CGY to win the opening faceoff -120 Flames are ranked #3 @52.1% and Arizona is ranked #30 only slightly better than Washington @46.8%
CHI -145 Hawks are 8-2 in their last 10 and they’ve been beating up these below average teams along the way. Ottawa is the worst Corsi team in the league and allows the most chances against—really hanging their goalie out to dry most nights. Hawks have scored 47 over their last 10 (4.70). Anders Nilsson had those two big back-to-back gems but since hasn’t posted a Save% above .900 in his last 3 games. Home cookin’ for the Hawks here.
LAK to win the opening faceoff -120 Kings ranked #14 @50.3% and Kopitar who takes the majority of their draws is winning over 54% and the Caps are dead last ranked #31 @46.2%
Leans: CBJ +120 Was hoping for a bigger dog line here but I think this shows that the Jackets are a live underdog. Metrically they play very good team defense, allowing very few opportunities against so a decent game by Korpisalo in net could get them a win as a home dog.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
2017-18 Overall 272-227 +$5517.00
2018-19 Overall 165-153 +$934.00
2/11-2/17 19-15 +$90.00
2/18
CGY to win the opening faceoff -120 Flames are ranked #3 @52.1% and Arizona is ranked #30 only slightly better than Washington @46.8%
CHI -145 Hawks are 8-2 in their last 10 and they’ve been beating up these below average teams along the way. Ottawa is the worst Corsi team in the league and allows the most chances against—really hanging their goalie out to dry most nights. Hawks have scored 47 over their last 10 (4.70). Anders Nilsson had those two big back-to-back gems but since hasn’t posted a Save% above .900 in his last 3 games. Home cookin’ for the Hawks here.
LAK to win the opening faceoff -120 Kings ranked #14 @50.3% and Kopitar who takes the majority of their draws is winning over 54% and the Caps are dead last ranked #31 @46.2%
Leans: CBJ +120 Was hoping for a bigger dog line here but I think this shows that the Jackets are a live underdog. Metrically they play very good team defense, allowing very few opportunities against so a decent game by Korpisalo in net could get them a win as a home dog.
I'm given 14.5, 15.5, 16.5 at varying lines etc etc but I ain't touching it.
Already backed off the CGY puck line bet which would have won and now this so I'm staying away from everything else b/c I'm due to lose and it'll be when I finally back it lol
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Quote Originally Posted by VANBUCK:
Chi 5-4 after 1st .What's the live over? 14.5?
I'm given 14.5, 15.5, 16.5 at varying lines etc etc but I ain't touching it.
Already backed off the CGY puck line bet which would have won and now this so I'm staying away from everything else b/c I'm due to lose and it'll be when I finally back it lol
FLA -135 Fact is I like Florida to make a run here and I’ve been saying it the last few weeks now that they’re healthy. They do need better goaltending or trade for a starter that gives them better consistency. But when healthy and if given a good net minder, this team can make some noise. They just went through one of the roughest stretches of schedule I’ve seen; they went 8-4 beating TOR, NASH, SJS, VGK, PIT, WASH, CGY and MON (a team that is outplaying their talent level and own a top 5 Corsi rating) and lost to NASH, STL, DAL and TB. Look at that list…outside of Dallas….DAMN. 8-4? Not too damn bad at all. Coincidentally that run coincides with Trocheck’s return on Jan 18. Ok so in comes Buffalo and the Sabres had that nice winning streak what seems forever ago. Since 11/29 they’ve gone 11-17-5 which means they have 11 wins in their last 33 games. They just lost to two of the weaker teams in the league in NYR & NJD so I expect the home team here who have been playing well through a tougher schedule to beat a traveling team playing long term mediocre hockey.
PHL +120 Do you believe in Carter Hart to the point you’d bet Philly to beat out Tampa? That’s a suicide bet just a few weeks ago but now an argument can be made here. Flyers have won 12 of 14 games and Carter Hart at home has been as advertised going 10-3 and he showed some resiliency having a bad third period against Detroit and bouncing back to shut them down the following night. That’s a good sign for Philly fans. Tampa is coming off a 5-1 road win where all the underlying numbers favored Columbus but Tampa’s skill just pulled away. We get Domingue here on the road in a back-to-back and third game in four nights, so I’ll take a shot on the home dogs here
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2017-18 Overall 272-227 +$5517.00
2018-19 Overall 167-154 +$1014.00
2/18-2/24 2-1 +$80.00
2/19
FLA -135 Fact is I like Florida to make a run here and I’ve been saying it the last few weeks now that they’re healthy. They do need better goaltending or trade for a starter that gives them better consistency. But when healthy and if given a good net minder, this team can make some noise. They just went through one of the roughest stretches of schedule I’ve seen; they went 8-4 beating TOR, NASH, SJS, VGK, PIT, WASH, CGY and MON (a team that is outplaying their talent level and own a top 5 Corsi rating) and lost to NASH, STL, DAL and TB. Look at that list…outside of Dallas….DAMN. 8-4? Not too damn bad at all. Coincidentally that run coincides with Trocheck’s return on Jan 18. Ok so in comes Buffalo and the Sabres had that nice winning streak what seems forever ago. Since 11/29 they’ve gone 11-17-5 which means they have 11 wins in their last 33 games. They just lost to two of the weaker teams in the league in NYR & NJD so I expect the home team here who have been playing well through a tougher schedule to beat a traveling team playing long term mediocre hockey.
PHL +120 Do you believe in Carter Hart to the point you’d bet Philly to beat out Tampa? That’s a suicide bet just a few weeks ago but now an argument can be made here. Flyers have won 12 of 14 games and Carter Hart at home has been as advertised going 10-3 and he showed some resiliency having a bad third period against Detroit and bouncing back to shut them down the following night. That’s a good sign for Philly fans. Tampa is coming off a 5-1 road win where all the underlying numbers favored Columbus but Tampa’s skill just pulled away. We get Domingue here on the road in a back-to-back and third game in four nights, so I’ll take a shot on the home dogs here
CLB +105 What a loss for The Jackets on home ice. Do they come away feeling good about how they played and to keep playing that way because the wins will come? I have to think so. Check out the underlying numbers from that game against the best team in the league. Columbus, who allows the second fewest chances against really stifled the top ranked attack limiting the Lightening to a terrible 28% Corsi and 20% Fenwick rating on the game. They out shot them 34-17, out chanced them 23-13…and lost 5-1. Doh! The Jackets have won 5 of their last 7 and both losses show a team that just had some bad luck as the metrics were heavily in their favor. They’re playing very well, is what I’m hinting at. Montreal is having a very unexpected season so kudos to the coaching staff for really maximizing the low talent level here as they’re playing a high possession, high attack style that’s been working but talent catches up in the long run and the Canadians are in a 4-game losing stretch and they were outscored 12-4 in being swept on this recent 3-game road trip. Back home against a Columbus team playing very well and I assume annoyed their last game went as it did and I can see a road win here.
CAR -1/2 -140 I can only imagine what kind of team Carolina could be if they had some finishers on the squad to help Aho and Teravainen. This team is up-tempo and creating a ton of chances in the offensive end. They’re the top ranked CorsiFor team in the league and have been nearly all season long…problem is they own one of the worst team shooting percentages in the league behind pop-gun offenses like LAK, ANA & DAL. The disparity here is the Rangers are the #31 ranked creation offense—dead last. They shoot at the league average and goaltending is similar, so the real difference is possession time as this is similar to Carolina’s game against Ottawa which they won 3-1. The highest possession team versus the #30 ranked team. Carolina has been good of late as they’ve gone 8-2 in their last 10 and have outscored teams 38-18 (3.80-1.80). Both Mrazek and McElhinney have been very good and the Canes have only allowed 5 goals total in their last 5 games
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CLB +105 What a loss for The Jackets on home ice. Do they come away feeling good about how they played and to keep playing that way because the wins will come? I have to think so. Check out the underlying numbers from that game against the best team in the league. Columbus, who allows the second fewest chances against really stifled the top ranked attack limiting the Lightening to a terrible 28% Corsi and 20% Fenwick rating on the game. They out shot them 34-17, out chanced them 23-13…and lost 5-1. Doh! The Jackets have won 5 of their last 7 and both losses show a team that just had some bad luck as the metrics were heavily in their favor. They’re playing very well, is what I’m hinting at. Montreal is having a very unexpected season so kudos to the coaching staff for really maximizing the low talent level here as they’re playing a high possession, high attack style that’s been working but talent catches up in the long run and the Canadians are in a 4-game losing stretch and they were outscored 12-4 in being swept on this recent 3-game road trip. Back home against a Columbus team playing very well and I assume annoyed their last game went as it did and I can see a road win here.
CAR -1/2 -140 I can only imagine what kind of team Carolina could be if they had some finishers on the squad to help Aho and Teravainen. This team is up-tempo and creating a ton of chances in the offensive end. They’re the top ranked CorsiFor team in the league and have been nearly all season long…problem is they own one of the worst team shooting percentages in the league behind pop-gun offenses like LAK, ANA & DAL. The disparity here is the Rangers are the #31 ranked creation offense—dead last. They shoot at the league average and goaltending is similar, so the real difference is possession time as this is similar to Carolina’s game against Ottawa which they won 3-1. The highest possession team versus the #30 ranked team. Carolina has been good of late as they’ve gone 8-2 in their last 10 and have outscored teams 38-18 (3.80-1.80). Both Mrazek and McElhinney have been very good and the Canes have only allowed 5 goals total in their last 5 games
I'm on that PHI +120, too. I think Tampa may let this game go after Hedman potentially injured, 15 points separate them from Calgary, the nearest team to them and the Flys have been pretty decent with the tendy Hart. GL, NYBartendy...
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I'm on that PHI +120, too. I think Tampa may let this game go after Hedman potentially injured, 15 points separate them from Calgary, the nearest team to them and the Flys have been pretty decent with the tendy Hart. GL, NYBartendy...
CAR -1/2 -140 I can only imagine what kind of team Carolina could be if they had some finishers on the squad to help Aho and Teravainen. This team is up-tempo and creating a ton of chances in the offensive end. They’re the top ranked CorsiFor team in the league and have been nearly all season long…problem is they own one of the worst team shooting percentages in the league behind pop-gun offenses like LAK, ANA & DAL. The disparity here is the Rangers are the #31 ranked creation offense—dead last. They shoot at the league average and goaltending is similar, so the real difference is possession time as this is similar to Carolina’s game against Ottawa which they won 3-1. The highest possession team versus the #30 ranked team. Carolina has been good of late as they’ve gone 8-2 in their last 10 and have outscored teams 38-18 (3.80-1.80). Both Mrazek and McElhinney have been very good and the Canes have only allowed 5 goals total in their last 5 games
This spot by CAR might be one of the best spots of the week. To add to your info NYB is the scheduling mess for the Rangers as found below. Go Canes! BOL to all.
New York Rangers at Carolina Hurricanes – The next game is a better example of this, but I’d have a tough time backing the Rangers here. This game in Raleigh concludes a rather long and strange road trip. The Rangers went all the way to Winnipeg, then back to Buffalo, then to Pittsburgh for the NBC Game of the Week, and are now down in Raleigh before heading back home. It has been a weird travel schedule for the week-long roadie. This is the third and final game of the homestand for the surging Hurricanes, who are finally living up to their advanced metrics by getting some goaltending.
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Quote Originally Posted by NYBartender:
CAR -1/2 -140 I can only imagine what kind of team Carolina could be if they had some finishers on the squad to help Aho and Teravainen. This team is up-tempo and creating a ton of chances in the offensive end. They’re the top ranked CorsiFor team in the league and have been nearly all season long…problem is they own one of the worst team shooting percentages in the league behind pop-gun offenses like LAK, ANA & DAL. The disparity here is the Rangers are the #31 ranked creation offense—dead last. They shoot at the league average and goaltending is similar, so the real difference is possession time as this is similar to Carolina’s game against Ottawa which they won 3-1. The highest possession team versus the #30 ranked team. Carolina has been good of late as they’ve gone 8-2 in their last 10 and have outscored teams 38-18 (3.80-1.80). Both Mrazek and McElhinney have been very good and the Canes have only allowed 5 goals total in their last 5 games
This spot by CAR might be one of the best spots of the week. To add to your info NYB is the scheduling mess for the Rangers as found below. Go Canes! BOL to all.
New York Rangers at Carolina Hurricanes – The next game is a better example of this, but I’d have a tough time backing the Rangers here. This game in Raleigh concludes a rather long and strange road trip. The Rangers went all the way to Winnipeg, then back to Buffalo, then to Pittsburgh for the NBC Game of the Week, and are now down in Raleigh before heading back home. It has been a weird travel schedule for the week-long roadie. This is the third and final game of the homestand for the surging Hurricanes, who are finally living up to their advanced metrics by getting some goaltending.
Really been on the wrong side of some dominating goalie performances this year. Another 43-save on 44 shot effort to cost me a win in a game dominated by Carolina.
Georgiev did it to me twice not too long ago, also.
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Really been on the wrong side of some dominating goalie performances this year. Another 43-save on 44 shot effort to cost me a win in a game dominated by Carolina.
Georgiev did it to me twice not too long ago, also.
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