Week 5 🏈SUGGESTED WAGERS based off my POINT SPREAD RATINGS (8-3 )⬆️⬇️ and the often useless MADDEN 23 SIMULATIONS (16-6-1 ATS )🎮

What's up Family ???

Hope everyone has had a profitable young season  

The purpose of this thread is to chart my point spread ratings suggested wagers ,and Madden 23 Simulations suggested plays for for week 5......Point Spread ratings went 3-1 last week ( now 8-3 YTD)   , while the Madden Simulations went 3-2-1 and are now 16-6-1 ATS , and 0-3 on TOTALS ..

The point spread ratings represent what I think the point spread should be . When my ratings are 3.17+ points off the current oddsmakers line it is recommended as a wager ...

Each game weekly is simulated on MADDEN 23  twenty times ..In order for MADDEN to suggest a wager the result must occur in at least 13 of 20 Sims ( 65%) ...

Important side note...

Friday night I might lay down the largest bet ever!!! My old hs #1 BENNETT travels  to play #2 LANCASTER . ( rankings from the current Buffalo News section 6/WNY  Poll ) ..

       I expected this line to be upwards of Bennett -13 after they dominated then #7 WNY MARITIME  62-0 last week , after beating #4 Orchard Park 52-10 the previous week...Oddsmakers here are giving Lancaster too much credit for their 5-0 record ( all games were locally) , Bennett is 3-2 but the 2 losses came vs out of state powerhouses from Ohio and Pennsylvania....

      Lancaster is currently favorite by 2 , despite losing to Bennett twice last season by 24 and 4 points ....

     Can't wait to be there going bananas on Firday night...When I was at Bennett the city schools were banished to only play other city schools, this remained until about 8 years ago .We would get amped up every year to play one preseason game vs a suburban school in late August...They would always cancel a day or 2 before the scrimmage with some lame arse excuse ..We'd find out the next week they they chose to scrimmage another suburban school instead  ..The parents and coaching staff hype up the kids with these stories at every pep rally before these big city vs suburban games at Bennett ...This one could be a clash of the Titans 1 vs 2 , but I strongly believe a beat down is coming !!! 

      If you somehow can get action on the game where you are I'd recommend pounding BENNETT !!!   We are lucky enough were in WNY to have 3+ locals who now solely take action on HS sports and NY state college sports ( Sportsbooks here can't offer wagers on NY state colleges ) ...

Thank you for reading my long winded opening post ....Ratings and Madden 23 Simulations to follow for Thursday night football...

BEST of HEALTH, HAPPINESS, BLESSINGS, and LUCK to ALL

I’m assuming there’s no online sports books that take that action 

Point Spread ratings suggested plays are 3.17  + points off of actual line ..

THESE NUMBERS ARE FOR WEEK 5 ONLY , NOT FUTURE OR HYPOTHETICAL MATCHUPS ..

Ratings will change during the week with injury updates ..It's best to check back here throughout the week and 1 hour before kickoff. 

BRONCOS. 90.08. HF +3.33.  -3.52   

COLTS.  89.89.   

NO SUGGESTED PLAY  ON DENVER -3.5

So far these have been 2 of the most overrated squads in the league ...After watching  Russ's first 4 games its obvious he's taken a major step back at this point of his career ..Often not seeing wide open targets over the middle of the field ...Sure he could and should play better,  but will he tonight ??? 

Hackett looks absolutely clueless as a Hc ..Clock management and in game adjustments are bottom of the barrel...

Thought Matt Ryan would flourish here , that's simply not been the case ...Appears Frank Reich's act might be getting stale here in Indy ....Had very high expectations for the Colts this season ...Appears I was way way off ....

I'll be rooting for the Colts to win outright tonight with no money involved .  

No I wish there was ..

.I'm a very leary about handing over what for me is a very large amount of money to a local before the game is played....Nothing could stop him from stealing my dough ...Other than his reputation,  and my family be fairly well known around here ..

WEEK5

MADDEN 23 SIMULATIONS 

( Sundays games will be posted Friday-Saturday unless major injuries are game time decisions.) 

In order for the SIMS to suggest a wager it must cash in 65% ( 13 of 20 Simulations ) 

BRONCOS 3.5.  COLTS 

BRONCOS COVERED IN 11 OF 20 = NO SUGGESTED WAGERS 

The only player props that went under or over 13+ were BRONCOS FG ( 14 of 20 )over 1.5 but the juice is an ugly-157 ...Mo Alie-Cox Over 19.5 recieving yards -110 ( 13 of 20 ) ...Cox went 6 for 85 and a 2 tds last week,  but only had 1 catch in each of the 2 previous games....Maybe I'll parlay the 2 at +195 

Most can’t wager on a high school bullshit football game!

True that Brother , wish you could!!! 

Posted about the Bennett at Lancaster game for those who can wager on it ( decent amount of western New Yorkers read my weekly threads ) ...

Best of luck and blessings this weekend Family ...

Bang em DoubleUp!! Hope Lancaster comes through for ya! .   Defensive Slugfest will be the MO tonight in my opinion. Grab Broncos & the 3.5 premium. These Offenses are struggling bad right now! Not exactly breaking news, lol but I lean Under.

GL Brotha! 

Thank you for stopping by Brother!!! 

Bennett is the squad I need tomorrow...

Agree with you ,  don't see many points tonight...Who knows though , not a game I could touch ATS or the total ...

Best of luck and blessings to you Family !!! 

Both RB1s are out, these teams are struggling offensively, and prime time so far has been UNDER. I use a site that's tracking 58% of the action on the under, we usually see the public on the over...they are catching on. 

All sign's are pointing to under, which is the exact reason the OVER will hit. 

If anything, ill be playing the over or a tease...i think the oddsmakers are pretty sharp on this one.  

Could be spot on ...Local here said almost everyone took the under in GB vs NE last Sunday....Wouldn't be suprised if tonight is a shootout ...Both teams should be desperate...

Good luck on your bets Brother !! 

@DoubleUp4Life

 What a good summation of both teams, hard to have a pick even, home advantage may gey Denver the win, agree the coach is an absolute 'dummy'

Neither team deserved to win that trash game ...

Atrocious football 

injury reports are brutal across the league .

Extremely coy 

Welp i put my money where my mouth was, what a shit game. 

@DoubleUp4Life

 That is hilarious we have odds on High School games. I went to Hutch tech. Whats the line this week?

BTW- Denver has THE WORST in game coach. cant get out of his own way. I had no action on fianl, but cam only imagine how pissed Broncpos fans would be when they were running Boone for over 5yds a carry and decided to take the ball out of his hands

My great long time brother 

Small world ...My mother is a retired French teacher who taught at Hutch Tech towards the end of career ( bounced around the city before that) ....I took the entrance exam , didn't get In ...

The Engineers are stuck with the big boys in class AA ...They're 0-5 ( 0-2 in league outscored 83-0) ....22.5 point underdog at Niagara Falls tomorrow  ...

Totally agree , Hackett is by far the worst in game coach I've ever seen in the NFL ..Doubt he'd win a game in the MAC or JV football for that matter....Should have been fired after that week 1 debacle ..Utter abomination  ..Yep why didn't they just keep giving Boone the Ball ???? The Broncos should send him and Russ packing to the CFL ....

Fantastic to hear from you !!! 

Just atrocious football ...

Best of luck this weekend Brother!!!

Sweep your slate 

Point Spread ratings suggested plays are 3.17  + points off of actual line ..

THESE NUMBERS ARE FOR WEEK 5 ONLY , NOT FUTURE OR HYPOTHETICAL MATCHUPS ..

Ratings will change during the week with injury updates ..It's best to check back here throughout the week and 1 hour before kickoff. 

PACKERS 94.23      -4.03 

GIANTS. 90.20

GIANTS are a SUGGESTED PLAY +8 

Not sure the Packers are capable of beating anyone besides the Bears by more than a TD ..Green Bay will likely get better offensively as the season goes on ...If you're a fantasy player deal for Doubs , I did before last week  on the cheap ...Anyways Brian Daboll is getting almost zero credit for the Jersey Giants ( Buffalo East ) 3-1 start ..Many of the taking heads are calling them the most overrated 3-1 team of all time ...My only current wager on this game is DOUBS OVER 42.5 recieving yards ( 1.25 UNITS)...No result here would shock me , either side is capable of winning close or in a blow out...Daniel Jones will start , but inwouldnt panic if Davis Webb gets thrown into action, as he knows Daboll's offense well ...

BUCCANEERS. 94.99  HF +3.22. -8.19

FALCONS  90.02.     

NO PLAY ON FALCONS +10 

FALCONS offense should play into Buccs defensive strengths ...I put some extremely longshot division winner parlays in yesterday Wheeling the FALCONS at +1200 ...Not saying they win the South,  but anything is possible when it comes to sports entertainment events ...

VIKINGS. 93.81.  HF +3.01. -9.80 

BEARS.  87.02

No play suggested play on VIKINGS -7.5 

Hard to predict how the Vikings will play after their trip across the pond ...COOK is due for TD but I'm not paying-200 ...Wish my BILLS could rescue Darnell Mooney from Justin Fields ...

JAGUARS.  91.22.  HF+3.10.   -7.98

TEXANS.  86.34

NO PLAY ON JAGUARS -7 

Thankful I don't have to watch a second of this game until next week on all 22 ...Rooting for the Texans to pull the upset ( Benefits my pathetic Colts futures) ..Fantasy guy might want to stream the Jags D this week.

WEEK5

MADDEN 23 SIMULATIONS 

( Sundays games will be posted Friday-Saturday unless major injuries are game time decisions.) 

In order for the SIMS to suggest a wager it must cash in 65% ( 13 of 20 Simulations ) 

PACKERS 8 GIANTS 

PACKERS COVERED in 10 and pushed in 1 ) 

NO SUGGESTED PLAY ON THIS GAME 

Prop recommendations ( must cash 13+ of 20) Are R James Over rec yards , Bellinger over catches, Doubs Over rec yards 

BUCCANEERS  10 FALCONS 

FALCONS COVERED IN 11 and pushed in 2 ..

NO SUGGESTED PLAY ON THIS GAME

Recommended props...Founette TD, M Evans over catches,  C Huntley TD, BUCCS FG over 1.5 

JAGUARS. 7  TEXANS 

TEXANS COVER IN 11 OF 20 ..

NO SUGGESTED PLAY ON THIS GAME 

Reccomended player props  Mills to throw Int , JAGS FG over. 1.5 ..

Biggest cash in my life on a single wager 

BENNETT WINS 20-7 .. They beat both the REFS and Lancaster 

Should have been 32-0 or worse 

In the SAME post, you have admitted to:

1) Gambling on a HS football game

2) Not only running HUNDREDS of simulations on MADDEN, but then also cross-referencing the stat lines of EACH one against every imaginable prop bet for each team 

3) Admitted to watching presumably every All 22 from the previous week.  

This is some NEXT level creepiness.  Like how do you have any time to do anything else?  I cringe to think of your personal hygiene.  You must only leave the house once a week to check out a HS game 

Biggest cash in my life 

Nobody is going to break my stride ,  especially a

LOW BROW  HATING  SAF 

@DoubleUp4Life

 And on right on cue...replies immediately within 10 minutes at 11pm on a Friday.  Thanks for proving my point.  

P.S. i'm only here because you are a professional and absolute creep on troll on here.  You currently are going back and forth on a freshly made 24 page thread with dudes.  That's straight up PSYCHO. 

@CaridadDelCobre

simply boasting about betting on a HS football game and cashing the biggest wager of his life to a bunch of internet strangers is reason enough to call in the straight jacket