WEEK 2 SUCKER BET brought to you by Tootsie Pop

"Good Afternoon everybody and welcome to Week 2's edition of the SUCKER BET brought to you by Tootsie Pop!  For those of you who are unfamiliar with the SUCKER BET,  each week I identify the games where the public seems to be heavily favoring one side.  Typically there are 3 or 4 choices each week.  From those games, I choose one unpopular pick as the SUCKER BET.  Last week was a losing week for the SUCKER BET, bringing the season record to 0-1 ATS.  It was a close game throughout, but Garcia threw a late pick ending all hopes of a SUCKER BET cover.  This weeks pick will be another unpopular choice, but that's what makes it a SUCKER BET!  This week I'm taking the Browns +6.5.  They are hosting their toughest divisional rival; the Pittsburgh Steelers.  Last week the Steelers beat up on an average (IMO) Texans team, as the Browns got beat up by a strong Cowboys team.  The strongest trend against this week's pick is that fact that Pittsburgh have won 15 of the last 18 meetings with the Browns, including nine straight by an average of 15.6 points.  Ouch!  Sounds like a no-brainer, huh?...exactly!  The Browns have some trends in their favor as well.  The Browns are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games.  The Browns are also 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss and they are 10-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.  Some keys to the game that I've indentified include getting Braylon Edwards some catches early in the game.  Pittsburgh was tied for last in the league last years with the fewest interceptions (11).  Another key to game is the return of Joshua Cribbs returning kicks.  Cleveland led the leagues in average kick return yard/game last season.  He was out last week but will be in the lineup this week.  Also of note is the fact that Rothlesberger is nursing a sore shoulder, one that hopefully doesn't feel better anytime soon.  Keeping Willie Parker under control is also of obvious importance.  The lower the total score this week, the better the chances are for the Browns to cover.  Under is 7-0 in Browns last 7 games on grass.  They you have it, Browns +6.5 hosting the Steelers this Sunday night.  Good luck to everyone this week.  See you next week for Week 3's SUCKER BET brought to you by Tootsie Pop!"

like it, but dont have the balls to pull the trigger, as i feel PITT could contend for a SB this year.  I Like the Skins as a sucker bet this week, but ill be rooting for u too

while that may be true, I tend to think that type of thinking is neither here nor there when it comes to betting games. Not very relevant.

sucker bet indy

Trends aren't relevant when it comes to betting games?  If you're an NFL QB, you aren't more comfortable playing in a venue where you always have sucess?  I disagree - 100%.  But either way, it should be a good one.  I'm leaning towards PIT at the moment.  If we're talking SU, it's PIT no doubt.

Play of the week

SNF -HD -I like the call !

 

Are you guys high? Demapples,

 

Couldnt have said it better

Pittsburgh