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glyde69

Captain

Joined: Sep, 2005

Posts: 7407

Posted: Jan. 6, 2017 - 11:28 AM ET #26

Houston dropped to 3.5. I might be getting greedy waiting for one more hook, but I want -3!

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Jrod6

Banned

Joined: Oct, 2015

Posts: 4252

Posted: Jan. 6, 2017 - 11:30 AM ET #27

I'm on both of those plays myself,gl glyde

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wildcat95

Veteran

Joined: May, 2012

Posts: 1542

Posted: Jan. 6, 2017 - 11:56 AM ET #28

You can grab the Hous ml -195, that seems safer to me, this could easily be an ugly FG game.

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glyde69

Captain

Joined: Sep, 2005

Posts: 7407

Posted: Jan. 6, 2017 - 4:05 PM ET #29

Quote Originally Posted by wildcat95:

You can grab the Hous ml -195, that seems safer to me, this could easily be an ugly FG game.

ML crossed my mind Wildcat.....I'm just a guy who HATES any kind of juice in a straight bet. Even in MLB, anything higher than -140 and I'm FURIOUS if I lose.

Strangely I made one ML wager this season on a favorite, and it was Houston over Cincy just two weeks ago and going ML saved me. But man......195 is tough for me personally.

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earthWake

Captain

Joined: Sep, 2011

Posts: 6196

Posted: Jan. 7, 2017 - 1:16 AM ET #30

Whatup Glyde! Hope all is well

The Dolphins line was pushed up to 10.5 today because of the fact that Maxwell is probably not going to play. I told my friend that if Maxwell plays, the Dolphins have like a 40% chance to win, without him it is closer to 30%. He is the Dolphin's best corner in a secondary which is average at best.

I'm Actually surprised the line is that high though. I never thought it would get past 7.5. The dolphins are getting no respect, and maybe thats justified. Since they have a backup QB and 7 of their 11 highest paid players injured. Do I think the dolphins win this game, No. Do I think Ajayi can run for over 150 yards, Cam Wake and Suh dominate and the Dolphins win, absolutely.

Steelers 27, Dolphins 20.

Also if anyone is looking for a prop, I would definitely suggest the OVER for rushing attempts, and yards for Ajayi. I know Adam Gase and the only chance Miami has to win is to run the ball. He will, A LOT. Even if the dolphins are down 24-7 in the 3rd Quarter he will not abandon the run in this game. Ajayi should and will get 30 carries, possibly more...Didn't bet much on this game overall. Just ajayi props, and Dolphins ML for some value.

The only thing I really like this weekend is the Seahawks (surprise). I was really hoping the line would be 7, and I rarely don't but I bought it down to 7 and unloaded on it. The Seahawks have been playing awful the last few weeks, but this is a team that can flip the switch better than almost anyone. The Lions to be are very one dimensional, and the Seahawks love to play teams that line up and throw 40 times a game without a mobile QB. I think we see the real Seahawks tomorrow. No Earl Thomas which is HUGE but still so many good players on that defense. 38-7 is very possible score to me in this game. If Wilson is clicking, and the defense is play good this will get out of hand quickly.

Don't have much feeling on the Giants and Raiders game. I would bet Oakland before Houston for sure though. I also think the Packers win that game but the Giants are a huge ? mark to me. Their great defense could lead them to the SB, but their offense might not do enough to even win this game. Hate putting any money against Rodgers.

I'm also in a nice predicament. If the Seahawks win the SB, I win $1700 off a futures bet with Cubs/Seahawks. So put decent amount on Cowboys, and Patriots to win the superbowl. If Seahawks can get close some hedging opportunities should pop up since it was only a 25$ bet.

Would have been nice to talk more football with you this year. I am usually not all about picking favorites, but I really think the superbowl is going to be Patriots vs Dallas. I really think the cowboys will play better than expected this postseason.

Goodluck this weekend. Will be around all playoffs. Hopefully it is a profitable one for both of us. If I had the self control to only bet NFL playoffs, and College Basketball conference tournaments I would be much better off. I've always felt only during those 2 events was I an above average handicapper.

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Whatup Glyde! Hope all is well

The Dolphins line was pushed up to 10.5 today because of the fact that Maxwell is probably not going to play. I told my friend that if Maxwell plays, the Dolphins have like a 40% chance to win, without him it is closer to 30%. He is the Dolphin's best corner in a secondary which is average at best.

I'm Actually surprised the line is that high though. I never thought it would get past 7.5. The dolphins are getting no respect, and maybe thats justified. Since they have a backup QB and 7 of their 11 highest paid players injured. Do I think the dolphins win this game, No. Do I think Ajayi can run for over 150 yards, Cam Wake and Suh dominate and the Dolphins win, absolutely.

Steelers 27, Dolphins 20.

Also if anyone is looking for a prop, I would definitely suggest the OVER for rushing attempts, and yards for Ajayi. I know Adam Gase and the only chance Miami has to win is to run the ball. He will, A LOT. Even if the dolphins are down 24-7 in the 3rd Quarter he will not abandon the run in this game. Ajayi should and will get 30 carries, possibly more...Didn't bet much on this game overall. Just ajayi props, and Dolphins ML for some value.

The only thing I really like this weekend is the Seahawks (surprise). I was really hoping the line would be 7, and I rarely don't but I bought it down to 7 and unloaded on it. The Seahawks have been playing awful the last few weeks, but this is a team that can flip the switch better than almost anyone. The Lions to be are very one dimensional, and the Seahawks love to play teams that line up and throw 40 times a game without a mobile QB. I think we see the real Seahawks tomorrow. No Earl Thomas which is HUGE but still so many good players on that defense. 38-7 is very possible score to me in this game. If Wilson is clicking, and the defense is play good this will get out of hand quickly.

Don't have much feeling on the Giants and Raiders game. I would bet Oakland before Houston for sure though. I also think the Packers win that game but the Giants are a huge ? mark to me. Their great defense could lead them to the SB, but their offense might not do enough to even win this game. Hate putting any money against Rodgers.

I'm also in a nice predicament. If the Seahawks win the SB, I win $1700 off a futures bet with Cubs/Seahawks. So put decent amount on Cowboys, and Patriots to win the superbowl. If Seahawks can get close some hedging opportunities should pop up since it was only a 25$ bet.

Would have been nice to talk more football with you this year. I am usually not all about picking favorites, but I really think the superbowl is going to be Patriots vs Dallas. I really think the cowboys will play better than expected this postseason.

Goodluck this weekend. Will be around all playoffs. Hopefully it is a profitable one for both of us. If I had the self control to only bet NFL playoffs, and College Basketball conference tournaments I would be much better off. I've always felt only during those 2 events was I an above average handicapper.

trainwreck66

Legend

Joined: Feb, 2013

Posts: 32278

Posted: Jan. 7, 2017 - 7:49 AM ET #31

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glyde69

Captain

Joined: Sep, 2005

Posts: 7407

Posted: Jan. 7, 2017 - 4:01 PM ET #32

FINAL CARD:

- Houston -4 -101.

- Pittsburgh -10 -102.

- Seattle -2.5/Giants +11 teaser -120.

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Macwestie1

Legend

Joined: Jul, 2004

Posts: 154139

Posted: Jan. 7, 2017 - 4:03 PM ET #33

BOL

glyde

What do you call an Eternal Optimist? An accordion with a beeper!

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glyde69

Captain

Joined: Sep, 2005

Posts: 7407

Posted: Jan. 7, 2017 - 4:06 PM ET #34

Earthwake, great stuff!! Good to see you, bro.

I wound up teasing Seattle as I hated that line being so high. Now that it's closer to game time, I kind of agree with u in it being a blowout. In retrospect, I wish I teased Pitt down instead of Seattle but it is what it is.

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earthWake

Captain

Joined: Sep, 2011

Posts: 6196

Posted: Jan. 7, 2017 - 7:54 PM ET #35

Plays on Seattle tonight.

Seattle -7 (-135)

Sea - Sea (half/full) -150

Sea -12.5 (+170)

Sea FQ -0.5 (-125)

Lions under 17.5 (-115)

Matt Stafford under 24.5 completions

Matt Stafford under 258.5 yards.

Good hit on Houston. This game is really only thing I like all weekend so went hard. Seahawks in the playoffs =

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glyde69

Captain

Joined: Sep, 2005

Posts: 7407

Posted: Jan. 8, 2017 - 12:28 AM ET #36

Quote Originally Posted by earthWake:

Plays on Seattle tonight.

Seattle -7 (-135)

Sea - Sea (half/full) -150

Sea -12.5 (+170)

Sea FQ -0.5 (-125)

Lions under 17.5 (-115)

Matt Stafford under 24.5 completions

Matt Stafford under 258.5 yards.

Good hit on Houston. This game is really only thing I like all weekend so went hard. Seahawks in the playoffs =

Outside of that 0-0 1st quarter, sick day, man!!

I snuck in a quick Seattle -8.5 right before the game, but as I was typing in my password, the game locked me out. (Sigh).

All good though. Sitting on Pitt -10 tomorrow and Giants +11 is a glorified straight bet with the Hawks cashing in the first half of that teaser. Plus as a push "wins," the line is pretty much 11.5 for me. The more I look at that GB game, I'm not exactly "souring" on my Giants play, but I'm thinking the Pack do win the game in the 6-10 point area. So I was thinking if the line drops to 4 to even 3.5, I would take a shot on a GB play for maybe 1/2 a unit and go for a middle in the case GB wins by 4-11 points. If GB blows them out, I cut my loss in the game to a 1/2 unit, if Giants cover, I pick up a unit, and a decent chance at a 1.5 unit win on a middle.

Line is going up though it seems so probably just gonna stick with my play. Either way good start to the playoffs! Between a decent run the last quarter of the season, and a really nice bowl season, I'm peaking at the right time. Hopefully can keep it going. Plus my bowl pool I'm up a game after Oklahoma winning, and a win in the NC game wraps it up while a loss(and the chance the other guy has the other side), it will go down to the tiebreaker which I'm gonna go 41. Winner gets 640 so after tip I can really use 550 bucks right about now.

Atlanta-Seattle I penciled in around -5. I figured it would be in the non-key area between 4.5 and 6 and the early action would dictate if the game goes to -4 or -6. As much as I love the Seahawks and been rooting them on for years, I lean Atlanta anything under -6. 6 or higher gets into the area of PASS or Seattle, but it's tough to pass knowing there's only 7 NFL football games left until Sept 2017.

GL to all tomorrow!!

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Quote Originally Posted by earthWake:

Plays on Seattle tonight.

Seattle -7 (-135)

Sea - Sea (half/full) -150

Sea -12.5 (+170)

Sea FQ -0.5 (-125)

Lions under 17.5 (-115)

Matt Stafford under 24.5 completions

Matt Stafford under 258.5 yards.

Good hit on Houston. This game is really only thing I like all weekend so went hard. Seahawks in the playoffs =

Outside of that 0-0 1st quarter, sick day, man!!

I snuck in a quick Seattle -8.5 right before the game, but as I was typing in my password, the game locked me out. (Sigh).

All good though. Sitting on Pitt -10 tomorrow and Giants +11 is a glorified straight bet with the Hawks cashing in the first half of that teaser. Plus as a push "wins," the line is pretty much 11.5 for me. The more I look at that GB game, I'm not exactly "souring" on my Giants play, but I'm thinking the Pack do win the game in the 6-10 point area. So I was thinking if the line drops to 4 to even 3.5, I would take a shot on a GB play for maybe 1/2 a unit and go for a middle in the case GB wins by 4-11 points. If GB blows them out, I cut my loss in the game to a 1/2 unit, if Giants cover, I pick up a unit, and a decent chance at a 1.5 unit win on a middle.

Line is going up though it seems so probably just gonna stick with my play. Either way good start to the playoffs! Between a decent run the last quarter of the season, and a really nice bowl season, I'm peaking at the right time. Hopefully can keep it going. Plus my bowl pool I'm up a game after Oklahoma winning, and a win in the NC game wraps it up while a loss(and the chance the other guy has the other side), it will go down to the tiebreaker which I'm gonna go 41. Winner gets 640 so after tip I can really use 550 bucks right about now.

Atlanta-Seattle I penciled in around -5. I figured it would be in the non-key area between 4.5 and 6 and the early action would dictate if the game goes to -4 or -6. As much as I love the Seahawks and been rooting them on for years, I lean Atlanta anything under -6. 6 or higher gets into the area of PASS or Seattle, but it's tough to pass knowing there's only 7 NFL football games left until Sept 2017.

GL to all tomorrow!!

ChickMagnut

Veteran

Joined: Sep, 2016

Posts: 1913

Posted: Jan. 8, 2017 - 12:42 AM ET #37

Mia GB

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