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WEEK 12 Regression teasers (249-139) 64.1%

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Posted: #26

CLEV is net -4 (ats W)

and PITT is net +6 (ats W).

My line in the sand is (+ or - 4)

In this game we have a DUAL regression factor, when combined with insurance

teaser points...very much +EV.............................................................gl

 
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Posted: #27

Could you do that with Dall and WAS?  (aren't they +or -4) With Dall being a Thanksgiving Day or short week play.

 
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Posted: #28

Yes, I have Dalla as a satellite, perfer Div home dog Clev over the disaster in Dallas on the road as an anchor........gl

 
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Posted: #29

Are you doing your totals + or - 4 against the league Avg ? and still hit over 60%? Or some other system.

 
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Posted: #30

Another would be how do you know when to play a 6.5 or 7 point teaser?

 
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Posted: #31

Quote Originally Posted by hoody:

Are you doing your totals + or - 4 against the league Avg ? and still hit over 60%? Or some other system.

 

Strictly their ats record No league averages. The last 5 years data surprisingly shows that +4 to the overs

regresses at the highest percentage, thus the best list for anchor candidates.

 
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Posted: #32

Quote Originally Posted by hoody:

Another would be how do you know when to play a 6.5 or 7 point teaser?

Never use 7 pt teasers, I will go 6.5 if it covers a prime number.

 
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Posted: #33

ATS play:

CHIC under 39.5

 
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Posted: #34

ATS plays:

DET -7

HOUS -7 -120

MIA -7

KC -10 -120

DEN -5

PHIL -2.5

 
 
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Posted: #35

Anchors (1-1), If KC stops a 4th down coversion in last 2 minutes,we go 2-0

Shame, as satellites went (15-6)

So, we get + (15-6) and -(0-21)= (15-27)

ATS went (4-2), total for week 12 = (19-29)

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