OAK: Since Del Rio took over, the Raiders have been playing very good on the road. They are 9-4 SU & 11-2 ATS, going 13-0 on 6pt-teasers. They didn't lose by more than 6 points. Even if they are behind, you still have all the backdoor chances with this high-powered passing offense. Both teams are overachieving, but one team has a really good offense. Cold night game at Arrowhead is an advantage for the Chiefs, but I don't see them blowing out the Raiders.
ATL: One team has Jared Goff at QB & Jeff Fisher at HC, the other one fights for the playoffs and should have no trouble coming out as a winner. I remember past games by Dan Quinn against rookie & backup QBs and his defenses didn't give up a lot of points. Falcons should somehow win this game.
IND: This offense is heating up, Luck and his receivers are playing with confidence. In the first game they were the better team for 55 minutes until they collapsed. This time they should bring it home against one of the worst starting QBs in this league. It's terrible to watch Assweiler play.
CIN: The Browns are tanking for the first pick, they won't try to win a game before SF gets their second win and this week they play after CLE. The Browns had a shot to win at Miami. They missed the FG and didn't take the ball in OT. They were up by like 17 points against a terrible Jets team and gave the game away. They were up 20-2 against the Ravens and didn't score a single point in three quarters. They will find a way to keep their first pick against a coach who cannot afford to lose this game.
Good luck this week!
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
62-47 ATS (56.9%) +12.41u
Already locked in two #squarecity parlays:
OAK +10 / ATL ML -122 CIN ML / IND ML -104
OAK: Since Del Rio took over, the Raiders have been playing very good on the road. They are 9-4 SU & 11-2 ATS, going 13-0 on 6pt-teasers. They didn't lose by more than 6 points. Even if they are behind, you still have all the backdoor chances with this high-powered passing offense. Both teams are overachieving, but one team has a really good offense. Cold night game at Arrowhead is an advantage for the Chiefs, but I don't see them blowing out the Raiders.
ATL: One team has Jared Goff at QB & Jeff Fisher at HC, the other one fights for the playoffs and should have no trouble coming out as a winner. I remember past games by Dan Quinn against rookie & backup QBs and his defenses didn't give up a lot of points. Falcons should somehow win this game.
IND: This offense is heating up, Luck and his receivers are playing with confidence. In the first game they were the better team for 55 minutes until they collapsed. This time they should bring it home against one of the worst starting QBs in this league. It's terrible to watch Assweiler play.
CIN: The Browns are tanking for the first pick, they won't try to win a game before SF gets their second win and this week they play after CLE. The Browns had a shot to win at Miami. They missed the FG and didn't take the ball in OT. They were up by like 17 points against a terrible Jets team and gave the game away. They were up 20-2 against the Ravens and didn't score a single point in three quarters. They will find a way to keep their first pick against a coach who cannot afford to lose this game.
OAK: Since Del Rio took over, the Raiders have been playing very good on the road. They are 9-4 SU & 11-2 ATS, going 13-0 on 6pt-teasers. They didn't lose by more than 6 points. Even if they are behind, you still have all the backdoor chances with this high-powered passing offense. Both teams are overachieving, but one team has a really good offense. Cold night game at Arrowhead is an advantage for the Chiefs, but I don't see them blowing out the Raiders.
ATL: One team has Jared Goff at QB & Jeff Fisher at HC, the other one fights for the playoffs and should have no trouble coming out as a winner. I remember past games by Dan Quinn against rookie & backup QBs and his defenses didn't give up a lot of points. Falcons should somehow win this game.
IND: This offense is heating up, Luck and his receivers are playing with confidence. In the first game they were the better team for 55 minutes until they collapsed. This time they should bring it home against one of the worst starting QBs in this league. It's terrible to watch Assweiler play.
CIN: The Browns are tanking for the first pick, they won't try to win a game before SF gets their second win and this week they play after CLE. The Browns had a shot to win at Miami. They missed the FG and didn't take the ball in OT. They were up by like 17 points against a terrible Jets team and gave the game away. They were up 20-2 against the Ravens and didn't score a single point in three quarters. They will find a way to keep their first pick against a coach who cannot afford to lose this game.
Good luck this week!
I took Oakland +10 to the un 52.2. in a 6.5 teaser, also took the Raiders +3.5 straight good luck tonight, ff.
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Quote Originally Posted by suuma:
62-47 ATS (56.9%) +12.41u
Already locked in two #squarecity parlays:
OAK +10 / ATL ML -122 CIN ML / IND ML -104
OAK: Since Del Rio took over, the Raiders have been playing very good on the road. They are 9-4 SU & 11-2 ATS, going 13-0 on 6pt-teasers. They didn't lose by more than 6 points. Even if they are behind, you still have all the backdoor chances with this high-powered passing offense. Both teams are overachieving, but one team has a really good offense. Cold night game at Arrowhead is an advantage for the Chiefs, but I don't see them blowing out the Raiders.
ATL: One team has Jared Goff at QB & Jeff Fisher at HC, the other one fights for the playoffs and should have no trouble coming out as a winner. I remember past games by Dan Quinn against rookie & backup QBs and his defenses didn't give up a lot of points. Falcons should somehow win this game.
IND: This offense is heating up, Luck and his receivers are playing with confidence. In the first game they were the better team for 55 minutes until they collapsed. This time they should bring it home against one of the worst starting QBs in this league. It's terrible to watch Assweiler play.
CIN: The Browns are tanking for the first pick, they won't try to win a game before SF gets their second win and this week they play after CLE. The Browns had a shot to win at Miami. They missed the FG and didn't take the ball in OT. They were up by like 17 points against a terrible Jets team and gave the game away. They were up 20-2 against the Ravens and didn't score a single point in three quarters. They will find a way to keep their first pick against a coach who cannot afford to lose this game.
Good luck this week!
I took Oakland +10 to the un 52.2. in a 6.5 teaser, also took the Raiders +3.5 straight good luck tonight, ff.
OAK: Since Del Rio took over, the Raiders have been playing very good on the road. They are 9-4 SU & 11-2 ATS, going 13-0 on 6pt-teasers. They didn't lose by more than 6 points. Even if they are behind, you still have all the backdoor chances with this high-powered passing offense. Both teams are overachieving, but one team has a really good offense. Cold night game at Arrowhead is an advantage for the Chiefs, but I don't see them blowing out the Raiders.
ATL: One team has Jared Goff at QB & Jeff Fisher at HC, the other one fights for the playoffs and should have no trouble coming out as a winner. I remember past games by Dan Quinn against rookie & backup QBs and his defenses didn't give up a lot of points. Falcons should somehow win this game.
IND: This offense is heating up, Luck and his receivers are playing with confidence. In the first game they were the better team for 55 minutes until they collapsed. This time they should bring it home against one of the worst starting QBs in this league. It's terrible to watch Assweiler play.
CIN: The Browns are tanking for the first pick, they won't try to win a game before SF gets their second win and this week they play after CLE. The Browns had a shot to win at Miami. They missed the FG and didn't take the ball in OT. They were up by like 17 points against a terrible Jets team and gave the game away. They were up 20-2 against the Ravens and didn't score a single point in three quarters. They will find a way to keep their first pick against a coach who cannot afford to lose this game.
Good luck this week!
As always, good insight summa... particularly on teasing Oak to +10... However, that being said :
I think you need to reduce the subset of your historical results.. instead of just looking at how the raiders have done in terms of point differential over the last 10 or 15 games, i think the better 'view' of the Raiders vs Chiefs world would be to look at the last SIX games they have played versus one another...
Raiders: 1-5 SU
Their loses were by 16, 14, 6, 18, and 17 points respectively
Their lone win was by 4 points
This certainly doesnt bode well for them to play a close (+3.5) pt game tonite, especially due to being on the road in non-ideal weather conditions...
Teasing the Raiders up to 10.5 or 11 is reasonable..
Playing them getting +3.5 or on the ML is not.
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Quote Originally Posted by suuma:
62-47 ATS (56.9%) +12.41u
Already locked in two #squarecity parlays:
OAK +10 / ATL ML -122 CIN ML / IND ML -104
OAK: Since Del Rio took over, the Raiders have been playing very good on the road. They are 9-4 SU & 11-2 ATS, going 13-0 on 6pt-teasers. They didn't lose by more than 6 points. Even if they are behind, you still have all the backdoor chances with this high-powered passing offense. Both teams are overachieving, but one team has a really good offense. Cold night game at Arrowhead is an advantage for the Chiefs, but I don't see them blowing out the Raiders.
ATL: One team has Jared Goff at QB & Jeff Fisher at HC, the other one fights for the playoffs and should have no trouble coming out as a winner. I remember past games by Dan Quinn against rookie & backup QBs and his defenses didn't give up a lot of points. Falcons should somehow win this game.
IND: This offense is heating up, Luck and his receivers are playing with confidence. In the first game they were the better team for 55 minutes until they collapsed. This time they should bring it home against one of the worst starting QBs in this league. It's terrible to watch Assweiler play.
CIN: The Browns are tanking for the first pick, they won't try to win a game before SF gets their second win and this week they play after CLE. The Browns had a shot to win at Miami. They missed the FG and didn't take the ball in OT. They were up by like 17 points against a terrible Jets team and gave the game away. They were up 20-2 against the Ravens and didn't score a single point in three quarters. They will find a way to keep their first pick against a coach who cannot afford to lose this game.
Good luck this week!
As always, good insight summa... particularly on teasing Oak to +10... However, that being said :
I think you need to reduce the subset of your historical results.. instead of just looking at how the raiders have done in terms of point differential over the last 10 or 15 games, i think the better 'view' of the Raiders vs Chiefs world would be to look at the last SIX games they have played versus one another...
Raiders: 1-5 SU
Their loses were by 16, 14, 6, 18, and 17 points respectively
Their lone win was by 4 points
This certainly doesnt bode well for them to play a close (+3.5) pt game tonite, especially due to being on the road in non-ideal weather conditions...
Teasing the Raiders up to 10.5 or 11 is reasonable..
As always, good insight summa... particularly on teasing Oak to +10... However, that being said :
I think you need to reduce the subset of your historical results.. instead of just looking at how the raiders have done in terms of point differential over the last 10 or 15 games, i think the better 'view' of the Raiders vs Chiefs world would be to look at the last SIX games they have played versus one another...
Raiders: 1-5 SU
Their loses were by 16, 14, 6, 18, and 17 points respectively
Their lone win was by 4 points
This certainly doesnt bode well for them to play a close (+3.5) pt game tonite, especially due to being on the road in non-ideal weather conditions...
Teasing the Raiders up to 10.5 or 11 is reasonable..
Playing them getting +3.5 or on the ML is not.
Valid points, thanks for bringing them up. I brought that road trend up, because it tells me they are consistently playing well on the road and stay in games, have the ability to get bettors backdoor covers.
It's just that I personally rarely look at historic h2h results. The first two of those games were in Derek Carr's rookie season and without Del Rio. The week 17 game of last season had no value for both teams, because the Chiefs made the playoffs and the Raiders were playing for air, love and a draft pick. Still, the Raiders got the backdoor.
The advantage for KC lies in the home field advantage. Arrowhead opens tailgating three hours earlier than usual today, it's gonna be a great atmosphere. Matchup-wise, I don't see a reason why the Raiders wouldn't compete from start to finish.
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Quote Originally Posted by JamThePot:
As always, good insight summa... particularly on teasing Oak to +10... However, that being said :
I think you need to reduce the subset of your historical results.. instead of just looking at how the raiders have done in terms of point differential over the last 10 or 15 games, i think the better 'view' of the Raiders vs Chiefs world would be to look at the last SIX games they have played versus one another...
Raiders: 1-5 SU
Their loses were by 16, 14, 6, 18, and 17 points respectively
Their lone win was by 4 points
This certainly doesnt bode well for them to play a close (+3.5) pt game tonite, especially due to being on the road in non-ideal weather conditions...
Teasing the Raiders up to 10.5 or 11 is reasonable..
Playing them getting +3.5 or on the ML is not.
Valid points, thanks for bringing them up. I brought that road trend up, because it tells me they are consistently playing well on the road and stay in games, have the ability to get bettors backdoor covers.
It's just that I personally rarely look at historic h2h results. The first two of those games were in Derek Carr's rookie season and without Del Rio. The week 17 game of last season had no value for both teams, because the Chiefs made the playoffs and the Raiders were playing for air, love and a draft pick. Still, the Raiders got the backdoor.
The advantage for KC lies in the home field advantage. Arrowhead opens tailgating three hours earlier than usual today, it's gonna be a great atmosphere. Matchup-wise, I don't see a reason why the Raiders wouldn't compete from start to finish.
Not in the least. You understand the word 'hypothetical'? I've never said I was betting OAK straight. That's what you have made up based off my comments.
Please stay out of my thread and I will stay out of yours. Have a good week!
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Quote Originally Posted by Nycgags:
Hypocrite.
Not in the least. You understand the word 'hypothetical'? I've never said I was betting OAK straight. That's what you have made up based off my comments.
Please stay out of my thread and I will stay out of yours. Have a good week!
Usually agree with you but your Browns analysis is way off. They won't try to win a game? You think those players want to go 0-16 and become even more of a laughing stock? Are you nuts?!?
Hue Jackson was very emotional after the last game with all the losing. There is ZERO chance they aren't trying to win. I'd bet (and have) that the Browns have poured every ounce of energy during the last two weeks into winning this game against a very crappy Bengals team.
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Usually agree with you but your Browns analysis is way off. They won't try to win a game? You think those players want to go 0-16 and become even more of a laughing stock? Are you nuts?!?
Hue Jackson was very emotional after the last game with all the losing. There is ZERO chance they aren't trying to win. I'd bet (and have) that the Browns have poured every ounce of energy during the last two weeks into winning this game against a very crappy Bengals team.
should we assume this isnt loss for you since KC had a punt return for a TD and things like that cant be capped?Then again, Raiders had 6 points off turnovers, so which is it?? just curious.
I don't mean to be captain obvious but doesn't suuma have +10 on a teaser? Seems like a W
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Quote Originally Posted by NinjaSkillZ:
should we assume this isnt loss for you since KC had a punt return for a TD and things like that cant be capped?Then again, Raiders had 6 points off turnovers, so which is it?? just curious.
I don't mean to be captain obvious but doesn't suuma have +10 on a teaser? Seems like a W
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