WEEK 11 Regression teasers (223-128) 63.5%

My anchors this week are:

PHI +3

PHI under 56

satellites:

1. BALT under 53

2. CINCY under 52

3. NYJ +3.5

4. JAX +18.5

5. ATL +8

6. CINCY +8

7. TENN +12.5

8. SEA +13

9. DALL +13.5

10. NYJ +3.5

11. LAC over  39.5

12. DALL over 36

Note:

NYJ +3.5 is duplicated, should be only 1 play.

teaser addition

13. DEN +5 (double play)

p:AF and p:margin<-7 and line>-9.5 and season>2022

(4-13)

14. NYJ under 51

FA and p:O and total>=46 and line>-7 and season>2022

(22-4)

15. BALT +3.5 (double play)

season>=2023 and P:game time zone='C' and total<=46.0 and P:wind<=7 and F and line>-11.5 and total>39.5

(12-28)

16. GB under 48

17. HOUS under 49

p:pinned deep>2 and playoffs=0 and po:sack yards>=12 and season>2023 and 47>total>37.5 and line<7.5

(3-22)

18. TENN under 46.5  (double play)

19. CLEV under 51  (double play)

season>=2022 and P:rushes for a loss>1 and H and D and line<7.5 and 53.5>total>39.5

(40-85)

20. NE under 50

season>=2015 and team=Broncos and o:streak>-3 and P:rswl<=9 and 49>total>38.5

(12-45)

21. DEN under 50.5  9double play)

Keep up the good work Jowchoo. I was wondering how did you come up with your anchors? And what is a double play?

@jowchoo

 I'd be interested in why the Jets? They seem to be imploding. Old QB looks done. Watched part of the game last week, and it almost seemed like they quit.

Yes I have a couple of questions too. Do you play 6-7 two team teasers or three teamer's ? And do you 2x bet the double play's ? Thanks 

This is an anti INDY (regression play)

NEVER play 3 team teasers. And yes double play means double units.

It is a regression based system. PHI is an anchor  (anti WAS  cover)..same as PHI under is an anchor (anti WASH over) regression.

Recency bias plus over adjustments by the books to a ATS trend create VALUE. When you add the teaser insurance imho you have the

best bets week in and week out. My record (225-130) are 80% teasers and 20% ATS, so this year , I am crushing it as my juice is

between -105 to -120........................................................gl

@jowchoo

Excellent season.  Good luck.

teaser addition:

22. MIA -1.5

JCO 

@jowchoo

 Bol this week