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Does anyone here do this? Pinnacle offers these lines at end of 1st and 2nd intermission.
My thinking is if there is no score at end of 1st, wouldn't taking the over 3.5 be a pretty good bet? Its always going to be 3.5 or possibly 4.5. With totals however, if there is say 3 goals in the 1st, well the total should be 7.5 goals or sometimes 6.5 goals. So taking the under might seem good since well the regular game is 5.5 goals. However i think no score at end of 1st and taking over 3.5 for full game seems pretty good usually?
Now for the sides. Isn't it usually good idea to take a big favorite that is losing at the end of 1st for the full game? Almost always they will be an underdog. Unless of course its a huge favorite. But still its close to even money. The thing is say a team is -200. They are down by 1 at the 2nd of 1st. The line should be pretty close to even money i believe right? I believe the favorite would still be a slight favorite? Now if the team is -160 for the game, obviously they would be small underdogs. My logic is its hard for a underdog to keep the lead and win. But yes that logic isn't that good but i think you know what my point is.
However here is the issue with this. Say the favorite is losing 1-0. If the favorite scores a goal in 2nd period, well they are now the clear favorite when score is 1-1. But if the underdog scores the 2nd goals, its 2-0 and that seems like its close to out of hand for the favorite right? Basically when you take the favorite losing by 1 goal at the end of 1st, the next 2 goals that need to be scored has to be by the favorite. Because if not, say its 1-1... then its 2-1 the underdog winning, favorite is still behind.
Does anyone here have tips for live betting nhl? I actually noticed that favorites who are losing at the end of 1st intermission usually are starting to not make a comeback.
Another thing i noticed is if a big favorite is losing by 2 goals or more, isn't it generally a good idea here to take the favorite on the puckline? Say a -180 favorite is losing 2-0 at end of 1st. The puckline would be favorite getting 1.5 goals. I mean, shouldn't this usually be an autobet? I mean its hard for an underdog to win... but you need them to win by 2 or more... and doing that in hockey is hard. However like in previous example, that would mean when its 2-0... if favorite scores, then underdog scores, its 3-1 and still a 2 goal game.
Very curious on what the hockey posters here think about this. The thing is i have a tough time taking an underdog who is up by 2 goals at the end of the 1st period -1.5 on the puckline. Because they only played 1 intermission, theres still 2 left. I feel like its either bet the favorite on the puckline +1.5 or the ML.
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