Posted:
#1
Tried and true and very much copied on the net too.
Betcha' you didn't know I was a poet ?
I started this back in the days of Q-Link, before it was called AOL. Posted it back in 1986 when you accessed online with a dial up modem. The whole goal is to win the first dog play in series. But if you don't get that first game then you play for the split on the 2nd one. I look for at least a +120 payback. There can be no injuries to any of your 1st liners.
You win the first one you walk away. You lose the first then play the dog in the 2nd one. Don't chase....don't chase....don't chase.
This is for the first two games in the series only.
This reason it works well most seasons is that in the NHL as most playoffs, the teams play a much better D than usual. So a lower scoring game gives a boost to the dog. Also being just the first two games the teams don't usually take any chances and err on the side of caution.
Now there are variations that I do not recommend but they are out there and well.....they have been know to turn a profit.
1. Chasing the first game on a loss.......I hate chasing and it's too much of a risk.
2. If the dog wins the first game you take the fave in the 2nd one. I will play this sometimes. But it's juiced more than -140. Which it usually is, then of course I play the -1 line. You notice I didn't mention the regulation line. That's because there is just too much of a chance of OT in the playoffs. Don't play regulation lines. Play the -1.
You will notice this has a twinge of how I play the first few weeks of the season, by taking dogs of +125 or more.
Don't forget that in pucks, home ice really doesn't mean squat for most teams. Use that to your advantage.
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