Philly -- I agree, they should very much win this game. I assume you're betting the ML and not the spread here.
Denver -- They can and likely will win this game, although to discount Indy altogether is ridiculous. You said yourself that they did beat Denver last year, albeit not by much. They amped up their defence quite a bit to be sure, but it's still not on the same level in the secondary as Seattle (who Indy DID beat at home last year by the way, and were the only team to do so). I wouldn't call this a lock, Indy is always capable of surprising.
Chicago -- I agree whole-heartedly that they should roll over the Bills.
Patriots -- Again, as aforementioned by someone else, this game could easily go in favour of Miami if their defence plays the way it can. I DO think that people are overestimating Miami and that the Pats will win though.
SO, so far your play looks okay. Certainly not "little risk", but okay. You can probably win this parlay.
St. Louis -- This game is a bit of a toss-up in my eyes... Remember the Vikings that started the season 4-0? Do you remember the Rams that lost to the Titans? Minnesota's additions of Munnerlyn and Joseph will really add to their defence. Should St. Louis win? Probably.
KC -- This game scares the absolute crap out of me. There's two things that we know for certain. KC was worse than their record last year. NO ONE can tell you how well or poorly Tennessee will play this year. They are the unpredictable team in the NFL this year. I would definitely not be playing this game. I'd sub it out for the Steelers.
WAS -- And I thought I was the only one who was super high on the Redskins this year. Resurgent RGIII with added deep threats and minimal designed QB runs, this team will do very well in my opinion. It will be interesting though to see Clowney and Watt coming at RGIII... Houston has the ability to win any game on their schedule, but I HOPE you are right on this one as I have a lot of stock in Washington this year.
Detroit -- This team could be Superbowl bound, but the Giants are all over the map and have incredible performances and incredibly terrible performances, it all depends who shows up. Take the over instead.
matty, the reason people aren't breaking down these games is because no real football bettor gives a crap about 8-teamer longshot parlays. They're statistical anomalies to hit and there's a reason you don't often see threads on covers stating that people actually won $100k on a parlay. There's no such thing as very little risk with parlays, especially this size. Even an 8-team 8-point teaser isn't generally considered "very little risk".
Final note, if you're wanting people to breakdown the games, maybe consider doing that yourself in a little more detail. Especially the second 4.
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