WK 13: Regression teasers (271-170) 61.5%

Best part of the season next few weeks in this model.

ANCHORS:

CINC under 53.5

KC under 49.5

CAR under 53

SATELLITES:

1. BALT under 57

2. WASH under 51.5

3. NYG over 31

4. TENN +11.5

5. NYJ +8.5

6. CINC +4

7. NE +8.5

8. ARZ +10

9. CLEV +11.5

10. CHIC + 17

11. HOUS under 50

12. LAR +3.5

13. WAS +.5

14. BUF -.5

any double play?? Get them for Thanksgiving. Win big. GL

@jowchoo

 Why the 3 anchors? Have you had 3 before? How do you decide how many anchors to use and do you have one that is stronger than the others?

My 10 pt anchor is Tampa +4.  Than KC -2 , Lions pk , Bills + 3 , Seattle +8 Over Eagles / Balt 

First time this year for 3 anchors, they all have equal probabilities to regress. From week 12 through week 16 the regression

model has been sharper and hence the added action.

Have a great holiday 

teaser additions

15. DET -3

16. MIA +9.5

@jowchoo

 Could you explain your model? 

What are anchors and satellites? 

TY

https://www.covers.com/forum/nfl-betting-21/sdqlregression-teasers-update-103868907/2

Buddy, you surprised me I'm a little surprised you didn't play NE as a anchor with the ats difference being your +or- 4 on the other hand I may have looked at NYG and Dal both being -4

ATS:

season>=2024 and p:L and n:DIV and HD and total>37

(2-7)

1. HOU -3-120

2. SEA -1

I already cashed with NYG-DAL Over 37 and I've got PIT-CIN Under 47.5.

GMTA.  Good luck.

Thx DBW

Hoping for a little wind in Cincy......................gl to us

ATS

3. BUFF under 42.5

season>=2024 and tA(qbr)>oA(qbr) and AF and line>-9.5 and total>36.5

(27-14)

ATS

4. TB-5.5

5. IND -2.5

ATS

6. WAS -5.5

7. DEN -6

8.CINC -2.5

9. MIN -3-120

10.ATL +1

11.LAR -2.5

12. Phi +3

13. BUF -6.5

GL 

anchors (2-1)

satellites (12-4)

Anchor (2-0)= 2x (12-4)= (24-8)

anchor (0-1) = (0-16)

total = (24-24)

ATS

(7-5-1)

Week 13 = (31-29)

@jowchoo

 Cin/pit was a killer. You don’t expect an insane shoot out in an AFC north game with a Pittsburgh defense involved. But the nfl is wild. Would have been a phenomenal day for you if all 3 anchors hit, but you did well to hit 2/3 and the satellites still continue to be outstanding choices. Great job nonetheless and congrats on what you’re doing. It’s quietly the most impressive thing on covers right now IMO.

Do you think that 3 anchors is pushing it a little or do you plan to try that again if the situation calls for it?

THX

A divisional tilt with regressive candidates as been very good in the past.During this portion of the season the model

is strongest and I am comfortable trying to go 3-0 on anchors for the SMASH! The CLEV anchor is the strongest.