Posted:
#1
"A
pleasant good Sunday afternoon to everyone and welcome to Week 8's SUCKER BET
brought to you by the fine folks at Tootsie Pop! For
those of you who are unfamiliar
with the SUCKER BET, each week I identify the games where the public
seems to be heavily favoring one side. Typically there are 3 or 4
choices each week. From those games, I choose one unpopular pick as
the SUCKER BET. Last week was a loser for the SUCKER BET and the Panthers were ultimately a bad choice, bringing
our season tally to 5-2 ATS. Sometimes I have to go where the research points me regardless of whether or not the pick feels "right". This week is one of those picks and Joe Public is backing the no team more than the Chargers in Cleveland. The Chargers are coming off a difficult lose and have the pressure of needing a win in this spot to stay in the playoff hunt. The Browns might just have the better QB in this match-up mostly due to their superior (comparatively speaking) offensive line which has only allowed 4 sacks over the past 3 games. The Chargers fans have to be worried. Multiple loses after double-digit leads and their wins this season are against OAK, TEN, and KC. Phillip Rivers threw 4 INT's in their lose to Denver and the Browns defense leads the AFC in picks (10). Chargers are tough against the run, which doesn't bode well for Richardson if he plays. So Weeden will get plenty of opportunities to showcase his skills as a potentially rising star in the league. I know it sounds ridiculous to say that about the QB of a team with a 1-6 record, but he's playing well and looks real good at times. The Browns have been in every game and have failed to come up with that one play too often. As for some trends, Browns are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss. CLE is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game and are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass. Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. There you have it, Brown +3 at home vs. the leaking Chargers. Good Luck to everyone this week and see you next week for Week 9's SUCKER BET brought to you by Tootsie Pop!"0
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