Thanks! I took the Under (obviously) but a CLB PL win definitly wouldn't surprise me. Buffalo can't score and Bob has seemingly gotten himself back on track. And with the rookie goalie...really anything could happen...kid could implode and gibve up 6. What I'm looking for is a 3-1 type game in favor of The Jackets which lines up for your bet as well. 
1/8-1/14 3-4 -$257.00
Overall 62-35 +$2739.00
CAL +110 Calgary comes in having won its last 5 and averaging nearly 4 goals a game on offense during that stretch—against teams such as LAK, TB, ANA and in MIN. They’re clicking at the moment and its hard not to back them as dogs here. The Panthers offense, despite its surge against The Blues their last time out, has really struggled of late as they were averaging only 2.08 goals per contest over their last 12 games…which included a 5-game winning streak at one point. The Flames are calling on David Rittich, who when asked to, has been very good—especially on the road where he is 3-0 with a .938 Save% and 1.171 GAA. Ride the road team here.
EDM -127 Let’s discuss the newest stat trend to pay attention to: Bye weeks. Teams coming off a bye-week and playing against a team that is on its regular schedule are 8-14-4 which translates to 8-18 for those of us that bet on true sides. This is one such situation and it’s the overarching reason to take The Oilers here. The Yotes are, as documented again and again, not very good as it is but now in this betting situation (69% winners), gotta bet against them regardless of opponent.
WIN -115 Feels almost like a trap line here, but I don’t see any reason for the trap. Winnipeg has responded very well to losing Mark Scheifele by going 5-1 since his injury and the offense has continued to hum along scoring 26 goals in those 6 games. Now enter Jeff Glass, who is pedestrian at best with a .908 Save% and 3.51 GAA. Winnipeg has the better team, the better offense, the stronger goaltending, the better Power Play…and the list goes on.
WASH/CAR under 5 ½ -120 This is a play partially on Grubauer who has really turned his season around. Early on it was looking like he’d be a weak link but now he’s only given up 5 goals in his last 5 starts and wields a .965 Save% over that span. He’s been very good. Other than that, really all else points to The Canes here; they’re on home ice where they play well, they just beat the Caps on the road, they rank near the top of the league in points attained during the second game of a B2B whereas WASH ranks dead last. I see a low scoring Carolina win here.
Good luck to all!
Been looking at everything. Just finished my write-ups. Just got annoyed with myself for missing the two early winners but I wasn't feeling any of the NFL sides so decided to put some time into the NHL stuff tonight since we did have a bunch of games and potential bye week angles to work with.
Pre-write-up notes worth mentioning:
As discussed in my write-ups yesterday, the new trend to pay attention to when betting at this time of year is the bye week. Teams coming off a bye week and playing their first game back against teams on their regular schedule were 8-14-4 last year which translates to 8-18 for us money-line gamblers. What does this mean? It means betting against the team coming off the bye is hitting at a 69% clip. The first game of that situation was yesterday with ARZ coming off the bye for their home game against EDM which EDM won. So, now we’re at 19-8 overall for a 70% clip.
Two situation bets based on those stats today would be:
SJS coming off the bye to play PHO
And
VGK coming off the bye to play EDM
I won’t lie to anyone and say because of this trend I feel confident taking The Yotes or Oilers here (both also playing the second of a B2B)
The OVER bet in these same situation is now 15-8-4 and I feel safer making a move on that trend in both these situations as opposed to a side.
1/8-1/14 5-6 -$282.00
Overall 64-37 +$2714.00
PHO/SJS over 5 ½ +118 The Sharks limped into their bye week having lost 3-straight games. This is a veteran heavy team that I feel will use this break as an advantage. I think they come out rested, re-focused and look at an easy start to their second half on home ice with a win here but the trend and the giant line make me wary of taking that side, but I do like the over. They could come out a bit slow which could cause some sloppy hockey early on leading to some offensive chances for both sides but as they regain their legs they’ll be shooting on Scott Wedgewood--.897 Save% and 3.23 GAA.
COL/DAL over 5 ½ -120 Both these teams come in off their bye week so expect poor goaltending play as again evidenced by the trend showing goalies Save% drops by .010% from their season average after these long layoffs. Factor in each team being able to score; The Stars are averaging 3.63 goals scored on home ice over their last 22 games and the Avs have really come on and are now sitting at 5 in the league in offense.
VGK -185 This is the team that has taken trends and thrown them out the window and so why not here as well? EDM just struggles and struggles to score. Prior to last night’s 4-2 win in PHO against a PHO team also coming off their bye week, the Oilers had scored only 5 goals in their last six games. That is a rough stretch of offensive failure with the only bright spot being against the token door mat Coyotes. This Golden Knights team doesn’t seem to take any visiting team or situation for granted. Maybe it takes The Knights a period to get going but over 3 periods I see them doing what they’ve been doing all season…and that’s winning in Vegas.
BOS -135 Montreal and Boston meet three times over their next five games. The Bruins have the superior team statistically and no one has any advantage here as they both come off byes. Similar to Vegas, I think as the game goes on and each team gets their legs under them, it will be the B’s who ultimately pull away. Montreal has played to the under 9 of its last 11 games. The only two games to go over in that stretch were both against terrible VAN. The other 9 games…all went under and MON scored a total of 11 goals (1.22). Yikes. Bruins are 3 in the league in goals allowed so could be a long night for the Canadiens on their home ice.
PHL/NJD over 5 ½ +100 Two teams pressing on in opposite directions. Prior to the break Philly had won 4 of 5 and averaged 4.4 goals per game in those five. The Devils meanwhile have lost 5 straight and Corey Schneider has given up four goals in each of his last four starts with the over hitting in 7 of his last 9. Elliot’s last four starts have also seen the over hit. Combine that with the over trend with teams coming off the bye weeks and let’s look for goals to be scored here.
Good luck tonight, everybody!
1/8-1/14 8-8 -$269.00
Overall 67-39 +$2727
1/14
PIT -170 *half unit* I hate my life here. I’m a Rangers fan and I despise PIT as well as see them as one of the more overrated teams of this current season, but truth is that The Rags are playing some terrible hockey dating back a month now. They have not won a game in regulation in nearly a month. Going 3-4-2 and being outscored 18-27. Puck possession stats show The Blueshirts as one of the worst in the league just above Arizona. That’s a sad state of affairs. I’m going against the trend here that shows NY as a team that attains more points on the 2 of a back-to-back than with regular rest and PIT being one of the worst in back-to-backs, but Penguins have won 4 of 5 and just seem to be a better team at the moment in more facets of the game, they have home ice and a deadly power play. Lundqvist might hold this team in it but I think ultimately PIT wins out on home ice.
CGY +110 Both teams have surprised me this year but at the same time maybe it was time for each of them. I feel like neither team blows you away, but each has a young scrappy roster that is starting to come around. For the Flames, that has manifested itself in a 6-game winning streak and the second-best road record in the league at 12-5-4. This record is just mere percentage points behind Tampa as most points attained on the road per games played—impressive. The Cane’s are a spirited bunch but I think Calgary’s road play and better goaltending tip the scales in favor of the traveling team.
MIN -170 Minnesota will send Stalock to tend the crease where he has a .927 Save% and 1.91 GAA on home ice against a Canucks team that has gone 3-11-2 in their last 16 while being outscored 68-38 (that’s 4.25-2.37 per game average—nearly two goals per). In net for Vancouver is Jakob Markstrom who has a Save% that dips below .900 when on the road. Canucks are in the4 middle of a long road trip and rarely string wins together so the fact they are coming off a 5-2 victory their last time out against injury riddled CLB makes this play even stronger. Don’t see them winning back-to-back, especially on the road in Minny.
MIN -1 1/2 +170
Good luck, everybody!
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