Thursday night gift for you degenerates...

LA Rams -2 (3 units)

Seattle defense isn't going to be able to slow down the Rams balanced offense. Seattle is particularly bad against the pass, and I can just see the Rams establishing the run and then blitzing the Seahawks through the air.

The Rams defense has been good in the red zone, and the Seahawks not so much.  Rams score TD's, Seahawks get FG's.

Final something like Rams 31-20

GL Losers.

I agree Van, good luck tonight! 

The -2 is at pinnacle and Nitrogen BTW.  Seeing -2 elsewhere in Vegas also.

good luck tonite 

Couldn’t agree more, good luck 

@vanzack

I agree with everything you wrote, but why did line drop to -2 with 80% on Rams.

2.5 to -2 not a big deal or real movement, but I thought it was going to -3.

-2 seems to beg for Rams money, but for me its Rams or nothing.

Good Luck  

@JuicedUp

 The line move is because more money has been bet recently on Sea. It opened at a PK you know?

These bet percentages and line move tea leaves mean very little to nothing to me. Noise. Urban myths. Unreliable data. And most of all, no historic correlation between these percentages, line moves, and predictable outcomes.

Educate me if I am wrong. Always looking to learn.

@vanzack

 Only KC or Tampa Fav in Seatle . Why Rams is Fav in Seatle today? All people know that Wlson always better than Stafford .

Did that come off of a fortune cookie?

Pretty sure someone like Terry Bradshaw or Phil Simms would pay for this insight.

@jamesboron

I didn’t know it was Stafford vs. Russ, guessing I should rethink my wager. Thanks for the intelligent insight. 

But that's only if the Seahawks are stupid imo. If they aren't stupid, they don't settle on field goals. When your defense sucks teet you know you can't stop the offense, a lot of teams in these situation this year and recently are just going for it on 4th.  I suspect some of that and a lot of potential deep end zone toss ups from Russ

This is actually a really interesting topic and one that all NFL bettors should monitor.

They are only about 30 years late, but nfl coaches (especially the younger guys) are indeed finally considering 4th down as third and a half down.

Smoke 'em, bud.

Luv it when a pick comes with a reason, and a thread comes with good info all the way thru....even better when pick lines up for the same reasons as mine...

Congrats to all in this thread.

Rams -2.5, -9.5 and jefferson any time TD.

Chris Carson out for Sea

Should be an easy win here for the Rams!

@ndsent1

 dont be saying that geezer...i aint superstitious but dont go poking no sleeping bear...

It is very rare to have an easy NFL win

This one looks cooked. better luck next time. 

Appreciate you posting picks, Van. Someone who gets it!