic-cardinals: Quote Originally Posted by Danny9999: Quote Originally Posted by bestfightstory: Could you rephrase that? Yes I can rephrase it. If you bet Packers to win NFC, you are going to lose. To who? Unless it's the Bucs, no one else matters but those 2 Well if that were true, you wouldn't see this Odds to win NFC Packers + 165 Buccs +350 Those are not lines you would ever get in a 2 team race. All gambling us based on lying for profit. You think they are going to tell you the truth? Furthermore, what the hell are you talking about? None if the other teams matter unless maybe Dallas dies something. The conference Championship will be Packers vs somebody. So you think you can just take Packers +165 to win NFC, then wait for NFC championship game and you have the favorite at +165. You think it's that easy ? No way a top seed is gonna be +165 if they have much of a chance to win. That's the same as what KC is and they have to win 3 games, maybe 1 on the road. Any time the Seahawks ever got top seed, no way in hell you were getting them at +165. You automatically rule out Rams, Niners, Arizona, Philly. All these teams have same scoring differential as GB and they all played stronger schedules than GB per NFL SOS Rankings. This Packers team is gonna to lose in the NFC. There are several teams this weekend with big ML. KC is -700, TB -450, Cin -300. GB at +165 means they won't be higher than -200 in first game ( likely against WC team ) You think Vegas is just trying to help you out or posting a juicy number on a team they know is madly overrated ? GB at +165 plays out at like -200 game 1 then -125 game 2 KC is -700 then -350 then -130. I know a lot of people here bet on emotions, nothing can be done, they will just have to lose. But if some could put emotions aside, it's obvious the GB number is telling something.
It would appear you're letting the numbers sway your" emotions.
Point differential? That's meaningless now, with every game coming down to the last minute even if one team is far superior to the other
All your number crunching is meaningless.
Vegas help you out? I just told you it's all a lie.
Who gets all the press and commercials? Packers.
Mcarthy sucks as a coach. The Rams have no clue what they are doing. The cards qb throws the ball all over the place. The eagles.....just suck.
Every game comes down to the last minute yet Buffalo is almost +200. TB +158
Dallas +172 despite playing the 3rd hardest schedule in NFL, but "no one else matters except TB and GB". Uh huh ok. GB has virtual identical numbers to all the NFC wildcard teams except they won a couple games more. Being in the worst division in the NFL will do that for you.
The only angle GB backers have is they are at home, the frozen tundra, except for the fact that for over a decade now, they always end up losing even at home in the playoffs. And of course "numbers are meaningless", don't they have to be when your team has the worst numbers ?
Everyone so ready to jump on the public team. It will work out how it usually does. But Mark my words - the Packers will lose in the NFC.
0
Every game comes down to the last minute yet Buffalo is almost +200. TB +158
Dallas +172 despite playing the 3rd hardest schedule in NFL, but "no one else matters except TB and GB". Uh huh ok. GB has virtual identical numbers to all the NFC wildcard teams except they won a couple games more. Being in the worst division in the NFL will do that for you.
The only angle GB backers have is they are at home, the frozen tundra, except for the fact that for over a decade now, they always end up losing even at home in the playoffs. And of course "numbers are meaningless", don't they have to be when your team has the worst numbers ?
Everyone so ready to jump on the public team. It will work out how it usually does. But Mark my words - the Packers will lose in the NFC.
I agree there is no value on +165. One could have got gb at 4 or 5-1 for months because of the rams hype. Brady's presence is what is keeping the odds at +165. If eagles were to somehow beat bucs watch what happens to the odds on gb. bucs are decimated by injury though. Rams qb is not a playoff winner, they already went into gb and lost. gb is getting healthy, rodgers will be rested. packers already beat the cards and 49ers on the road. You failed to mention Packers are 8-0 at home. They may not be a great team, there are no great teams this year. I could make a post and crap on all the teams in the nfc, they are all flawed. maybe there is value on 49ers or cowboys, still think neither will take down gb.
Who is a good bet right now to win the nfc in your opinion?
2
I agree there is no value on +165. One could have got gb at 4 or 5-1 for months because of the rams hype. Brady's presence is what is keeping the odds at +165. If eagles were to somehow beat bucs watch what happens to the odds on gb. bucs are decimated by injury though. Rams qb is not a playoff winner, they already went into gb and lost. gb is getting healthy, rodgers will be rested. packers already beat the cards and 49ers on the road. You failed to mention Packers are 8-0 at home. They may not be a great team, there are no great teams this year. I could make a post and crap on all the teams in the nfc, they are all flawed. maybe there is value on 49ers or cowboys, still think neither will take down gb.
Who is a good bet right now to win the nfc in your opinion?
I agree there is no value on +165. One could have got gb at 4 or 5-1 for months because of the rams hype. Brady's presence is what is keeping the odds at +165. If eagles were to somehow beat bucs watch what happens to the odds on gb. bucs are decimated by injury though. Rams qb is not a playoff winner, they already went into gb and lost. gb is getting healthy, rodgers will be rested. packers already beat the cards and 49ers on the road. You failed to mention Packers are 8-0 at home. They may not be a great team, there are no great teams this year. I could make a post and crap on all the teams in the nfc, they are all flawed. maybe there is value on 49ers or cowboys, still think neither will take down gb. Who is a good bet right now to win the nfc in your opinion?
Cowboys +800. Third hardest schedule in NFL, yet scored way more and gave up way less. Playing good ball at end of season.
1
Quote Originally Posted by lordbettington:
I agree there is no value on +165. One could have got gb at 4 or 5-1 for months because of the rams hype. Brady's presence is what is keeping the odds at +165. If eagles were to somehow beat bucs watch what happens to the odds on gb. bucs are decimated by injury though. Rams qb is not a playoff winner, they already went into gb and lost. gb is getting healthy, rodgers will be rested. packers already beat the cards and 49ers on the road. You failed to mention Packers are 8-0 at home. They may not be a great team, there are no great teams this year. I could make a post and crap on all the teams in the nfc, they are all flawed. maybe there is value on 49ers or cowboys, still think neither will take down gb. Who is a good bet right now to win the nfc in your opinion?
Cowboys +800. Third hardest schedule in NFL, yet scored way more and gave up way less. Playing good ball at end of season.
I could only find one team won the SB as a no. 1 seed that finished 5th in the conference in point margin .
That was 2015 Broncos with P. Manning, PM threw lots of int Early in the season but then became more of a game manager and cut down his int.
Completely different situation then Packers, Broncos are understandable they could have a poor point margin.
Point Margin is a better indicator then record.
Packers were 6th in Point margin ahead of only the newly added 7th seed up untill the 2cd to last week when they went to 5th by one tenth of a point over the Eagles.
Packers don't appear to be a SB type team
1
I could only find one team won the SB as a no. 1 seed that finished 5th in the conference in point margin .
That was 2015 Broncos with P. Manning, PM threw lots of int Early in the season but then became more of a game manager and cut down his int.
Completely different situation then Packers, Broncos are understandable they could have a poor point margin.
Point Margin is a better indicator then record.
Packers were 6th in Point margin ahead of only the newly added 7th seed up untill the 2cd to last week when they went to 5th by one tenth of a point over the Eagles.
What would be the best way to apply your opinions on the Packers to sports betting? You are very confident that they will not win the NFC, are you going to bet the moneyline on their opponent in the Divisional round and then double down in the Championship round if the Packers advance regardless of opponents? I'm generally curious, I respect your approach that I've seen you take in other threads. Hearing what you think would be the best way to bet this would be more productive than just saying not to bet Packers at +160.
0
@Danny9999
What would be the best way to apply your opinions on the Packers to sports betting? You are very confident that they will not win the NFC, are you going to bet the moneyline on their opponent in the Divisional round and then double down in the Championship round if the Packers advance regardless of opponents? I'm generally curious, I respect your approach that I've seen you take in other threads. Hearing what you think would be the best way to bet this would be more productive than just saying not to bet Packers at +160.
I'll second that question by BBGunzz. Would love to hear your take. I've got a feeling SF is a viable dark horse this year. Thinking Jimmy G has it in him to go on a run, knock off Dallas & Mike McCarthy then win in Green Bay. Brady v. Jimmy G in the conference championship????
I do believe I've had enough
1
I'll second that question by BBGunzz. Would love to hear your take. I've got a feeling SF is a viable dark horse this year. Thinking Jimmy G has it in him to go on a run, knock off Dallas & Mike McCarthy then win in Green Bay. Brady v. Jimmy G in the conference championship????
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