No NHL plays today although I'd lean the over in CLB/TOR due to Bobrovsky really being up-and-down over the last month or so. No side lean because each team has really been inconsistant, but for fun I’ll just mention I’m taking ALA -3 and Over 46 tonight in the BCS Champsionship game.
Why? Alabama put up 24 last week against the #3 ranked DST in the country. Technically 17 as they got a pick-6. They also chose to just grind down thew clock the entirity of the fourth quarter because they knew CLEM couldn't move the ball an inch on them. Georgia comes in with the #8 ranked DST (which probably dropped after the game against OKC) so I expect Bama to put up more points than last week and potentially capitalize on a mistake from freshman QB Fromm at some point in as a high-pressure game as it gets. For Georgia, I see them doing what they do, running smash mouth football with Chubb and Michel. Two huge fronts and stout defenses are in play, but each team should be able to methodically move the ball. I’m looking at a 31-21 or 31-24 type final in favor of The Crimson Tide.
Good luck, everybody!
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
1/1-1/7 14-11 +18.00
Overall 61-32 +$3034.00
No NHL plays today although I'd lean the over in CLB/TOR due to Bobrovsky really being up-and-down over the last month or so. No side lean because each team has really been inconsistant, but for fun I’ll just mention I’m taking ALA -3 and Over 46 tonight in the BCS Champsionship game.
Why? Alabama put up 24 last week against the #3 ranked DST in the country. Technically 17 as they got a pick-6. They also chose to just grind down thew clock the entirity of the fourth quarter because they knew CLEM couldn't move the ball an inch on them. Georgia comes in with the #8 ranked DST (which probably dropped after the game against OKC) so I expect Bama to put up more points than last week and potentially capitalize on a mistake from freshman QB Fromm at some point in as a high-pressure game as it gets. For Georgia, I see them doing what they do, running smash mouth football with Chubb and Michel. Two huge fronts and stout defenses are in play, but each team should be able to methodically move the ball. I’m looking at a 31-21 or 31-24 type final in favor of The Crimson Tide.
Tried Chrome, tried Firefox, tried Edge...for some reason when I try and post my picks and write-ups it simply won't post but it will post the "hello" posts lol so I dunno.
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Tried Chrome, tried Firefox, tried Edge...for some reason when I try and post my picks and write-ups it simply won't post but it will post the "hello" posts lol so I dunno.
TB -205I fully expect a very strong performance here by The Bolts. I mentioned they got a verbal lashing from the coach after the terrible loss in Ottawa which they responded to by beating DET 5-2 their last game, but this will be Vasilevskiy’s first game in the crease since that time and with all the talk from the coach about how the team hung him out to dry, I’m expecting a sold game in front of him. The Canes have had a nice storybook year so far but it’s all done with smoke & mirrors as statistically they are very middling in all aspects of the game. Offense, defense and specialty teams all rank lower half of the league and goaltending is not very good whatsoever. Scott Darling looking to hold down the fort against Tampa with a weak .893 Save% and 2.97 GAA? I just don’t see it happening.*Lean PL as well here.
NASH -167The Oilers, as I’ve written about before, just don’t score enough and give up too many to consistently win games, especially against quality opponents. On the road here against Pekke Rinne and the Preds? **More trouble. Edmonton has gone 1-5-1 in their last 7 games and have been outscored 28-10 in the process. This is simply a fade on Edmonton. Preds look to kick off a 5-game homestand on the right foot against a team, they should handle quite easily if they bring their A-game.*Lean PL as well here.
STL -162Florida playing the final stop of a 4-game road trip. You’d expect them to try and salvage some points on this road trip but wanting to and being able to are two different things. This is a middling team in all aspects, similar to the Hurricanes, and beyond their top scoring line they have no real depth. Against a defensive team like STL I expect them to really struggle to find the back of the net—especially with the way things have gone for STL the last two games—not well. So, for The Blues I’m expecting a strong showing in their own end especially as they get back to the low scoring, grind-it-out style game they’re good at.
Working a double today so I'll be out of the house until later tonight. Good luck, everybody! [image from unapproved source]
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1/1-1/7 14-11 +18.00
Overall 61-32 +$3034.00
TB -205I fully expect a very strong performance here by The Bolts. I mentioned they got a verbal lashing from the coach after the terrible loss in Ottawa which they responded to by beating DET 5-2 their last game, but this will be Vasilevskiy’s first game in the crease since that time and with all the talk from the coach about how the team hung him out to dry, I’m expecting a sold game in front of him. The Canes have had a nice storybook year so far but it’s all done with smoke & mirrors as statistically they are very middling in all aspects of the game. Offense, defense and specialty teams all rank lower half of the league and goaltending is not very good whatsoever. Scott Darling looking to hold down the fort against Tampa with a weak .893 Save% and 2.97 GAA? I just don’t see it happening.*Lean PL as well here.
NASH -167The Oilers, as I’ve written about before, just don’t score enough and give up too many to consistently win games, especially against quality opponents. On the road here against Pekke Rinne and the Preds? **More trouble. Edmonton has gone 1-5-1 in their last 7 games and have been outscored 28-10 in the process. This is simply a fade on Edmonton. Preds look to kick off a 5-game homestand on the right foot against a team, they should handle quite easily if they bring their A-game.*Lean PL as well here.
STL -162Florida playing the final stop of a 4-game road trip. You’d expect them to try and salvage some points on this road trip but wanting to and being able to are two different things. This is a middling team in all aspects, similar to the Hurricanes, and beyond their top scoring line they have no real depth. Against a defensive team like STL I expect them to really struggle to find the back of the net—especially with the way things have gone for STL the last two games—not well. So, for The Blues I’m expecting a strong showing in their own end especially as they get back to the low scoring, grind-it-out style game they’re good at.
Working a double today so I'll be out of the house until later tonight. Good luck, everybody! [image from unapproved source]
Originally had WIN/BUF under b/c I expected Lehner and Hellybuyck to start then Lehner was pending so I wrote up to take the OVER and WIN if Chad Johnson started then they threw a curveball at me and Lehner did indeed get the start but for some reason The Jets are starting Steve Mason so the game is now a pass with a lean on Buffalo.
Also had Washington but now Grubauer is set to start and he's been pretty bad so that game becomes a pass as well.
Anyway, I'm at work so good luck to all!
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Originally had WIN/BUF under b/c I expected Lehner and Hellybuyck to start then Lehner was pending so I wrote up to take the OVER and WIN if Chad Johnson started then they threw a curveball at me and Lehner did indeed get the start but for some reason The Jets are starting Steve Mason so the game is now a pass with a lean on Buffalo.
Also had Washington but now Grubauer is set to start and he's been pretty bad so that game becomes a pass as well.
I see Cam Ward starting for Carolina, not Darling, unless you know something I don't? I still think TB prevails, but I'm considering the under. Love your daily analysis...BOL to you.
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I see Cam Ward starting for Carolina, not Darling, unless you know something I don't? I still think TB prevails, but I'm considering the under. Love your daily analysis...BOL to you.
I see Cam Ward starting for Carolina, not Darling, unless you know something I don't? I still think TB prevails, but I'm considering the under. Love your daily analysis...BOL to you.
No, I wrote the write-ups early in the morning before leaving for work. The CAR goalie didn't have much bearing on me for the game so I didn't make a note about it. Late goal cost anyone the puck line action.
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Quote Originally Posted by Ushpa:
I see Cam Ward starting for Carolina, not Darling, unless you know something I don't? I still think TB prevails, but I'm considering the under. Love your daily analysis...BOL to you.
No, I wrote the write-ups early in the morning before leaving for work. The CAR goalie didn't have much bearing on me for the game so I didn't make a note about it. Late goal cost anyone the puck line action.
Blues blow a 2-0 lead, Nashville blows a 2-0 lead. Both games still pending but man its amazing to me how many teams I take that blow multi-goal leads the last few weeks. Becoming common-place.
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Blues blow a 2-0 lead, Nashville blows a 2-0 lead. Both games still pending but man its amazing to me how many teams I take that blow multi-goal leads the last few weeks. Becoming common-place.
Strange stretch of games now from The Blues. Offense is finally putting a few home but suddenly the defense and goaltending has come apart. I think this game truly marked the end for Jake Allen as the true starter.
Today: 2-1 +$38.00
0
Overall 61-32 +$3034.00
TB -205
NASH -167
STL -162
Strange stretch of games now from The Blues. Offense is finally putting a few home but suddenly the defense and goaltending has come apart. I think this game truly marked the end for Jake Allen as the true starter.
TOR -1 ½ +125 *half unit* I like Toronto to win here but even I can’t justify a -230 line to do so. Even at the -230 line they have, if you look at the other side, its hard to back Ottawa even at +190 and the nice dog payout…because I just can’t see any angle for them coming away with a win. This is a team that was 4-14-4, in a complete free fall before suddenly having an offensive explosion in back-to-back games to knock off San Jose and Tampa (as well as gamblers hearts everywhere) before falling back to reality in an 2-8 loss to a very average Chicago team. Overall, this is still a team that just isn’t very good, is ranked bottom tier in goals allowed and goals scored as well as specialty teams. Craig Anderson of the .897 Save% and 3.23 GAA is slated to go against Fredrick Anderson who has been very solid all year long for The Leafs with a .922 Save% and 2.65 GAA. Even with the OT loss to Columbus last time out, Anderson is 2-2 on this current home-stand with a .936 Save% and 2.13 GAA. Look for the young Toronto team to play hard on home ice against a below average opponent to get ahead on this home stand before their bye week.
Good luck, everybody!
0
1/8-1/14 2-1 +$38.00
Overall 61-32 +$3034.00
TOR -1 ½ +125 *half unit* I like Toronto to win here but even I can’t justify a -230 line to do so. Even at the -230 line they have, if you look at the other side, its hard to back Ottawa even at +190 and the nice dog payout…because I just can’t see any angle for them coming away with a win. This is a team that was 4-14-4, in a complete free fall before suddenly having an offensive explosion in back-to-back games to knock off San Jose and Tampa (as well as gamblers hearts everywhere) before falling back to reality in an 2-8 loss to a very average Chicago team. Overall, this is still a team that just isn’t very good, is ranked bottom tier in goals allowed and goals scored as well as specialty teams. Craig Anderson of the .897 Save% and 3.23 GAA is slated to go against Fredrick Anderson who has been very solid all year long for The Leafs with a .922 Save% and 2.65 GAA. Even with the OT loss to Columbus last time out, Anderson is 2-2 on this current home-stand with a .936 Save% and 2.13 GAA. Look for the young Toronto team to play hard on home ice against a below average opponent to get ahead on this home stand before their bye week.
CLB/BUF under 5 ½ -130 Two of the lowest scoring teams in the league going head-to-head tonight. Buffalo is running out Linus Ullmark tonight between the pipes. I won’t pretend to know much about him other than what I’ve read but I do know he’s potentially their goalie of the future. His lone NHL start he played well stopping 33 of 36. He’s young, having a very nice season down in the AHL and won the equivalent of the Vezina in the Swedish Elite League before coming over to join the Buffalo organization. I’d like to think the Sabres will try to really buckle down in front of their young goalie tonight on home ice. Add to the fact The Bluejackets are 2-4-2 in their last 8 road games scoring 18 goals (2.25 average) plus they're also missing three of their best players in Wennberg, Atkinson and Dubinsky. On the other end of the ice, Bobrovsky has turned things around in 2018 after a slumping December posting a 3-1 record with a .948 Save% and 1.70 GAA and I’m going to take a shot at the Under here.
WASH -145Caps have won a thousand in a row at home so they’re due to lose and in comes the storybook Canes who keep playing hard game-in and game-out. Could be one of those underdog plays…but, I have to stand by the fact that I’ve mentioned in previous write-ups that even though they play with a lot of heart and effort, they still statistically don’t match-up here. From a stats-standpoint, Cam Ward is the better of the two Hurricane goalies, but even he ranks near the very bottom of the league in Save% and GAA…and by the way, he’s not even starting so we get the worse of the two in Scott Darling. What has Braden Holtby done at home, you ask? Just a 15-4 record with a ridiculous .932 Save% and 2.14 GAA. Match that up with a streaking Caps team who have won 5-in a row against a 20 ranked offense and its another home ice win for Holtby and The Caps.
TB -200 The Flames are 10-5 on the road and have won 4-in a row and come in as big +170 dogs. That’s good value, but unfortunately its only value if you think they can win and its just hard to bet against this Lightning team on any given day, especially when Vasilevskiy is starting. Throw Budaj out there and I can make a case now and again to go the other way. Stat of the game: Vasilevskiy is 16-1 at Amalie Arena. C’mon!
Good luck, everybody!
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1/8-1/14 2-2 -$12.00
Overall 61-33 +$2984.00
CLB/BUF under 5 ½ -130 Two of the lowest scoring teams in the league going head-to-head tonight. Buffalo is running out Linus Ullmark tonight between the pipes. I won’t pretend to know much about him other than what I’ve read but I do know he’s potentially their goalie of the future. His lone NHL start he played well stopping 33 of 36. He’s young, having a very nice season down in the AHL and won the equivalent of the Vezina in the Swedish Elite League before coming over to join the Buffalo organization. I’d like to think the Sabres will try to really buckle down in front of their young goalie tonight on home ice. Add to the fact The Bluejackets are 2-4-2 in their last 8 road games scoring 18 goals (2.25 average) plus they're also missing three of their best players in Wennberg, Atkinson and Dubinsky. On the other end of the ice, Bobrovsky has turned things around in 2018 after a slumping December posting a 3-1 record with a .948 Save% and 1.70 GAA and I’m going to take a shot at the Under here.
WASH -145Caps have won a thousand in a row at home so they’re due to lose and in comes the storybook Canes who keep playing hard game-in and game-out. Could be one of those underdog plays…but, I have to stand by the fact that I’ve mentioned in previous write-ups that even though they play with a lot of heart and effort, they still statistically don’t match-up here. From a stats-standpoint, Cam Ward is the better of the two Hurricane goalies, but even he ranks near the very bottom of the league in Save% and GAA…and by the way, he’s not even starting so we get the worse of the two in Scott Darling. What has Braden Holtby done at home, you ask? Just a 15-4 record with a ridiculous .932 Save% and 2.14 GAA. Match that up with a streaking Caps team who have won 5-in a row against a 20 ranked offense and its another home ice win for Holtby and The Caps.
TB -200 The Flames are 10-5 on the road and have won 4-in a row and come in as big +170 dogs. That’s good value, but unfortunately its only value if you think they can win and its just hard to bet against this Lightning team on any given day, especially when Vasilevskiy is starting. Throw Budaj out there and I can make a case now and again to go the other way. Stat of the game: Vasilevskiy is 16-1 at Amalie Arena. C’mon!
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