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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    Unloading my entire existence on Niners next week against the Eagles.

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    Fademeuwin
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    Fademeuwin
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    Posted: Nov. 28, 2023 - 6:41 AM ET #51

    @Battalion74

     Quite the opposite joe public is hammering the 9ers right now taking %76 precent of the bets and %49 percent of the handle . That tells me large bettors are on the eagles currently. Obviously these numbers will change some come kick off but that's the current state . Line is moving some with the bet precentage so don't see anything unusual on that aspect. 

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    @Battalion74

     Quite the opposite joe public is hammering the 9ers right now taking %76 precent of the bets and %49 percent of the handle . That tells me large bettors are on the eagles currently. Obviously these numbers will change some come kick off but that's the current state . Line is moving some with the bet precentage so don't see anything unusual on that aspect. 

     
    PepeFrog
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    Posted: Nov. 28, 2023 - 8:18 AM ET #52

    If the 49ers were playing at home. Then they would have a better chance of winning. This game should be close.

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    If the 49ers were playing at home. Then they would have a better chance of winning. This game should be close.

     
    smellybunty
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    Posted: Nov. 28, 2023 - 9:13 AM ET #53

    While I think they probably win in this spot no way do you unload your account against Eagles as a home dog. Wouldn't be shocked if Eagles win and then lose at Cowboys. Wouldn't be shocked if Eagles lose both. But it is a bad BIG bet here to fade this team in an important game for them.

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    While I think they probably win in this spot no way do you unload your account against Eagles as a home dog. Wouldn't be shocked if Eagles win and then lose at Cowboys. Wouldn't be shocked if Eagles lose both. But it is a bad BIG bet here to fade this team in an important game for them.

     
    Fademeuwin
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    Posted: Nov. 28, 2023 - 9:18 AM ET #54

    @smellybunty

     You have to account for who made this thread an_roll_laugh

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    @smellybunty

     You have to account for who made this thread an_roll_laugh

     
    mjm1012
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    Posted: Nov. 28, 2023 - 8:10 PM ET #55

    Quote Originally Posted by smellybunty:

    While I think they probably win in this spot no way do you unload your account against Eagles as a home dog. Wouldn't be shocked if Eagles win and then lose at Cowboys. Wouldn't be shocked if Eagles lose both. But it is a bad BIG bet here to fade this team in an important game for them.

    Absolutelyan_clap

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    Quote Originally Posted by smellybunty:

    While I think they probably win in this spot no way do you unload your account against Eagles as a home dog. Wouldn't be shocked if Eagles win and then lose at Cowboys. Wouldn't be shocked if Eagles lose both. But it is a bad BIG bet here to fade this team in an important game for them.

    Absolutelyan_clap

     
    Digitalkarma
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    Posted: Nov. 28, 2023 - 8:29 PM ET #56

    Going huge gape , huuuge I meanan_getaway

    Sip on that plus money honey!
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    Going huge gape , huuuge I meanan_getaway

     
    JimmyGape
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2023 - 5:32 PM ET #57

    Line tells you all you need to know

    Vegas absolutely begging for people to take Philly

    I wonder why that might be

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    Line tells you all you need to know

    Vegas absolutely begging for people to take Philly

    I wonder why that might be

     
    warrenator
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2023 - 8:33 PM ET #58

    Quote Originally Posted by Brooklyncapper:

    @Buffalobob89074  That not withstanding eagles are gonna lose a game at some point and the deserved 2 losses this week but git big time breaks. 49ere are clicking on all cylinders demolishing jags Seahawks and bucs last 3.
    They've already "lost a game" so what is this horseshit illogic that they "have to lose" a game at some point? Makes zero sense...maybe the 9ers are better team but who is the better team on game day? Doesnt seem like a stone cold lock to me as it does to the rest of you geniuses.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Brooklyncapper:

    @Buffalobob89074  That not withstanding eagles are gonna lose a game at some point and the deserved 2 losses this week but git big time breaks. 49ere are clicking on all cylinders demolishing jags Seahawks and bucs last 3.
    They've already "lost a game" so what is this horseshit illogic that they "have to lose" a game at some point? Makes zero sense...maybe the 9ers are better team but who is the better team on game day? Doesnt seem like a stone cold lock to me as it does to the rest of you geniuses.

     
    JimmyGape
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2023 - 8:57 PM ET #59

    Its the law of averages and historically its difficult to go 16-1 or 17-0... it just doesnt happen and theres a reason it doesn't. 

     

    The odds are the Eagles will end the year with more than one loss and this looks like one of them for sure.

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    Its the law of averages and historically its difficult to go 16-1 or 17-0... it just doesnt happen and theres a reason it doesn't. 

     

    The odds are the Eagles will end the year with more than one loss and this looks like one of them for sure.

     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2023 - 10:19 PM ET #60

    Quote Originally Posted by Mangowoman:

    @Battalion74 joe public has already hammered the niners from -1 to -2.5

    This was posted on Monday night.

    I don't think Joe Public is betting hard on a Monday, for a game 6 days away.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Mangowoman:

    @Battalion74 joe public has already hammered the niners from -1 to -2.5

    This was posted on Monday night.

    I don't think Joe Public is betting hard on a Monday, for a game 6 days away.

     
    tahoejoe2
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2023 - 10:49 PM ET #61

    You don't think the Eagles will be motivated by LV making them(10-1) a dog at home.

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    You don't think the Eagles will be motivated by LV making them(10-1) a dog at home.

     
    JimmyGape
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2023 - 10:51 PM ET #62

    No.

     

    If you need outside motivation to get extra fired up for a game like this something is wrong.

     

    They should already be trying as hard as they can.

     

    How many outside additional motivations can their possibly be.

     

    By your reasoning their level of effort can theoretically be infinite. This is not true.

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    No.

     

    If you need outside motivation to get extra fired up for a game like this something is wrong.

     

    They should already be trying as hard as they can.

     

    How many outside additional motivations can their possibly be.

     

    By your reasoning their level of effort can theoretically be infinite. This is not true.

     
    ArtSchlichterJr
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2023 - 11:14 PM ET #63

    Quote Originally Posted by JimmyGape:

    Line tells you all you need to know Vegas absolutely begging for people to take Philly I wonder why that might be
    Love the 49ers here but for a much different reason then the line..  Line  is what it is ... Numerous games through the year beg you to bet on a team I agree.. no doubt..  But problem is sometimes that team "their begging" you to bet wins..  Agree probably not as much as they lose but still at a reasonable rate..  The line bettors just forget those and puff the chest out when they do win..JMO.. I bet them ASAP at -1 because the unreal gauntlet Philly has been on... Dallas (barn burner...last play ..l. week off)... KC.. barn burner.. last drive.. Bills barn burner OT... 49ers up next who are healthy and rested and trust me SB in minds of players.. No stress wins of late..  The Kicker more sand in the face of Philly .. Dallas on deck..  Just a torrid 5 game schedule..  Father time waits for no one ...Its Philly's time..  Been on the right side of the coin last 3 weeks .. Came up heads ... A little luck for sure but good teams make their own luck..  As my dad always says there are no unlucky winners in any arena.. Life or sports... You need a little luck to be a winner..  IMO lady luck graces a healthy rested motivated 49ers team.. The coin never lands on heads forever..  We all pay the piper sooner or later.. Time to pay Philly.. Just fighting the odds IMO.. If bet loses would not be in shock ... But I like odds with 49ers this week.. peace_5

    Be careful with the axe Eugene.
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    Quote Originally Posted by JimmyGape:

    Line tells you all you need to know Vegas absolutely begging for people to take Philly I wonder why that might be
    Love the 49ers here but for a much different reason then the line..  Line  is what it is ... Numerous games through the year beg you to bet on a team I agree.. no doubt..  But problem is sometimes that team "their begging" you to bet wins..  Agree probably not as much as they lose but still at a reasonable rate..  The line bettors just forget those and puff the chest out when they do win..JMO.. I bet them ASAP at -1 because the unreal gauntlet Philly has been on... Dallas (barn burner...last play ..l. week off)... KC.. barn burner.. last drive.. Bills barn burner OT... 49ers up next who are healthy and rested and trust me SB in minds of players.. No stress wins of late..  The Kicker more sand in the face of Philly .. Dallas on deck..  Just a torrid 5 game schedule..  Father time waits for no one ...Its Philly's time..  Been on the right side of the coin last 3 weeks .. Came up heads ... A little luck for sure but good teams make their own luck..  As my dad always says there are no unlucky winners in any arena.. Life or sports... You need a little luck to be a winner..  IMO lady luck graces a healthy rested motivated 49ers team.. The coin never lands on heads forever..  We all pay the piper sooner or later.. Time to pay Philly.. Just fighting the odds IMO.. If bet loses would not be in shock ... But I like odds with 49ers this week.. peace_5

     
    davemsh
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2023 - 11:19 PM ET #64

    This has a 49ers win by 1 point written all over it...Philly Covers..SF wins...

    Mayweather bet 450000 on
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    This has a 49ers win by 1 point written all over it...Philly Covers..SF wins...

     
    JimmyGape
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2023 - 11:39 PM ET #65

    Niners by 13, probably more

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    Niners by 13, probably more

     
    JimmyGape
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2023 - 11:53 PM ET #66

    San Francisco has been dominant of late, which would explain why the 49ers are the favorites. The 49ers are 3-0 since their bye week, averaging 30.7 points per game and allowing just 10.0 points per game with a plus-7 turnover differential. 

    San Francisco's pass rush has been dominant since acquiring Chase Young, having a 61% pressure rate and 15% sack rate. No quarterback has thrown a touchdown pass against the 49ers since Young arrived, as opposing quarterbacks have a 56.4 passer rating in three games with Young. Nick Bosa has 22 pressures and Arik Armstead has 16 since Young arrived, as his presence has significantly helped the 49ers' front. 

     

    SOURCE (Kyle Shanahan doesn't understand how 49ers are favorites against Eagles: 'Doesn't make a lot of sense to me' (msn.com)

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    San Francisco has been dominant of late, which would explain why the 49ers are the favorites. The 49ers are 3-0 since their bye week, averaging 30.7 points per game and allowing just 10.0 points per game with a plus-7 turnover differential. 

    San Francisco's pass rush has been dominant since acquiring Chase Young, having a 61% pressure rate and 15% sack rate. No quarterback has thrown a touchdown pass against the 49ers since Young arrived, as opposing quarterbacks have a 56.4 passer rating in three games with Young. Nick Bosa has 22 pressures and Arik Armstead has 16 since Young arrived, as his presence has significantly helped the 49ers' front. 

     

    SOURCE (Kyle Shanahan doesn't understand how 49ers are favorites against Eagles: 'Doesn't make a lot of sense to me' (msn.com)

     
    JimmyGape
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    Posted: Nov. 29, 2023 - 11:53 PM ET #67

    Throwing my house on this game. 

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    Throwing my house on this game. 

     
    Jimmy_Cats
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    Posted: Nov. 30, 2023 - 12:13 AM ET #68

    Two strong angles:

    The 49ers are 7-1 ATS this season in games where they win total yards. (6-2 if you bet the closing line of -13.5 vs TB) They will undoubtedly win total yards because the Eagles last 3 opponents have won it by at least 98 yards!

     

    The Eagles are 0-6-1 ATS the week before they play the Cowboys.

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    Two strong angles:

    The 49ers are 7-1 ATS this season in games where they win total yards. (6-2 if you bet the closing line of -13.5 vs TB) They will undoubtedly win total yards because the Eagles last 3 opponents have won it by at least 98 yards!

     

    The Eagles are 0-6-1 ATS the week before they play the Cowboys.

     
    Europa
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    Posted: Nov. 30, 2023 - 12:39 AM ET #69

    Quote Originally Posted by davemsh:

    This has a 49ers win by 1 point written all over it...Philly Covers..SF wins...

    Could be very well the case for this game, nail biting at the end. 

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    Quote Originally Posted by davemsh:

    This has a 49ers win by 1 point written all over it...Philly Covers..SF wins...

    Could be very well the case for this game, nail biting at the end. 

     
    MrBator
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    Posted: Nov. 30, 2023 - 12:51 AM ET #70

    Quote Originally Posted by Jimmy_Cats:

      The Eagles are 0-6-1 ATS the week before they play the Cowboys.

     

    You can throw out the two games in 2020 because that was a fake season played in empty stadiums due to the fake pandemic. Also, you forgot to mention that the Eagles have won each of their last four games prior to playing the Cowboys, including this season's 38-31 win at Washington in Week 8.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Jimmy_Cats:

      The Eagles are 0-6-1 ATS the week before they play the Cowboys.

     

    You can throw out the two games in 2020 because that was a fake season played in empty stadiums due to the fake pandemic. Also, you forgot to mention that the Eagles have won each of their last four games prior to playing the Cowboys, including this season's 38-31 win at Washington in Week 8.

     
    buddygurt
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    Posted: Nov. 30, 2023 - 2:33 AM ET #71

    Completely forgot about the 49ers scumbag antics in the title game last year after the game was out of reach, this makes all the crying they did after the game seem even crazier.

    I was leaning towards the Niners before but after seeing this line and remembering their dirty antics it’s tough to lay the number on the road 

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    Completely forgot about the 49ers scumbag antics in the title game last year after the game was out of reach, this makes all the crying they did after the game seem even crazier.

    I was leaning towards the Niners before but after seeing this line and remembering their dirty antics it’s tough to lay the number on the road 

     
    undermysac
    undermysac
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    Posted: Nov. 30, 2023 - 6:15 AM ET #72

    @ArtSchlichterJr

     Your posts are greatly appreciated here at covers. Or at least by me.

    peace_5

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    @ArtSchlichterJr

     Your posts are greatly appreciated here at covers. Or at least by me.

    peace_5

     
    JimmyGape
    JimmyGape
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    Posted: Dec. 1, 2023 - 12:34 AM ET #73

    NFL Week 13 Sharp Money Report: Vegas wiseguys splash early coin on 49ers over Eagles | Sporting News

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    NFL Week 13 Sharp Money Report: Vegas wiseguys splash early coin on 49ers over Eagles | Sporting News

     
    JimmyGape
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    Posted: Dec. 1, 2023 - 12:35 AM ET #74

    Anyone ever think its odd that they would disclose this info though? Why would they tell the public that the sharp money is on the Niners. They are definitely telling the truth.

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    Anyone ever think its odd that they would disclose this info though? Why would they tell the public that the sharp money is on the Niners. They are definitely telling the truth.

     
     
    best_bets
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    Posted: Dec. 1, 2023 - 1:00 AM ET #75

    Almost everyone is curb stomping Seattle these days. The Russell Wilson trade is looking good.

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    Almost everyone is curb stomping Seattle these days. The Russell Wilson trade is looking good.

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