Play of the Day -- Tampa Bay @ Ottawa OVER -- Readers of my posts will know that i very rarely if ever play an over/under, and that's because there are so many unknown factors going into the decision (# of powerplays, empty net situations, etc.). But that being said, and I almost expect a comment by LeeK lol, i think this is one of the situations where the OVER is the prudent play. Both keepers have GAA over 3, and save percentages in the .800s (for those new to hockey, this is near brutal for an NHL keeper). They are ranked 45 (Roloson) and 43 (Anderson) among 47 goalies with enough starts to be counted as a 'regular' goalie. But that is the D. Look at the scorers: Tampa Bay = Lecavalier, Stamkos, St. Louis, Bergeron. Ottawa = Alfreddson, Spezza, Karlsson, Michalek ... these players are at or near the top of the NHL's scoring (points and goals) leaders. Snipers against dreadful goaltending = lots of goals. TAKE: OVER 5.5
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Play of the Day -- Tampa Bay @ Ottawa OVER -- Readers of my posts will know that i very rarely if ever play an over/under, and that's because there are so many unknown factors going into the decision (# of powerplays, empty net situations, etc.). But that being said, and I almost expect a comment by LeeK lol, i think this is one of the situations where the OVER is the prudent play. Both keepers have GAA over 3, and save percentages in the .800s (for those new to hockey, this is near brutal for an NHL keeper). They are ranked 45 (Roloson) and 43 (Anderson) among 47 goalies with enough starts to be counted as a 'regular' goalie. But that is the D. Look at the scorers: Tampa Bay = Lecavalier, Stamkos, St. Louis, Bergeron. Ottawa = Alfreddson, Spezza, Karlsson, Michalek ... these players are at or near the top of the NHL's scoring (points and goals) leaders. Snipers against dreadful goaltending = lots of goals. TAKE: OVER 5.5
very good logic but i would still need to look at the top scorers stats for goals on the road and the top scores for goals at home before making that over decision. but i def like the logic! also what are the goal tender stats at home and away...just some thought but i def like the idea...might tail the play to after some more personal research!
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very good logic but i would still need to look at the top scorers stats for goals on the road and the top scores for goals at home before making that over decision. but i def like the logic! also what are the goal tender stats at home and away...just some thought but i def like the idea...might tail the play to after some more personal research!
I like the under here. Tampa has not scored more than 2 goals in ottawa in the past 7 meetings and have not scored more than 2 goals in a game in the 9 of the past 11 overall. The over can definitely hit but the scoring will have to come from Ottawa. Just my two cents..
GL friend.
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I like the under here. Tampa has not scored more than 2 goals in ottawa in the past 7 meetings and have not scored more than 2 goals in a game in the 9 of the past 11 overall. The over can definitely hit but the scoring will have to come from Ottawa. Just my two cents..
very good logic but i would still need to look at the top scorers stats for goals on the road and the top scores for goals at home before making that over decision. but i def like the logic! also what are the goal tender stats at home and away...just some thought but i def like the idea...might tail the play to after some more personal research!
sounds good. I think their home/away records are equally crappy, but you might want to confirm that. Like I said, both teams got scorers too!
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Quote Originally Posted by triplee2385:
very good logic but i would still need to look at the top scorers stats for goals on the road and the top scores for goals at home before making that over decision. but i def like the logic! also what are the goal tender stats at home and away...just some thought but i def like the idea...might tail the play to after some more personal research!
sounds good. I think their home/away records are equally crappy, but you might want to confirm that. Like I said, both teams got scorers too!
I like the under here. Tampa has not scored more than 2 goals in ottawa in the past 7 meetings and have not scored more than 2 goals in a game in the 9 of the past 11 overall. The over can definitely hit but the scoring will have to come from Ottawa. Just my two cents..
GL friend.
Interesting. I dont put any stock on previous meetings unless they are from the same year, cos lots can change year to year ... still, the under could certainly bite me! GL brother
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Quote Originally Posted by Simplelies:
I like the under here. Tampa has not scored more than 2 goals in ottawa in the past 7 meetings and have not scored more than 2 goals in a game in the 9 of the past 11 overall. The over can definitely hit but the scoring will have to come from Ottawa. Just my two cents..
GL friend.
Interesting. I dont put any stock on previous meetings unless they are from the same year, cos lots can change year to year ... still, the under could certainly bite me! GL brother
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