I went to the first one elite, I really didnt understand it, what exactly is the system? The results look impressive though!
Simply a 3 game chase when teams are playing 3 consecutive games at home. Check the thread to see who to play but usually , it's fading bottom 8 home teams whereas we'll bet that the other teams will at least win one game at home. But, like tonight, other factors were taken into consideration so the plays don't exactly follow the system strategy at all.
Record is getting impressive but things will undoubtedly even out as the season progresses so jumping on board this late might be very dangerous financially.
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Quote Originally Posted by Hitmann24-7:
I went to the first one elite, I really didnt understand it, what exactly is the system? The results look impressive though!
Simply a 3 game chase when teams are playing 3 consecutive games at home. Check the thread to see who to play but usually , it's fading bottom 8 home teams whereas we'll bet that the other teams will at least win one game at home. But, like tonight, other factors were taken into consideration so the plays don't exactly follow the system strategy at all.
Record is getting impressive but things will undoubtedly even out as the season progresses so jumping on board this late might be very dangerous financially.
I have an early system in regards to Total Team Shots....been hitting about 70% so far, but haven't been doing it long enough to say anything concrete about it.
I like taking a road team, especially one that is likely to be trailing for the better part of the game, to go over the Team Total Shots depending on the spread of course and usually buy the hook (.5) to make it an even number.
I look at the history of shots between the two teams. If they are above 30 shots 80% of the time or higher I will take that team to follow the trend. I also look at what the home team has been giving up over the past 5 games and anything over 150 will fit the mould.
Basically, I find teams average more shots on the road then at home. Partly because I think you are less fancy and not trying to make crowd pleasing plays. Furthermore, if a team is behind the logic is that they start to press more to try and tie or get back into the game.
Now it's not a true system because I do play unders in shots or sometimes home favs (like tonight Wsh over total shots) but the games that fit that mould have hit about 75%.
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I have an early system in regards to Total Team Shots....been hitting about 70% so far, but haven't been doing it long enough to say anything concrete about it.
I like taking a road team, especially one that is likely to be trailing for the better part of the game, to go over the Team Total Shots depending on the spread of course and usually buy the hook (.5) to make it an even number.
I look at the history of shots between the two teams. If they are above 30 shots 80% of the time or higher I will take that team to follow the trend. I also look at what the home team has been giving up over the past 5 games and anything over 150 will fit the mould.
Basically, I find teams average more shots on the road then at home. Partly because I think you are less fancy and not trying to make crowd pleasing plays. Furthermore, if a team is behind the logic is that they start to press more to try and tie or get back into the game.
Now it's not a true system because I do play unders in shots or sometimes home favs (like tonight Wsh over total shots) but the games that fit that mould have hit about 75%.
-play the best 3 or 2 games of the night. -don't play shit teams no matter how hot they are.(leafs,isles,lak etc.) -don't play teams with a goalie out or key players hurt -only play home teams.
tonights "system" play
buffalo detroit anaheim
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JUST PICK WINNERS. PERIOD.
-play the best 3 or 2 games of the night. -don't play shit teams no matter how hot they are.(leafs,isles,lak etc.) -don't play teams with a goalie out or key players hurt -only play home teams.
-play the best 3 or 2 games of the night. -don't play shit teams no matter how hot they are.(leafs,isles,lak etc.) -don't play teams with a goalie out or key players hurt -only play home teams.
tonights "system" play
buffalo detroit anaheim
i have the opposite
caps
clb
kings
gl
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Quote Originally Posted by fax:
JUST PICK WINNERS. PERIOD.
-play the best 3 or 2 games of the night. -don't play shit teams no matter how hot they are.(leafs,isles,lak etc.) -don't play teams with a goalie out or key players hurt -only play home teams.
here's an example; you take columbus who wins 51% of their games but only 33% on the road, then you minus the games they loss with a backup goalie or nash out. i would say you have about 20% chance of winning. unless you're getting 5 to 1 on your money it just isn't worth taking a crappy team on the road. better weed out your choices and pick the best games to bet on.
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here's an example; you take columbus who wins 51% of their games but only 33% on the road, then you minus the games they loss with a backup goalie or nash out. i would say you have about 20% chance of winning. unless you're getting 5 to 1 on your money it just isn't worth taking a crappy team on the road. better weed out your choices and pick the best games to bet on.
-play the best 3 or 2 games of the night. -don't play shit teams no matter how hot they are.(leafs,isles,lak etc.) -don't play teams with a goalie out or key players hurt -only play home teams.
tonights "system" play
buffalo detroit anaheim
SEE THE WINNING SYSTEM WINS AGAIN!
buffaloCASH IT! detroitCASH IT! (still early but rick nash left game) anaheim
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Quote Originally Posted by fax:
JUST PICK WINNERS. PERIOD.
-play the best 3 or 2 games of the night. -don't play shit teams no matter how hot they are.(leafs,isles,lak etc.) -don't play teams with a goalie out or key players hurt -only play home teams.
tonights "system" play
buffalo detroit anaheim
SEE THE WINNING SYSTEM WINS AGAIN!
buffaloCASH IT! detroitCASH IT! (still early but rick nash left game) anaheim
Most systems are garbage, and chase systems are probably not the way to go although I cant say for sure as I never have and never will try one.
One NHL 'system' that I am just guessing would be profitable is to play every dog of +200 or more except when facing teams who are known to be good at not taking nights off... double down when it is vs undisciplined teams... when a heavy fav overlooks a team and mails it in, but the underdog plays with fire to want to knock off a respected team, it can lead to a lot of hooking and grabbing.
And fax, nice win tonight, but that sounds like a downright horrible long-term system imo
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Most systems are garbage, and chase systems are probably not the way to go although I cant say for sure as I never have and never will try one.
One NHL 'system' that I am just guessing would be profitable is to play every dog of +200 or more except when facing teams who are known to be good at not taking nights off... double down when it is vs undisciplined teams... when a heavy fav overlooks a team and mails it in, but the underdog plays with fire to want to knock off a respected team, it can lead to a lot of hooking and grabbing.
And fax, nice win tonight, but that sounds like a downright horrible long-term system imo
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