Week 14 SANTA CLAUS has more FREE $$$ to give away

What's up Family ??? 

Can't believe it's already mid December already ..Santa Claus is back after delivering 2 presents last week with $1207  of cash inside ( Sorry don't mind me , I'm super baked off of Gorrila Skittlez )  ...

This week there are  a massive 11 games remaining with playoff remaining with playoff implications...I'll break down the schedules of the 18 playoff alive squads in this thread .

Loved every second of Scam Newton stinking up the joint last night ( Easy $100 that doesnt count here/ not posted ) .

Anyways Let's get to it 

BEST of HEALTH,BLESSINGS, AND LUCK TO ALL COVERS BROTHERS, AND SISTERS 

WEEK 13. 2-0. +$1,207

NFL YTD

24-14-1. +4,336.13. OR + 21.51 UNITS

1 UNIT = $200

If you TAKE OUT the ONLY LOSING WEEKS ( 6,8,12 ) The overall record is 21-5 ....

This business is tough sledding , I'm ecstatically Lucky to have won $$$ 10 OUT OF 13 WEEKS this season

Up a decent chuck bc a majority of the 14 Losses were 1-2 unit wagers , and most of the larger bets 3-5 units Won  ..

NFL FUTURES

Futures could be tough sledding because it should be more of a war of attrition with Covid's possible impact ..

BUFFALO BILLS TO WIN AFC EAST +450

$1140/5,130

Bet this as posted before the trade for Diggs . ..Hedged on MIAMI at long odds but those locally inflated odds dont count here on Covers .

BUFFALO BILLS TO WIN AFC +1600
$312.50/$5000

Defense is playing much better the last 6 games  .Probably need a miracle to beat the NFL'S GOLDEN GOOSE = KC CHIEFS...

To Play in AFC CHAMPIONSHIP +475

$420/$1,995

The Steelers Bud Dupree injury is a big one .Now they might miss 2 more LBS on Sunday night .

To meet in Super Bowl
BILLS VS

COWBOYS 177.50-1. $17.30. Love watching them lose ..Funny to see them flexed off of Sunday night..

BEARS. 288-1. $10.70. Trash

BUCCANEERS 390-1. $8.50.

CARDINALS 526-1. 8.80.

SKYRATS 130-1. $19.70

Skyrats. 133- . $7.70

Vikings 225-1. $14.20.Anything is possible right ???

Falcons 275-1. $9.75. Burnt money

Aints 96-1. $11.15

SAINTS 86-1. $12.

SF 49ERS UNDER 10.5 WINS -120

$600/500

Better play all 16 games ..

STEELERS to win North +400

$125/500

Regret not betting more on them..My Steelers homer buddy bet this for $500 at the sportsbook..I should have listened ...

To REACH NFC CHAMPIONSHIP

SAINTS +240. $300/720

Are they better with Taysom Hill at QB ??? Sounds crazy , but the Defense has sure raised their play over the last 3 games ..

PATRIOTS to miss playoffs +140

$360/504

BEAUTIFUL LOSS last night .

Much Respect to the Seneca sportsbook who clarified that if the NFL adds an 8th seed it will not impact the playoff Futures ( Only the top 7 seeds will be considered Playoff appearances) ..

WASHINGTON DC TO WIN NFC EAST +250

$420/1,050

Fantastic win over the Steeelers..Too bad the New Jersey Giants won as well ...Clearly want a win over the 49ers , and the Cards to beat NJG ...

Udated final record Predictions

Take these with a grain of salt ...NOT meant to dictate weekly wagering, other than possible Futures with value

Ravens 11-5  +1 

Steelers 12-4   -2 

Browns 11-5. +1 

Bengals. 2-13-1

Bills. 12-4 

Dolphins 9-7. -1

Patriots 7-9

Jets 0-16. -1 

Titans 10-6  -1 

Colts. 10-6.

Texans 6-10

Jaguars 2-14.

Chiefs 15-1.  +1 

Broncos 6-10 -

Chargers. 4-12. -1 

Raiders. 9-7.

PLAYOFFS 

BILLS.   29.   COLTS.21 

STEELERS  23.  RAVENS 26

TITANS 24.  BROWNS 27 

CHEIFS  34 . RAVENS 23 

BILLS.  30.  BROWNS 26

CHEIFS. 41.  BILLS 37 

WEEK 14 STANDARD  + INVESTMENTS 

MORTGAGE WAGER  5+ Units 

BUFFALO BILLS -1.5. -105 

$1,073.10/$1,022

Appear to be catching the Steelers at the right time with their excellent LB core banged up .. The BILLS are the healthiest they've been since week 1 ( Prayers it stays that way ) . Leslie Frazier and McDermott now have a deep rotation of players they rotate in the front 7 , and a few in the secondary...The Steelers O line has been Fantastic at pass blocking , but I expect to generate pressure with a steady flow of blitzes from all angles ..The BILLS have a ton of weapons and have now found a way to get TE Dawson Knox involved. Assuming the Dolphins lose to the Chiefs earlier in the day , a win gives the BILLS a 2 game lead and the Tie Breaker on the Steeelers moving forward ...

No Result would shock me in the WWE , but in my opinion the BILLS should be laying at least 4.5 in this spot and I'd still bet them ...

The BILLS are a huge TV draw ( Game vs SF was the 2nd highest Rated MNF game of the season ) . This should be the top rated MNF game of the season ....

If the BILLS WIN , I'll likely be fading away next week at Denver ..Hoping for 5.5+ with the Broncos .

This is the only wager larger than $300 this week ..The other 3 standard wagers will be 1-1.5 Units a piece ....

* more to follow .

Love tailing you!!! Any insights into the MAC this wk? Thanks and BOL

WASHINGTON DC

Don't underestimate the NFL'S Love for the Alex Smith story ...Also rewarding Dan Snyder for dropping the racist name ..

at 49ERS  +0.1.  Will the 49ers be in rather be golfing mode ? .Maybe the BILLS loss will beat them twice ???  I'm tempted to DC on the Alt line...

SEAHAWKS. +3.2   Excellent spot catching the SKY RATS before they play the RAMS ..

PANTHERS -8.2.    Panthers can be tricky but DC should win ...

At EAGLES  -2.9.   Eagles might not win another game until 2021 ...Is Wentz done in Philly ? What do they do with his contract ??? 

2-2 might not win the Divison with the Giants owning the tie breaker 

3-1 would probably get the job done ...

NEW JERSEY GIANTS 

When i bet on DC to win the Divison I never expected the Giants to beat Seattle ..

CARDINALS +3.   The last time I rooted for the Cardinals like this was the SB vs the Steelers ...

BROWNS  +3.5.    If the Browns lose to the Ravens , I'll probably have 3+ Units on them here ...

AT RAVENS +7.6.    Baltimore is going to be very dangerous down the stretch ...

COWBOYS.  -3.3.   What will Dallas be playing for???

2-2 might win the division 

3-1  definitely gets the job done ..

1-3 or worse is  possible ...

CURRENT Power Rankings 

AFC  ( Not for betting purposes ) 

1  CHIEFS 

2  BILLS 

3  BROWNS 

4  STEELERS 

5. TITANS 

6  RAVENS 

7  COLTS 

8  RAIDERS 

9. DOLPHINS ..

NFC 

1  SAINTS 

2  RAMS 

3  PACKERS 

4. SEAHAWKS 

5. BUCCANEERS 

6. WASHINGTON DC 

7. CARDINALS 

8  GIANTS 

9. VKINGS 

10 LIONS 

11. 49ERS 

Thanks for asking 

Ball st -1.5 looks good this week in the defacto home playoff game with a spot in the MAC championship on the line ...

I've already invested too much in futures on them or I'd be on then vs the spread...Might be forced to hedge ...ugggg 

Best of luck Brother ..sweep your board $$$

My PR's agree with you on Browns and Ravens. I took the Brownies +120.

Anyone in this league can bounce back vs the Cowboys imo.

GL

PITTSBURGH STEELERS 

AT BUFFALO +5.4

AT BENGALS -9.7

COLTS  -3.5

AT BROWNS +0.6 

BROWNS 

RAVENS. -0.6

AT GIANTS  -3.5 

AT JETS  -7.6

STEELERS  -0.6 

RAVENS. 

AT BROWNS  +0.6 

JAGUARS.   -10.7

GIANTS  -7.6

AT BENGALS  -9.3

CHIEFS 

AT DOLPHINS. -7.6

AT SAINTS. -3.9

FALCONS.   -10.2

CHARGERS  -13.1

RAIDERS. 

COLTS  -2.2

CHARGERS -4.9

DOLPHINS.  -3.5 

AT BRONCOS  -1.8 

TITANS 

AT. JAGUARS  -8.4

LIONS  -5.4

AT PACKERS +3.3 

AT TEXANS  -4.1 

COLTS 

AT RAIDERS +2.2

TEXANS -6.9

AT STEEELERS. +3.5 

JAGUARS  -10.5

The Cowboys could make my 40 +yr old fat guy flag football team look good .

This is a tough spot for both teams in my opinion ..Coming off huge wins ...Both teams seem to be playing with major chips on their shoulders.   

Weather PERMITTING AND COVID  I'm leaning on the OVER.  

BEST OF LUCK BROTHER 

SWEEP YOUR BOARD $$$

MUCH RESPECT 

@DoubleUp4Life

 Keep going   

BOL DOUBLE BROTHER  

Never doubt you my man but Pittsburgh makes me nervous .

Sorry about all the errors above ..Due to Covid the proofreading department has failed to show up for work in 9 months .

MAC FUTURES 

BALL ST to WIN MAC +900

$800/$7200 Seneca Niagara odds ..

4 UNIT BET

To WIN WEST +505

$400/2020

Very lucky to get into the perfect hedge spot ..After losing their first game BALL ST has stormed back to win 4 games in a row , and hosts WESTERN MICHIGAN  today for the WEST TITTLE.....I just want my money back at this point , guessing BALL ST would be a 14+ dog to my hometown UNIVERSITY AT BUFFALO in the championship....

Hedge 

WESTERN MICHIGAN  +100

$1200/1200 

So you're the real Santa Claus?  Okay.

@DoubleUp4Life

 any MACtion plays today? 

BUFFALO BILLS 9-3 

STEELERS -5.8

This number keeps rising with Joe Haden,  Dupree and LB Spillane out, and now Vince Williams on the COVID-19 List, the team will rely on Avery Williamson, who was acquired via a trade with the New York Jets earlier in the season.  

     6 weeks ago my numbers would have had the STEELERS as a 2.2 favorite in this spot ..Now with the BILLS healthy and clicking on all cylinders while the Steelers are missing some massive pieces , BUFFALO was a insta MORTGAGE investment....

This will be the highest combined win % for a sunday night game in December...Guessing Joe Public will have a hard time fading a one loss team in primetime ...I expect the money wagered to be around even ...

AT. BRONCOS.  -3.1.  This appears to be a brutal spot after 2 huge games for the BILLS , with 2 divisional games on deck ...If BUFFALO beats Pittsburgh by a TD plus it should set up an inflated line here ...If Catching 5.5 + I'll be on Denver ATS & ML ...

AT PATRIOTS. -4.1.    Unless the shady NFL adds another playoff spot I'm not sure what the PATS  will be playing for??? 

DOLPHINS -7/-4.2/+2.2/ -3.4.  The first number is if the division is on the line ..The 2nd is if the BILLS need it for the #2/#1 seed ..The 3rd is if the game is meaningless for the BILLS..The 4th is if the game is meaningless for the Dolphins and BILLS...

After my then 11 yr old caught Me putting the presents under the tree last year, YES ...

BEST OF LUCK BROTHER 

SWEEP YOUR BOARD $$$$

Excellent work, DoubleUp!

What do you make of the lines of LV and CLE this weekend? I was able to get them +3 respectively on early lines, being very proud of myself and expecting them to hover around pk later. While CLE touched +1 briefly, LV never did and both lines are chipping away in the wrong direction.

Do you consider those shifts to be caused by misperception or is there solid data to back them up? ( Even Jacobs is listed as probable...)

Excellent questions ..You did a Fantastic job getting both at +3 ..

Tough to say ..Oddsmakers are often master manipulators...Us Bettors often believe when a line drops big money is coming in on the dog ..While we'll never truly know , I strongly believe  it's often mind tricks ....Scanning the forums you'll see posters flip flopping on a side based on line movement ( why bet the game then ?) 

Maybe oddsmakers and bettors are overreacting on the RAVENS ..Everyone and their Grandma saw them whip the Cowboys on National TV ..This might be worst Cowboys squad since Aikman"s rookie year ...The Browns probably should be a 1+ point chalk ....

I'm leaning on the Raiders for a Standard 1 unit wager ML +135 ...Waiting for the Covid test results later today ...

The BROWNS are playing solid football and you're probably on the right side...I'm leaning on the OVER ( Again waiting for COVID and weather) ...

Best of luck Brother 

Sweep your board  $$$$$

Thanks for the kindness..

I would have bet the Steelers over the BILLS 6 weeks ago ...

A ton has changed since then , those INJURIES /Covid at LB are devastating,  also HADEN is still out and he would have been a key piece of a Pittsburgh win ...

BET with CONFIDENCE BROTHER 

Sweep your board $$$%

@DoubleUp4Life

 Thank you for your insights! And BOL to you, too!

ADDING 

small plays that could become Standard wager ( Does not count in overall record / but does count in Money won or lost).

LAS VEGAS RAIDERS +140

$140/196 

Like this home spot ..Jacobs is back...

Maybe the wrong team is the chalk ?

Does the NFL help a newly relocated teams stay alive for the playoff push ??? 

Win or lose this game is probably a coin flip and the +140 is juicy..