The purpose of this thread is to chart my point spread ratings suggested wagers ,and Madden 23 Simulations suggested plays for for week 6.....
.Point Spread ratings went 3-1 last week ( now 11-4 YTD) , while the Madden Simulations went 4-3 and are now 20-9-1 ATS , and 0-3 on TOTALS ..
The point spread ratings represent what I think the point spread should be . When my ratings are 3.17+ points off the current oddsmakers line it is recommended as a wager ...
Each game weekly is simulated on MADDEN 23 twenty times ..In order for MADDEN to suggest a wager the result must occur in at least 13 of 20 Sims ( 65%) ...
Important side note.
BENNETT won in convincing fashion last week cashing my largest single game wager ever ..As Promised to the much better half I'll be taking a break from wagering on football ( involuntarily ) for at least a few weeks ...Can't argue with her , HAPPY WIFE , HAPPY LIFE
I'll still post all the Point Spread Ratings , Madden 23 Simulations, and my suggested prop plays ...
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS, BLESSINGS, AND LUCK TO ALL !!!
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
What's up Family ???
Hope everyone has had a profitable young season
The purpose of this thread is to chart my point spread ratings suggested wagers ,and Madden 23 Simulations suggested plays for for week 6.....
.Point Spread ratings went 3-1 last week ( now 11-4 YTD) , while the Madden Simulations went 4-3 and are now 20-9-1 ATS , and 0-3 on TOTALS ..
The point spread ratings represent what I think the point spread should be . When my ratings are 3.17+ points off the current oddsmakers line it is recommended as a wager ...
Each game weekly is simulated on MADDEN 23 twenty times ..In order for MADDEN to suggest a wager the result must occur in at least 13 of 20 Sims ( 65%) ...
Important side note.
BENNETT won in convincing fashion last week cashing my largest single game wager ever ..As Promised to the much better half I'll be taking a break from wagering on football ( involuntarily ) for at least a few weeks ...Can't argue with her , HAPPY WIFE , HAPPY LIFE
I'll still post all the Point Spread Ratings , Madden 23 Simulations, and my suggested prop plays ...
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS, BLESSINGS, AND LUCK TO ALL !!!
Would of expected Pat LaFontaine as your pic how dare you D UP Still one of my fav players to play with on NHL 92 for Sega besides my Hawks... GL this weekend and looking hard at Noles and Clemmy (Leaning pretty solid) game Sat night...
THANK YOU FOR THE FLASHBACKS ..!!!
Easily One of my favorite games ever ..Loved using the speed of Mogliny with the passing of LaFontaine....92 through 95 ..We used to have big tournaments..
Larmer was my guy on your Hawks ...They were my 3rd favorite team to use ...Often used then bc the Sabres were everyone's first choice here...
Looking forward to watching Florida St vs Clemson as well ...Been more enjoyable watching power 5 football with no money riding the last 3 years ..
Best of luck and blessings in everything you do BROTHER
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
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Quote Originally Posted by Oktoberfestlax4:
Would of expected Pat LaFontaine as your pic how dare you D UP Still one of my fav players to play with on NHL 92 for Sega besides my Hawks... GL this weekend and looking hard at Noles and Clemmy (Leaning pretty solid) game Sat night...
THANK YOU FOR THE FLASHBACKS ..!!!
Easily One of my favorite games ever ..Loved using the speed of Mogliny with the passing of LaFontaine....92 through 95 ..We used to have big tournaments..
Larmer was my guy on your Hawks ...They were my 3rd favorite team to use ...Often used then bc the Sabres were everyone's first choice here...
Looking forward to watching Florida St vs Clemson as well ...Been more enjoyable watching power 5 football with no money riding the last 3 years ..
Best of luck and blessings in everything you do BROTHER
Point Spread ratings suggested plays are 3.17 + points off of actual line ..
THESE NUMBERS ARE FOR WEEK 5 ONLY , NOT FUTURE OR HYPOTHETICAL MATCHUPS ..
Ratings will change during the week with injury updates ..It's best to check back here throughout the week and 1 hour before kickoff.
RAVENS 96.16. -3.87
GIANTS. 90.02. HF +2.27.
NO PLAY ON GIANTS +5.5
While it's difficult for me to back teams coming home from across the pond this looks like too many points...Never thought Bateman's availability would be a big concern , but if you're backing either team I'd wait to see what his status is Sunday ...
BENGALS. 94.82. -2.04
SAINTS. 89.76. HF +3.02
No play on Bengals -2
BENGALS should be in desperation mode at 2-3 ...Doesn't mean they'll win but oddsmakers appear to have this one right ( pregame ) ...McPherson over 1.5 FG would be my bet if I was allowed. Lol , as he had a rare under last week ...
COLTS. 92.38 HF +3.08. -5.75
JAGUARS. 89.71
COLTS. -2 are a suggested wager
Probably would have made this a mortgage wager in the preseason as my numbers then loved the Colts by close to 10 points....Maybe the extra time off will help the Colts offense find a pulse...Taylor should be back and provide the spark needed...Jaguars were a nice feel good story out of the gate, but I think their ship has sailed ...That being said the Colts futures might be burned tickets with a loss here ..
VIKINGS 94.08
DOLPHINS 91.36. HF +3.32 -0.62
DOLPHINS +3.5 IS A SUGGESTED PLAY
For what it's worth Skylar Thompson looked very good in the preseason!!! Which means almost nothing ...I'd make this a pick em ( we rarely see those now a days ) . Tyrek Hill is practicing in full and could be the difference here..Vikings should be a little too full of themselves coming out of the gate 4-1 ..As a BILLS fan I'd like to see the fins lose , but Miami ML would probably be my bet ...
BROWNS. 90.95. HF +2.64. -2.28
PATRIOTS. 91.31.
NO PLAY ON PATRIOTS +2.5
Not sure which team I strongly dislike more ...Will not be watching a second of this one until next week on all 22
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
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Point Spread ratings suggested plays are 3.17 + points off of actual line ..
THESE NUMBERS ARE FOR WEEK 5 ONLY , NOT FUTURE OR HYPOTHETICAL MATCHUPS ..
Ratings will change during the week with injury updates ..It's best to check back here throughout the week and 1 hour before kickoff.
RAVENS 96.16. -3.87
GIANTS. 90.02. HF +2.27.
NO PLAY ON GIANTS +5.5
While it's difficult for me to back teams coming home from across the pond this looks like too many points...Never thought Bateman's availability would be a big concern , but if you're backing either team I'd wait to see what his status is Sunday ...
BENGALS. 94.82. -2.04
SAINTS. 89.76. HF +3.02
No play on Bengals -2
BENGALS should be in desperation mode at 2-3 ...Doesn't mean they'll win but oddsmakers appear to have this one right ( pregame ) ...McPherson over 1.5 FG would be my bet if I was allowed. Lol , as he had a rare under last week ...
COLTS. 92.38 HF +3.08. -5.75
JAGUARS. 89.71
COLTS. -2 are a suggested wager
Probably would have made this a mortgage wager in the preseason as my numbers then loved the Colts by close to 10 points....Maybe the extra time off will help the Colts offense find a pulse...Taylor should be back and provide the spark needed...Jaguars were a nice feel good story out of the gate, but I think their ship has sailed ...That being said the Colts futures might be burned tickets with a loss here ..
VIKINGS 94.08
DOLPHINS 91.36. HF +3.32 -0.62
DOLPHINS +3.5 IS A SUGGESTED PLAY
For what it's worth Skylar Thompson looked very good in the preseason!!! Which means almost nothing ...I'd make this a pick em ( we rarely see those now a days ) . Tyrek Hill is practicing in full and could be the difference here..Vikings should be a little too full of themselves coming out of the gate 4-1 ..As a BILLS fan I'd like to see the fins lose , but Miami ML would probably be my bet ...
BROWNS. 90.95. HF +2.64. -2.28
PATRIOTS. 91.31.
NO PLAY ON PATRIOTS +2.5
Not sure which team I strongly dislike more ...Will not be watching a second of this one until next week on all 22
New Jersey is still getting no respect ..I don't think this line should be any higher than 4 ...Sure the Packers could win going away by double digits but why back them after their trip to London laying a TD to a red hot JETS squad that's playing good football ???
49ERS. 95.01. -1.52
FALCONS 90.47. HF +3.02
FALCONS +4.5 ARE NOT a suggested wager
If this reaches +5 the ratings would suggest a play ...FALCONS will be wearing one of my favorite helmets ever on Sunday ( RED )..Atlanta got screwed by the game wardens who might be instructed to do everything they can to help Tom Shady .. .49ers are due to slip sooner or later , sure they stayed on the east coast but that's a long time to be away from home ...Pass but check back Sunday...
BUCCANEERS. 95.48. -7
STEELERS. 86.23. HF +2.25
No play on Steelers +8
This might be the lowest I've rated the Steelers in 33+ years ...Home field might be at its lowest with the possible boo birds out if things go south early ...It appeared they gave up vs the BILLS last week...Was impressed with Pickett's ability to take a hit and keep firing the ball in tight windows vs Buffalo's zone scheme...
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
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PACKERS 92. HF +3.03. -3.54
JETS. 91.49.
JETS +7 IS A SUGGESTED WAGER
New Jersey is still getting no respect ..I don't think this line should be any higher than 4 ...Sure the Packers could win going away by double digits but why back them after their trip to London laying a TD to a red hot JETS squad that's playing good football ???
49ERS. 95.01. -1.52
FALCONS 90.47. HF +3.02
FALCONS +4.5 ARE NOT a suggested wager
If this reaches +5 the ratings would suggest a play ...FALCONS will be wearing one of my favorite helmets ever on Sunday ( RED )..Atlanta got screwed by the game wardens who might be instructed to do everything they can to help Tom Shady .. .49ers are due to slip sooner or later , sure they stayed on the east coast but that's a long time to be away from home ...Pass but check back Sunday...
BUCCANEERS. 95.48. -7
STEELERS. 86.23. HF +2.25
No play on Steelers +8
This might be the lowest I've rated the Steelers in 33+ years ...Home field might be at its lowest with the possible boo birds out if things go south early ...It appeared they gave up vs the BILLS last week...Was impressed with Pickett's ability to take a hit and keep firing the ball in tight windows vs Buffalo's zone scheme...
Colts have to have revenge on their minds for the way they lost to jags to miss playoffs last year. Plus they need to win this game at home. They started to look a little good on offense last thursday. We will see!
Success is never final, failure is never fatal, and it's the courage that counts.
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Colts have to have revenge on their minds for the way they lost to jags to miss playoffs last year. Plus they need to win this game at home. They started to look a little good on offense last thursday. We will see!
Was wondering how the Madden Sims, work exactly. I dont have Madden yet BUT i do have a PS5.... I always like your posts on the sims and figure i may just get into doing it myself. Are you manually changing rosters? Is there a setting to sim games in seconds or do you have to play every game out? How do you track stats game to game, i assume manually?
Any other tips and tricks? Looking forward to getting involved.
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DU
Was wondering how the Madden Sims, work exactly. I dont have Madden yet BUT i do have a PS5.... I always like your posts on the sims and figure i may just get into doing it myself. Are you manually changing rosters? Is there a setting to sim games in seconds or do you have to play every game out? How do you track stats game to game, i assume manually?
Any other tips and tricks? Looking forward to getting involved.
It can be a major pain in the Arse ...Thankfully my youngest is using the results for a school projects so he's fully involved in updating the rosters weekly .
.Managing the rosters to make players inactive/active, starting etc can be like a full time job ....There was a poster on the Madden share that was doing it the last few years but he hasn't this season ...
If/when you get rhe game I'll send you the game specifications for what I found to give fairly accurate predictions....The actual Simulations don't take must time ..We screen shot the stats at the end of the game which also makes it easier.
Results may vary , and at any moment I'm expecting them to be a better fade than tail ...
I'm happy they've worked out well so far , they'd be useless if they hit between 45-56% ...
Really appreciate you reading and posting....
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
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@PocketRocket88
It can be a major pain in the Arse ...Thankfully my youngest is using the results for a school projects so he's fully involved in updating the rosters weekly .
.Managing the rosters to make players inactive/active, starting etc can be like a full time job ....There was a poster on the Madden share that was doing it the last few years but he hasn't this season ...
If/when you get rhe game I'll send you the game specifications for what I found to give fairly accurate predictions....The actual Simulations don't take must time ..We screen shot the stats at the end of the game which also makes it easier.
Results may vary , and at any moment I'm expecting them to be a better fade than tail ...
I'm happy they've worked out well so far , they'd be useless if they hit between 45-56% ...
I love the Jets this week. I took them @+9 bought points obviously to get it here.
I think also Minnesota is the play this week. Just too many questions behind the scenes for this young coach to deal with right now. Didn't see good preparation last week and don't see it getting better this week.
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I love the Jets this week. I took them @+9 bought points obviously to get it here.
I think also Minnesota is the play this week. Just too many questions behind the scenes for this young coach to deal with right now. Didn't see good preparation last week and don't see it getting better this week.
Point Spread ratings suggested plays are 3.17 + points off of actual line ..
THESE NUMBERS ARE FOR WEEK 5 ONLY , NOT FUTURE OR HYPOTHETICAL MATCHUPS ..
Ratings will change during the week with injury updates ..It's best to check back here throughout the week and 1 hour before kickoff.
CARDINALS 92.34. -0.44
SEAHAWKS 88.89. HF +3.01.
NO play is suggested .
Find it mind boggling that supposed offensive guru Kliff Kingsbury spends all week scripting plays for the 1st quarter...The Cardianls have been outscored 38-0 in the first quarter this season ...
I'm not a trends guy but Arziona is 10-1 ATS on the road since the start of last season ...
The Ratings don't have a play on this game , if i was wagering SEAHAWKS FG over 1.5 would be my play...
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
1
Point Spread ratings suggested plays are 3.17 + points off of actual line ..
THESE NUMBERS ARE FOR WEEK 5 ONLY , NOT FUTURE OR HYPOTHETICAL MATCHUPS ..
Ratings will change during the week with injury updates ..It's best to check back here throughout the week and 1 hour before kickoff.
CARDINALS 92.34. -0.44
SEAHAWKS 88.89. HF +3.01.
NO play is suggested .
Find it mind boggling that supposed offensive guru Kliff Kingsbury spends all week scripting plays for the 1st quarter...The Cardianls have been outscored 38-0 in the first quarter this season ...
I'm not a trends guy but Arziona is 10-1 ATS on the road since the start of last season ...
The Ratings don't have a play on this game , if i was wagering SEAHAWKS FG over 1.5 would be my play...
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