WEEK 11 Regression teasers (223-128) 63.5%

Ah I got you. So I’m assuming you do 6 point teasers and I’ve missed the window since the EAG spread is -4 now? Thank you again!

@ Jowchoo

Do you know your record if you don't cross the O , you made Phil -3 to +3 and upped your total so do you play your +3 with the other teams that are with the spread and your Phil total with the other teams with just totals or do you mix them up, if you don't play a 3 or more team teaser and you satellite team or satellite total losses you lose everything right ? (why not make Wash your satellite at +9 or do you have something in your system to make Philly your satellite) I don't know your book but if you play a 4 or 5 game teaser and one is a push it drops to a 3 game or a 4 game but if one is a loss your ticket is a loss. Just wondering but looks like your doing well buddy keep it up. Sorry that should be anchor

Guess what I'm asking is do you play Phil+3 with NYJ +3.5 and Phil with Atl +8 ,Phil+3 with Cin+8 and Phil UN 56 with Bal, Phil with Cin etc... or I'm I missing something

Yes each anchor is tied to each satellite, most are 6 and 6.5 teasers. The reason I would not use Wash +9 :  is this anchor (PHIL) is really

a regression play against Washington's ATS win record and the under the total is the same thing,  (anti Wash over total ats record).

Typically satellites hit 75+%,so if anchors split then my downside is -25%, lately they have covered easily, but on any given Sunday....;-)

good luck pal

Let's go @Jowchoo!! Glad the anchors covered .

the anchors covered easily, although the Eagle's O was disappointing first half.

SMASH week incoming as regression is REAL!

ATS play:

BUFF -2.5

@jowchoo

 hey new to your thread, i do teasers myself, will you be posting your offical  team teasers closer to game time??

OK so let me see if I'm right I asked why not Was +9 as a anchor and at the time the OV /UN was 49 (on the 11th) so I could of brought the OV /UN either way , OV 43 or UN 54 and my anchors would still be good right? I'm not asking for your system but do you have one that said make this game your anchor? Just wondering because if I did it my way WAS +9 and I could of done OV 43 or UN 54 my anchors would still be good right? Looking back I didn't see and line that could make UN 56 unless you did a 6.5 teaser and not a 6. But either way WASH would still be good and my OV/UN would still be good right? You said your satellites hit 75% ,but what are your anchors hitting isn't that what you really need, if your anchors don't hit aren't you done?

Never tease thru 0

Only do Wong teasers at -120 or better 

Never tease totals

You give up too much value otherwise and will become a books best friend 

OK. I will abandon what I am doing, that is after this weekend I will be hitting 65% on over 400 picks without paying over -120 juice...sheeesh

49 to 54 is only 5...lol

Yes hitting the anchors is the KEY that is why the regession influence is so important  contrary to what the above member opined, the data over the last 5 years supports teasing over inflated totals UNDER,.....gl

Correction there have been a handful of -123

plays.

A few angles.....

1). AD and tA(total yards-o:total yards)-oA(total yards-o:total yards) <-30 and 16>week>10 and p:DL and week=11 and o:wins<8 and rest<13

2). rest>11 and A and p:L and not DIV and tA(total yards-o:total yards)<-30 and o:rest<9 and -2

3)  AD and line < oA(margin, N=6) + 2.5 - tA(margin, N=6) and month = 11 and rest >6 and p:DL and week>10 and tS(W, N=3)=0

4)  month = 11 and AD and n:F and day = Sunday and on:D and not division = o:division and line <= 6 and tA(passing yards-o:passing yards) - oA(passing yards-o:passing yards) > 0 and t:wins >= 4 and tS(W@A, N=3) > 1 and oS(W@H, N=3)>1  

5)  HF and o:streak < -2 and month = 11 and day = Sunday and not division = o:division and tA(total yards-o:total yards) - oA(total yards-o:total yards) > 30 and op:DL and week=11 and p:AL

Appreciate these professor. Hope you are well and if you get to Thailand please keep in touch.....................gl