WEEK 2
Bears ML +120 3u
Colts ML +102 3u
Cardinals +4.5 -110 3u
Commanders ML +154 3u
Model background: How long have you been betting spread favorites to parlaying heavy 3 teamers? To only see your research blown up by a single play, turnover, or quarter. A while? Yeah, me too. So, I decided to flip the script. Instead of follow the spread favorite + public perception that Vegas forces onto from the very start - i’m playing the numbers game now. This is an original formula that sifts through the daily slate to identify the dogs who are the diamond in the rough. Using statistics around the foundational basis of ‘not every win (or loss) is created equal’ i’m able to identify games where +EV/dogs have significant opportunities to cover and even win outright. And while Vegas is consumed by hooking in the next Joe this formula identifies its shortfalls or what I like to call diamonds in the rough!
-WiseguyWally