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The Unconventional, Yet Profitable Thread

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Prospect
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Posted: #51
NFL Plays:

i wanted to do a teaser, but the line never came back down, so i'll just do it like this:

Texans/ Lions ML Parlay @ -282

Risk $5.64 to win $2.00


Saints ML @ -410

Risk $4.10 to win $1.00
 
Prospect
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Posted: #52
South Carolina/ Michigan State/ LSU/ USC ML parlay @ -466

Risk $4.66 to win $1.00  WIN

total BR: +$0.78

Record: 4-1
 
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Posted: #53
saints cost me some cash sunday. o well. it can be earned back. overall i lost $2.56 yesterday. which leaves me with...

total BR =  -$1.78

Record = 5-3


one play for tonight

Ravens ML @ -330

Risk $3.30 to win $1.00


 
Prospect
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Posted: #54
Ravens ML @ -330  WIN

Total BR: -0.78

Record: 6-3

early lean for a 3 team 10 point teaser...

giants +1/ patriots -3.5/ tampa bay +18

i don't like how the pats are still above a field goal, but they should handle the cardinals pretty easily.
thoughts?
 
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Posted: #55
Pats are good to go with any number below 7.  How are you teasing the Giants and Tampa when they are playing each other?  
 
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Posted: #56

He wants a sure lose.  :)  Pocketjax can you start a new thread with week 2 picks?  just asking to keep it seperated

 
Prospect
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Posted: #57
I prefer 13 pt teasers myself, Been playing them for years and I seem to be pretty lucky at them. Below is my picks for this week in NCAAF.

13 Point Teasers for this week!


Cal +30 over a beat up Ohio State Buckeyes

Virginia vs G.T. <--- +2.5 & High Powered I like it!

Ohio vs Marshall +19 <---- We Are Marshall

BYU +9 over Utah

How can you not play these is my question???
 
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Posted: #58
I swear I'm dyslexic sometimes. Good catch flamingo. I meant jaguars +18 not the bucs. I love me some home dogs :)
 
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Posted: #59
tampa is going to beat the giants
 
Prospect
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Posted: #60
Quote Originally Posted by chivashoolio:

tampa is going to beat the giants


any reasoning behind this? the giants have 11 days to prepare. coming off a loss i think they will do whatever it takes to avoid 0-2. also, the bucs are pretty conservative on offense. the giants D should eat them alive. i feel good about the giants here. you're scaring me though
 
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Posted: #61
i like a lot of games this week which really scares me. hopefully i can come out profitable. here are some i like...

10 pt teaser leans:
giants teased down to +1
patriots teased down to -3.5 (wish it was -2.5)
jaguars teased up to +18
ravens teased up to +11

6 pt teaser leans:
49ers teased down to -0.5
bengals teased down to -1

i also like the under in the bengals/browns game. bengals D should have Weeden chucking it to the wrong team again. i'd like to get at least even money on the juice for this game. i may wait for that to happen.

thoughts on these lines? i might have a lot of action it looks like this sunday. hopefully i avoid the big upset.
 
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Posted: #62
Indy +whatever
Det +whatever
Browns +whatever
Titans +whatever

Play it. Best teases this week being detroit and titans. SF is not getting a 13-17 point win against detroit. Same goes for chargers at titans.
 
Prospect
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Posted: #63
I just found $0.78 on an unused desk at work.  I am going to send it to you so you are back to even.

You are going to be up less than $10 for the year going at it this way.  You might as well mix in an underdog parlay, pleaser or something to have a chance to make some money.

Betting moneyline parlays for pennies is for the birds.

Just take your $100 and play a Labouchere line for the season and you will be up way more than 19%......
 
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Posted: #64
Quote Originally Posted by LabbyKing:

I just found $0.78 on an unused desk at work.  I am going to send it to you so you are back to even.

You are going to be up less than $10 for the year going at it this way.  You might as well mix in an underdog parlay, pleaser or something to have a chance to make some money.

Betting moneyline parlays for pennies is for the birds.

Just take your $100 and play a Labouchere line for the season and you will be up way more than 19%......



really being up 19% is just the goal. if i can have action all year long and actually win some small amount of cash i'll be thrilled. it's an extra entertainment that i get and i might even get a little cash out of the deal.
also, i looked at your thread and it seems like you are off to a great start. not a bad strategy you have there. whatever makes money for ya. good luck this year!
 
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Posted: #65
i'm thinking that maybe a 2 team 6 point tease would be better than a 3 team 10 pointer. the 4 teams i like are..

Giants
49ers
bengals
texans

i'm leaning towards the giants and bengals. any one with some insight on these games?
 
Prospect
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Posted: #66
it's looking like i will have multiple ML parlays in college football this week. i just locked in this one which includes the patriots, so not completely college...

Patriots/ Boise St./ Alabama @ -368

Risk $3.68 to win $1.00

i'm waiting for some 1st half moneylines to be posted. if i dont like what i see i will most likely still have another play or 2. there are a lot of teams favored at home by 17-21 points that i like this week.
 
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Posted: #67
is this some kind of joke. this has to be the dumbest thread ever made.
 
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Posted: #68
lmao dude is betting $1 to win .74... this better be a joke.  "ill be happy if i profit $10 for the year"  are you fucking kidding me?
 
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Posted: #69

Ok, normally I dont take the bait but this post is difficult to not react too. For starters you make a big mistake when you assume Vegas sets a line based on what they think the final score will be. There main goal is to get equal action on both sides. They are willing to inflate a popular team the public loves even if the sharps grab some of the other side.

Oh, I had some other points but bottom line is you are a dumb and should quit posting. Thanks

  

 
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Posted: #70
Quote Originally Posted by Diamondjake:

Ok, normally I dont take the bait but this post is difficult to not react too. For starters you make a big mistake when you assume Vegas sets a line based on what they think the final score will be. There main goal is to get equal action on both sides. They are willing to inflate a popular team the public loves even if the sharps grab some of the other side.

Oh, I had some other points but bottom line is you are a dumb and should quit posting. Thanks

  




i understand this which is why i haven't taken a single team ATS and i probably won't all year. this shouldn't have much affect on me since i'm just betting ML parlays and teasers. sure it might make the juice on a ML a bit higher, but i'm not too worried about that. i will continue to post though... but unlike several other people on here i will actually post my real record and real profit/loss. good luck to you this year!
 
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Posted: #71
Quote Originally Posted by Str8CashHomie84:

lmao dude is betting $1 to win .74... this better be a joke.  "ill be happy if i profit $10 for the year"  are you fucking kidding me?



you must not have read my previous posts. this $100 dollar bankroll is an arbitrary number. most people use "units", but i thought i would be a little different and make it have more of a real money feel. i could have made it a much larger amount, but i in the end i will be looking at the percent increase over the season anyway. the $100 dollar number is just easier to work with. have a good season!

 
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Posted: #72
Quote Originally Posted by Str8CashHomie84:

lmao dude is betting $1 to win .74... this better be a joke.  "ill be happy if i profit $10 for the year"  are you fucking kidding me?



you must not have read my previous posts. this $100 dollar bankroll is an arbitrary number. most people use "units", but i thought i would be a little different and make it have more of a real money feel. i could have made it a much larger amount, but in the end i will be looking at the percent increase over the season anyway. the $100 dollar number is just easier to work with. and the goal is a 19% increase, but yes i would be satisfied with 10%. i don't think there are a lot of people that post in here that can claim an increase like that. there are definitely some, but ATS i would not be one of them. have a good season!


 
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Posted: #73
for anyone interested in this topic of how vegas sets lines, there was a great podcast on ESPN about it last week. i will post a link below. i think there are some real misconceptions about how the lines are actually set. i gained some valuable info from this pod so give it a listen!

Here it is

 
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Posted: #74
Quote Originally Posted by poketjjax:




you must not have read my previous posts. this $100 dollar bankroll is an arbitrary number. most people use "units", but i thought i would be a little different and make it have more of a real money feel. i could have made it a much larger amount, but in the end i will be looking at the percent increase over the season anyway. the $100 dollar number is just easier to work with. and the goal is a 19% increase, but yes i would be satisfied with 10%. i don't think there are a lot of people that post in here that can claim an increase like that. there are definitely some, but ATS i would not be one of them. have a good season!



what is the real amount you are betting then?
 
 
Prospect
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Posted: #75
i'm not betting these at all. i don't have an offshore account and i don't live in vegas. this whole year i have been tracking what my plays would have been and seeing if i can be a profitable player. if i can be, i will probably open an offshore account next year. if i can't be, then i'm gonna save my money and try to find another market in which i can supplement income. so far so good though. i was able to make a profit in basketball and it looks like i will close the baseball season with a bigger profit than i expected. now on to football to close out the year. enjoy the action this weekend.


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