All Forums | NFL Betting

Trends & Things week 6 NFL 2009

...
Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 15663
Posts: 115
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2009
Posts: 193
Posted: #51
Thx for info BOL
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2009
Posts: 64
Posted: #52
RobertoFiory...
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2007
Posts: 1173
Posted: #53
Again...
 
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2005
Posts: 1616
Posted: #54
Lovin all the trends
thanks
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2006
Posts: 116
Posted: #55
Great Writeups...i'm much appreciated with your time and effort...is this something that you compiled yourself???
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2007
Posts: 194
Posted: #56
Wonderful job.


 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2008
Posts: 80
Posted: #57
holy shit wtf this nucking futs lol this is def one of the craziest posts i ever saw on here i guess you study this a lil bit thanks for the info im trying to keep up with all
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2008
Posts: 80
Posted: #58
after going thru all this search which is friggen awesome im still trying to figure which direction you are going whos your favorites for week six
 
Hall of Fame
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2008
Posts: 26899
Posted: #59
god damn bro

excellent information
 
Hall of Fame
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2008
Posts: 26899
Posted: #60
i guess i now know why no one is green bay
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2005
Posts: 5456
Posted: #61
i copy and paste some of the trends & stats I discocer across the web , and usually state so when I do...but the idea for this thread and mayority of its content is mine and mine alone...
I use covers lines as posted on their scoreboard to keep it consistent..
Doing this allows me to find my handicapping angle ....and that's the goal ...I can break into the black already without any props , but not by much ...so I am tryng an inexpensive trial and error method to get to a higher percentage consistently...
No matter what , i am happy to share some of the process with you all...
You have to think outside the box and take a few hits along the way.
Let's have some fun in the meantime !
I am glad a lot of you find some usefullness to all of this ...
I am trying to consolidate information so that it is easier to digest ...
Eventually , you may find this type of information readily available somewhere , instead of everywhere....
 
 
 
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2006
Posts: 727
Posted: #62
like under in minny after this analysis
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2005
Posts: 5456
Posted: #63
Trend picks :
 
I am sticking with the Favorites after bye-week trend for the remainder of the season.
This trend will overide other trends that teams falling in this category may have against them.
So ....I will ignore the trends going on behalf of the NYG , because the New Orleans Saints are favored after a bye-week.
I will ignore the trends going against Green Bay laying DD points , because Green Bay is favored after a bye-week.
I will ignore any recent trends favoring Denver on MNF , because San Diego is favored coming off their bye-week...
Pretty simple....
Odds say 2 out of those 3 will win ...so they come in a bundle and that's that .
As long as this trend continues to hit at a high percenatge , there will be no reason not to follow it ...
 
Green Bay
New Orleans
San Diego
 
are all trend picks for wek 6
I will see to add dog(s) pick(s) and totals trend picks ....
 
**********************************************
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2005
Posts: 1709
Posted: #64
 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2007
Posts: 35430
Posted: #65


Fantastic information, a real asset for the board


 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2009
Posts: 396
Posted: #66
keep up the good work!
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2005
Posts: 5456
Posted: #67
Philadelphia is another trend pick
strongest NFC vs AFC trend representative on the board....
that much is clear...
also The Eagles are 10-0 ATS in October vs. less than .500 opponents coming off a road game
as you may know someone on covers has Oakland on a 28-0 system play or something to that effect ....I can't validate that , but it's been posted...you may post the link if you like ...
 
 
from Bigwhip >>>
 
Cleveland:
2-9 last 11 vs Pitt
1-10 off win now vs div opp
2-5 after score less than 7 points
0-6 after they allow less than 10
1-9 off a win vs div opp off non div game
1-9 when sub .500 and off a win
Pitt:
22-11 October home and favorite
8-2 off non div game vs div opp w/revenge
12-0 as div fav's vs sub .500 opp off non div win
10-2 over .500 home fav off win vs div opp off win
 
Green Bay:
2-9 home vs opp w/revenge off a loss
0-12 11+ favorite
1-10 as fav's in 2nd of back 2 back div games vs opp off back 2 back losses
1-4 vs div off bye week
Houston:
9-2 2nd of back to back rd games
9-2 less than 10 pt dog off loss
6-1 dog off non div loss
19-4 as a rd dog off a loss vs opp who is over .500
Cincy:
1-11 in October after a div game vs sub .500 opp
2-8 home in October off a win
11-22 October home
5-12 October favorite
 
Pittsburgh is added as a trend pick
Houston is added as a trend pick
topher79  offers these stats to back his weekly pick on the
Kansas City Chiefs >>>
 
The league is 0-20 ATS since October 29, 2006 at home when a less than 10 point favorite the week after a loss as an away dog which the led at half. That would be the Skins.
 
Redskins 0-8 ATS since November 20, 2005 at home when their opponent is on a 2+ game losing streak.
 
The league is 12-0-1 ATS since November 21 1999 the game after an overtime loss at home as a dog in which they led at halftime. That would be the Chiefs.
 
Game : Kansas City @ Washington
Line : Kansas City + 6/6.5
 
I posted this as there are trends involved
 
***********************************************
 
 
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2005
Posts: 5456
Posted: #68
Kansas City is added as a trend pick...
 

This series has been dominated by the underdog in years' past, with the 'dog putting together a 9-1 ATS mark the last five seasons. The Bills have been the right side at the Meadowlands in this span, going 4-1 ATS, including a cover in a SU loss last season.

The Jets haven't fared well after playing the Dolphins, compiling a      2-8 ATS mark the last 10 following a contest against Miami.     

Buffalo is added as a trend pick

MIN is 4-12 ATS at home after an away game; 0-1 TY

The Vikings are 4-12-1 ATS following a SU win of 14+ points.

Baltimore is a trend pick selection ....

 

Trend Picks week 6 >>>

Favorites :

Green Bay , New Orleans, Philadelphia, Pittsburgh

 

Underdogs :

Baltimore , Buffalo, kansas City, Houston

you guys pick the totals ...I am too tired

 

My personal pick of the week is on the

New Orleans Saints - 3 ( 2 unit play )

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2006
Posts: 1443
Posted: #69
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2008
Posts: 537
Posted: #70
isnt the bears a trend play also ? dog off a bye week 2day im also on all bye week plays with hou and kc added
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2007
Posts: 2949
Posted: #71

DYNAMITE WORK MY MAN!

Quote Originally Posted by RobertoFiory:

Trend picks :
 
I am sticking with the Favorites after bye-week trend for the remainder of the season.
This trend will overide other trends that teams falling in this category may have against them.
So ....I will ignore the trends going on behalf of the NYG , because the New Orleans Saints are favored after a bye-week.
I will ignore the trends going against Green Bay laying DD points , because Green Bay is favored after a bye-week.
I will ignore any recent trends favoring Denver on MNF , because San Diego is favored coming off their bye-week...
Pretty simple....
Odds say 2 out of those 3 will win ...so they come in a bundle and that's that .
As long as this trend continues to hit at a high percenatge , there will be no reason not to follow it ...
 
Green Bay
New Orleans
San Diego
 
are all trend picks for wek 6
I will see to add dog(s) pick(s) and totals trend picks ....
 
**********************************************

as u said 2 outa 3 should hit, why not for fun and money hit a 10 point tease to lean those heavy trends in your favor in what should seem like a garantee.  ive played 4 10 teasers(3 games) and 4 13 point teasrs (4 games) and have been perfect. as for my straight plays im 3 and 4.

please dont think im here tooting my horn thats not it at all, just bumpn those % even higher.as you know all it takes is a goofy turn over or last minute mercy touchdown to blow the right wager...

anyway iv lost 2 much money on straight plays 4 the reason posted above and and this has allowed me 2 get lots of action without lots of risk cause i do have a prob with limiting my plays so its kinda a 2 for 1 fix that works 4 me...and allows me 2 puta larger amount instead of spreading it around on unsure plays cause im a junker.

again thx for all your hard work your doin all of us here a huge favor by pulling so much info and sorting it into 1 thread

my 4 game monster tease ,

pitt -1

phili -1/2

g.b -1

balt +16

gl to you and please keep doin what your doin   

 
Covers Rehab
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2009
Posts: 3038
Posted: #72
 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2008
Posts: 33531
Posted: #73
Good Info, BOL today
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2002
Posts: 69
Posted: #74
Thanks so much Roberto! Way too much info for me to read @ 4 a.m. I like to get up up a few hours before the kids so I can concentrate on my picks for the day.
 
Knowledge is meant to be shared and you do it very well.
Thanks again!
 
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2009
Posts: 342
Posted: #75
thanks - your always my first read on Sunday morning


All Forums | NFL Betting
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Sports Betting
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
618,670
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2024 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.