Posted:
#1
"A
pleasant good morning to everyone and welcome to Week 7's SUCKER BET
brought to you by the fine folks at Tootsie Pop! For
those of you who are unfamiliar
with the SUCKER BET, each week I identify the games where the public
seems to be heavily favoring one side. Typically there are 3 or 4
choices each week. From those games, I choose one unpopular pick as
the SUCKER BET. Last week was another great week for the SUCKER BET as
the Browns beating the Bengals was this year's 5th outright win bringing
our season tally to 5-1 ATS. This week I'm on another home dog. I am surprised to how heavily Joe Public is all over the Cowboys. Only the Packers are getting more love in Week 7. I like Carolina here at home and coming off a BYE. DeMarco Murray is not playing Sunday and although the Cowboys didn't win last week, some still think they are a quality playoff contending team. They may be, I don't think so, but they may be. Regardless, they are far from great against the spread as a favorite, to the tune of 4-18 ATS over the past 3 seasons; 0-3 ATS in 2012. Carolina isn't all that great as a favorite either, also 0-3 ATS in 2012. But as a dog, they are 3-0 ATS this season. 3 of Carolina's 4 loses this season have been less than a touchdown. The Bears and Ravens have put up 65 points against Dallas over the past 2 weeks and I'm hoping the Panthers can add to that total. Though Dallas pass defense can be tough so the Panthers will have to run the ball. Which is true regardless of who they're matched-up against; Panthers are 7-1 SU when they run the ball 28 times or more since Newton's been
under center, and 0-13 SU when they carry it 27 times or fewer. For those who put value into the "looking ahead" theory, the Cowboys are hosting the division leading Giants in Week 8. Only the Eagles and Chiefs have a worse turnover ratio than the Cowboys. Penalties you ask? Dallas is the 3rd most penalized teams in the NFL. Only the Falcons have committed less penalties than the Panthers. Panthers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss and are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. There you have, Panthers +2 hosting the Cowboys. Good luck to everyone this week and see you next week for Week 8's SUCKER BET brought to you by Tootsie Pop!"
0
..... love your posts none the less
then wish I never saw your post!!!!!! Either way you are a welcome read Apples! 
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