THE PICK! Thursday night football!

12-2 ATS posted YTD 

If you were lucky and grabbed Tampa plus the points congratulations! The good news for the rest of you, you most likely won’t need them.  Tampa is winning this game at least 3. 

Humiliation and urgency is a huge factor going into tonight’s game. Tampa was embarrassed last week and will come out swinging tonight……..in addition, they are lucky to be getting Baltimore off of a tough divisional game on a short week.   Brady should have a field day throwing against the bad secondary of the Ravens. 

The nfl is an unpredictable league. We have to throw out what we saw last week and cap these games like it’s a new season. Week to week. This a perfect spot to take Tampa. Turning point of their season. 

Tampa bay -1.5. 

Agree with you  

Good luck Tootskie.  

You're probably a way better handicapper than me. I have amnesia most the time when betting haha but something I wont forget is people were saying the same thing last week about TB. Easy win here for Tom Booty, -13 spread against the Panthers who lost a HC, a RB, a WR, and low morale. Couldn't even put up 7. I might be missing something but how are they going to win at all? Honestly curious, no bet on the game. Also BOL hope you guys win your bet. 

@GallowsHumor

 This is the logic that gets u killed in this industry…. These machines have no recency bias, unlike humans…. This just looks like a great buy low spot on the Bucs. When there’s blood in the water you know what to do.

@GallowsHumor

Can’t bet the nfl on that logic.  The same could be said about Carolina last week….how can they win vs Brady?

FYI Baltimore isn’t  exactly lighting anyone on fire these days. They’re. beatable especially on a short week.  

@tootskie

You never know in this league. Who ever thought the Bears would go into New England and lay down the hammer on the Pats. No one saw that coming!!! So being desperate and needing this game so bad are not something to hang your hat on!!!!

^^^^^  could not agree more with this

Most of these games are coin flips anyway.  4th quarter turnovers, etc. 

Live betting has never been more important.  Game flow starts to go one way, hedge your way out if you safely can do so.

This league is so damn unpredictable, the only thing I know for sure, is that if I have 5 units that I wanna play with on a game, I don't wanna have it all spent before kickoff.  If I am right from start to finish, that is fine and I will not be greedy and just happily take a 1/2 to 2 unit winner, but if things get hairy, I like to leave myself some wiggle room.

Sometimes you have to make the uncomfortable pick, this is one of those times. Seems like the books are begging for action on BAL, most of the bets are going to BAL yet the line keeps moving towards TB. Riding TB with you, GL everyone

Love all the Tampa love .. they will not be close in this game .. book it 

@WilliamMunny

 Ya because Baltimore is blowing every team out 

@D-Town

@saigon

@Fuse

@jonny_notes